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Gold

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4290.830

-2.550-0.06%
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Today

-0.08%

5 Days

-1.50%

1 Month

-1.97%

6 Months

-14.50%

Year to Date

-0.53%

1 Year

+16.61%

TradingKey Timing Strategy - Gold

TK Alpha generates a daily timing score ranging from -100 to +100 and maps it to long, flat, short, or leveraged positions. The score reflects both the strategy’s directional view and the strength of its target exposure.

Alpha Gauge

The TK Alpha Gauge is a proprietary, comprehensive daily updated indicator developed by Tradingkey that reflects our outlook on specific financial instruments. Utilizing a long-proven AI framework, the index analyzes hundreds of proprietary price-volume, fundamental, and alternative data predictors. Values range from -100 to 100. Negative values signify a bearish (pessimistic) outlook, while positive values indicate a bullish (optimistic) stance. The further the value from zero, the stronger the quantitative signal. It provides quantitative insight into directional forecasts.

+4NeutralLast updated: Sep 16, 2026 2:05 AM

Strategy Data

Since Inception+522.39%
Today's Return-0.04%
Annualized+26.87%
Sharpe Ratio1.18

Historical Return

5Y
1M
3M
1Y
3Y
5Y
All History
0.00%Historical Return
No Data

Gold Trading Strategy

Intraday
Medium Term
Short Term
The downside prevails as long as 4,326 is resistance, with 4,212 and 4,182 as targets

Trading Strategy

The downside prevails as long as 4,326 is resistance, with 4,212 and 4,182 as targets

Alternative scenario

above 4,326, look for 4,377 and 4,407.

Comment

The downside prevails as long as 4,326 is resistance, with 4,212 and 4,182 as targets

14 minutes ago
Source: Trading Central(Reference Only)
Gold declines below $4,300 as US yields climb, Fed rate decision looms

Gold price (XAU/USD) declines to near $4,285 during the early Asian session on Wednesday.

Fxstreet3 hours ago
Gold bulls hit 100-day SMA wall as US yields bite

Gold (XAU/USD) price holds firm on Tuesday, capped on the upside by solid resistance at the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $4,328, while broad US Dollar strength and elevated US bond yields weighed on the non-yielding metal.

Fxstreet8 hours ago
Gold: CTA selling intensifies ahead of Fed decision - TD Securities

TD Securities analysts Ryan McKay and Bart Melek report that Gold remains under pressure as CTAs accelerate selling ahead of the upcoming Fed meeting, with prices nearing levels that could push funds net short.

Fxstreet12 hours ago
Gold bears retain control as markets brace for Fed rate hike

Gold (XAU/USD) remains on the defensive on Tuesday as a stronger US Dollar (USD), rising US Treasury yields and US Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hike expectations create a challenging backdrop for the non-yielding metal.

Fxstreet15 hours ago
Gold: Fed risk keeps bullion vulnerable – ING

ING strategists Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey say Gold has slipped as higher Oil prices stoke inflation concerns and reinforce expectations of a potential Federal Reserve rate hike, lifting Treasury yields and the US Dollar.

Fxstreet19 hours ago
India Gold price today: Gold steadies, according to FXStreet data

Gold prices remained broadly unchanged in India on Tuesday, according to data compiled by FXStreet.

Fxstreet22 hours ago

More Details of Gold

Gold is a precious metal that has been valued by human civilizations for thousands of years. It is widely used for jewelry, art, and coinage, as well as for industrial and medical purposes. Gold is also a popular financial asset that investors buy and sell to hedge against inflation, currency fluctuations, and market risks. One of the main features of gold as an investment is its scarcity and durability. It is highly malleable, ductile, and resistant to corrosion and tarnishing, making it a long-lasting and reliable asset. It has a distinctive yellow color and a high luster. It is also a good conductor of electricity and heat. Gold can be alloyed with other metals to create different colors and hardness. The purity of gold is measured in karats, with 24 karats being pure gold. Gold is believed to have formed in the cores of massive stars that exploded as supernovae, scattering gold and other heavy elements into space. Some of these elements were incorporated into the Earth when it formed about 4.5 billion years ago. Most of the gold on Earth sank to the core during the planet's formation, but some remained in the crust and mantle, where it can be mined today. According to the World Gold Council, the total amount of gold mined in human history is about 200,000 metric tons, which would fit into a cube with sides of 21 meters. In the economic market, gold has high liquidity, so anywhere in the world, gold is always used for simple, easy buying and selling transactions without worrying about the original value being lost. The development of technology makes buying and selling more convenient and faster than ever. The global market value of gold is determined by the supply and demand of the metal, as well as by the expectations and sentiments of market participants. The main gold trading hubs are London, New York, and Shanghai, where gold is traded over-the-counter (OTC) or on futures and options exchanges. Other gold markets include Tokyo, Zurich, Dubai, Hong Kong, Singapore, and Mumbai. The global gold market operates 24 hours a day, seven days a week. Gold has various applications in different industries and sectors. Besides jewelry, which accounts for about half of the global gold demand, gold is also used for electronics, dentistry, medicine, aerospace, and glassmaking. Gold is also a key component of many religious and cultural artifacts, as well as a symbol of status and wealth. Gold is also used for gilding and gold leaf, which are thin sheets of gold applied to various surfaces for decoration. Gold is an attractive investment option for many reasons. Gold is considered a safe-haven asset that can preserve its value, as well as a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation, as it tends to perform well during periods of economic and political uncertainty and crisis. Gold is also a diversifier that can reduce the overall risk and volatility of a portfolio, as it has a low or negative correlation with other asset classes, such as stocks and bonds. Gold is also a liquid and accessible asset that can be bought and sold easily through various channels, such as bullion, coins, ETFs, CFDs, futures, and options. As an investment option, gold offers many benefits and opportunities for investors of all types and levels.

How can I start investing in gold as a beginner?

For beginners, there are two main paths:

  • Paper Gold: Investing inGold ETFs (Exchange-Traded Funds)or mutual funds. These track the price of gold and can be bought through a standard brokerage account without the need for physical storage.
  • Physical Gold: Buyingbullion coinsorinvestment-grade bars(at least 99.5% purity). This offers direct ownership and no counterparty risk but requires secure storage.

Gold Bullion vs. Gold Mining Stocks: Which is better?

Whether gold bullion or gold mining stocks is the better investing option, it all boils down to your investing goals.

Gold bullion is best for wealth preservation and safety. It tracks the spot price of gold directly.

As for mining stocks, they offer leverage. When gold prices rise, mining company profits often grow at a faster rate, potentially leading to higher returns and dividends. However, they carry "management risk" and are more closely correlated with the broader stock market.


Method

Best For

Liquidity

Storage Needed?

Physical Gold Bullion

Long-term security

Moderate

Yes

Gold ETFs

Easy to trade

High

No

Mining Stocks

Growth and income

High

No

Digital Gold

Small budget investing

High

No



What is the price of Gold today?

The current price of Gold is 4290.08. Market data may be delayed, so please refer to the update time displayed on the page.

What is the trading range of Gold futures today?

The intraday low for Gold futures is 4275.31, while the intraday high is 4298.75. The trading range for today is 4275.31 to 4298.75.

What is the 52-week price range of Gold futures?

Over the past 52 weeks, the lowest price of Gold futures was 3627.88, while the highest price was 5596.97. Historical price ranges reflect past performance only and do not indicate future trends.

Why does Gold rise or fall?

The price of Gold may rise when market demand increases, supply tightens, or inventories decline. It may fall when demand weakens, supply increases, or inventories rise. Macroeconomic conditions, the U.S. dollar, interest rates, weather, policy changes, and unexpected events may also drive short-term price fluctuations.

What is the highest price of gold in history?

The gold price peaked at US$5,602.225 per ounce on January 29, 2026. This is the fresh all-time high price of gold.

What factors affect gold's price?

When investing in gold, it is important to understand the factors affecting gold price.

Central Bank Policies

Central Banksplay a pivotal role in determining gold price today. Their interest rate decisions and gold purchase programs significantly shape the market landscape.

When central bank lowers interest rates, causing negative real returns on cash and bonds, investors will move to gold as an alternative asset.

Geopolitical and Economic Events

Gold priceis also affected by geopolitical events. In times of uncertainty and crisis, such as wars or economic upheaval, gold becomes a safe haven for investors.

Market Dynamics

Variables like gold production, jewelry demand, and investment flows affects the demand and supply for gold.

What is the historical return of gold?

The historical return of gold has varied over time, with long-term average annual returns typically ranging between 1% to 10%. Gold is often considered a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty, leading to periods of significant price appreciation during times of market volatility or geopolitical instability.

What are the best hours to trade gold?

The best hours to trade gold are typically during the overlapping trading hours of major financial centers, such as London, New York, and Tokyo. This period, known as the "golden hours," often occurs during the European and U.S. market overlaps, which are between 8:00 am and 5:00 pm GMT. During these hours, there is typically higher liquidity, increased trading volume, and more price movement in the gold market, providing more opportunities for traders.

What determines the price of Gold?

The price of Gold is primarily determined by supply and demand in the relevant market and may also be based on quotations from exchanges, market makers, or market data providers. The quoted currency, trading hours, product type, contract maturity, delivery terms, and market liquidity may also affect the price displayed on the page.

How can I analyze Gold price trends?

When analyzing the price of Gold, investors may consider charts across different timeframes, opening prices, highs and lows, support and resistance levels, as well as technical indicators such as moving averages, RSI, and MACD. Market supply and demand, inventories, production costs, macroeconomic conditions, policy developments, and changes in related industries should also be considered.

Are Gold price forecasts reliable?

Price forecasts are generally based on historical trends, technical indicators, market supply and demand, and macroeconomic data, but they cannot accurately predict future prices. Unexpected policy changes, geopolitical events, supply disruptions, and shifts in market sentiment may cause forecasts to become inaccurate. Therefore, forecasts should be used for reference only.

Can I invest directly in Gold?

No. Gold itself is an index and cannot be invested in directly. Investors typically gain price exposure through related spot products, futures, ETFs, CFDs, or shares of companies within the relevant industry chain. Costs, liquidity, leverage, and risks vary across these instruments, so investors should carefully consider market conditions and their own risk tolerance before making a decision.

What is TK Alpha Gauge?

The TK Alpha Gauge is a proprietary, daily updated indicator designed to provide a clear outlook on specific financial instruments. Developed by TradingKey, the gauge acts as a quantitative compass for market direction. Much like how sentiment indices track the "mood" of the market, the Alpha Gauge utilizes a long-proven AI framework to strip away emotional bias and provide a high-conviction forecast based on cold, hard data.

What exactly is an "Alpha"?

An Alpha is a proprietary mathematical formula designed to identify and exploit specific market inefficiencies. Think of it as a quantitative "rule" that has demonstrated a historical ability to forecast price movements. By translating complex market patterns into actionable signals, Alpha provides the statistical edge necessary to consistently outperform the market.

How is TK Alpha Gauge Calculated?

The Gauge is powered by a long-proven AI framework that analyzes hundreds of predictors across three categories: Price-Volume: Historical and real-time movement trends. Fundamentals: Underlying financial health and valuation metrics. Alternative Data: Unique datasets that capture non-traditional market signals. The final score represents the signal's strength; the further the value is from zero, the higher the quantitative conviction.

How often is TK Alpha Gauge calculated?

Every component and the Index are calculated as soon as new data becomes available daily.

How to use TK Alpha Gauge?

The Index serves as a systematic tool to remove emotional bias and determine position sizing. Depending on the asset and strategy, it can be applied in two primary ways: 1. Long-Only Strategy (e.g., GLD) Commonly used for ETFs like GLD, the gauge dictates exposure based only on positive momentum: Positive Reading: Scale long exposure proportionally to the gauge value. Negative Reading: Maintain a flat position (zero lots) to avoid downside risk. 2. Long/Short Strategy (e.g., Gold Futures) In highly liquid markets like gold futures, the gauge allows for active trading in both directions: Bullish (>0): Take a long position, scaling the size as the value moves toward 100. Bearish (<0): Take a short position, increasing the short exposure as the value moves toward -100. Neutral (0): Exit all positions to remain flat during periods of no clear signal.

How does AI improve the investment process?

Unlike static technical indicators, machine learning models recognize complex, non-linear patterns, allowing for more precise predictions of price movements in volatile markets. AI can facilitate the processing of massive dataset and synthesizes hundreds of high-performance predictors to generate meaningful trading signals. Adaptive models continuously learn from live market shifts, automatically tuning strategy parameters to maintain peak performance across different economic regimes.

How do you use Volume and Price together?

We analyze the relationship between price action and market participation (volume) to measure the conviction behind a move. Ideally, price and volume should trend in harmony. Our system is designed to monitor the synergy between these two variables. By identifying the periods of decoupling, our framework can proactively shift to a defensive posture, prioritizing capital preservation.

How does the "Super Alpha" ensemble help me?

Rather than relying on a single “rule”, the "Super Alpha" ensemble aggregates hundreds of diverse predictors across three distinct categories. This creates a robust system: If one predictor is skewed by temporary market noise, the remaining signals provide a stabilizing correction. This multi-predictor ensemble approach is designed to maintain portfolio resilience and steady performance, even during periods of high market volatility.

What are Deep Learning and Neural Networks?

Deep learning is a subset of machine learning that uses highly sophisticated artificial neural networks to model and replicate the way the human brain processes information. At its core, deep learning relies on multi-layered deep neural networks. These networks consist of interconnected nodes (called neurons) organized in multiple layers. Data flows through these layers in a highly connected manner, allowing the model to automatically learn complex patterns and representations from large amounts of data. This architecture makes deep learning particularly powerful for tasks such as prediction, classification, and pattern recognition.

Related Instruments

Gold

4290.830
-2.550-0.06%
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