Analysis

TradingKey - Amid geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East, the positive correlation between the US dollar and crude oil prices has climbed to its highest level since the inception of the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index in 2005. This signifies that the daily co-movement between the USD and Brent crude has reached its strongest point in over two decades.

Tradingkey - On May 15, during the late Asian trading session, gold and silver prices saw a significant decline. Spot gold (XAUUSD) dropped more than 2% at one point, hitting a low of $4,556.45. As of press time, it remained down 1.74%, trading at $4,571.33. Spot silver (XAGUSD) fell over 6% at one point to a low of $77.56. As of press time, it was still down 5.92% at $78.52. Rising oil prices coupled with higher U.S. Treasury yields collectively squeezed the valuation space for non-yielding precious metals, serving as the primary driver behind this round of gold's decline.

Tradingkey - On April 13, the International Energy Agency (IEA) warned in its monthly report that global crude oil inventories are shrinking at a record pace due to supply disruptions triggered by the Iran war, which could drive oil prices even higher. The report highlighted that, faced with unprecedented disruptions to Middle Eastern crude supplies, importing nations are depleting their oil stocks at record speeds. In April, the average daily reduction in global crude oil and refined product inventories neared 4 million barrels. This scale of depletion exceeds the combined consumption of the United Kingdom and Germany, significantly undermining the buffer capacity of nations to manage supply shocks.

Tradingkey - On May 12, CME Group and GPU market data provider Silicon Data jointly announced plans to launch the world's first standardized computing power futures product in the second half of 2026, pending final regulatory approval. This marks the official entry of computing power assets into the era of standardized derivatives trading.

TradingKey - Gold was never tariffed. But $135 billion worth of gold bars crossed the Atlantic anyway.

TradingKey - The International Energy Agency (IEA) recently warned that global oil inventories are being depleted at a record pace. Should current conditions persist, oil prices could see a further sharp increase this summer. Morgan Stanley strategist Martijn Rats noted in a report on Monday that, in a worst-case scenario, Brent crude prices could surge to $130–$150 per barrel.

TradingKey - Copper prices continue to climb as multiple factors drive the current rally. Supported by recovering demand in China and intensifying global supply-side risks, London Metal Exchange (LME) copper futures broke the $14,000 per tonne threshold on Tuesday, approaching historical peaks.

Silver price (XAG/USD) continues its winning streak for the sixth successive day, trading around $86.80 per troy ounce during the Asian hours on Wednesday.

TradingKey - On May 11, Eastern Time, silver (XAGUSD) surged 7.28% to close at $86.13, marking its fifth consecutive session of gains. In contrast, while gold (XAUUSD) saw an intraday range exceeding $100, its gain was only 0.42%, significantly underperforming silver. Does this indicate that a new rally for silver is about to commence?

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $95.70 during the early Asian trading hours on Tuesday. The WTI price edges higher amid renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

TradingKey - Despite the ongoing US-Iran war and the continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz, copper prices maintain a solid floor. This Monday, LME (London Metal Exchange) three-month copper reached $13,637 per tonne at one point, marking its highest level since January 29. On the same day, LME three-month copper recorded a peak closing price of $13,952/tonne, with intraday prices briefly rising above $14,500/tonne.

TradingKey - During the Asian trading session on May 11, spot gold fell below the $4,700 mark, briefly dropping to around $4,678. As of press time, it was trading at $4,670, standing in stark contrast to the gold price nearing its $4,900 high three days ago.

TradingKey - Bloomberg reports, citing Morgan Stanley (MS) analysts, that the global crude oil market is in a critical "race against time" phase, with the duration of any potential blockade of the Strait of Hormuz becoming the core variable driving oil price trends.

Silver price (XAG/USD) rises to near $81.50 during the early Asian trading hours on Monday. The white metal extends the rally amid rising demand from industrial applications. Traders will closely monitor the developments surrounding the US-Iran peace deal for fresh impetus.

China continued to lead Asia’s push into Gold buying via Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) in April, with Hong Kong registering its highest inflows ever, as Gold prices stabilized after a major pullback in March.

Tradingkey - International oil prices surged during early Asian trading hours after U.S. President Trump and Iran rejected each other's latest responses to long-term peace proposals. Both major crude oil futures rose by over 3%, with WTI crude briefly hitting the $100 mark again. As of press time, WTI is up 3.79% at $99/bbl, while Brent crude has gained 3.29% to reach $104.62/bbl.

TradingKey — As the U.S.-Iran war continues, the "NACHO" trade has become the most prevalent play on Wall Street. NACHO, which stands for "Not A Chance Hormuz Opens," signifies the belief that the Strait of Hormuz will not reopen. Market analysis indicates that growing skepticism over a near-term en

TradingKey - On May 8 (ET), Citi stated that oil prices could rise further if US-Iran negotiations remain deadlocked, maintaining its forecast that Brent crude will reach $120 over the next three months.

Silver (XAG/USD) attracts fresh buyers following an Asian session dip to sub-$78.00 levels and stalls the previous day's late pullback from a nearly three-week high. The white metal climbs back above the $80.00 psychological mark in the last hour and remains on track to register strong weekly gains.

TradingKey - Oil prices surge as US-Iran clashes resume following a brief de-escalation.