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Gold

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4142.670

-34.220-0.82%
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Today

-0.82%

5 Days

-3.35%

1 Month

-7.38%

6 Months

-11.39%

Year to Date

-3.95%

1 Year

+6.60%

TradingKey Timing Strategy - Gold

TK Alpha generates a daily timing score ranging from -100 to +100 and maps it to long, flat, short, or leveraged positions. The score reflects both the strategy’s directional view and the strength of its target exposure.

Alpha Gauge

The TK Alpha Gauge is a proprietary, comprehensive daily updated indicator developed by Tradingkey that reflects our outlook on specific financial instruments. Utilizing a long-proven AI framework, the index analyzes hundreds of proprietary price-volume, fundamental, and alternative data predictors. Values range from -100 to 100. Negative values signify a bearish (pessimistic) outlook, while positive values indicate a bullish (optimistic) stance. The further the value from zero, the stronger the quantitative signal. It provides quantitative insight into directional forecasts.

+6NeutralLast updated: Oct 1, 2026 2:05 AM

Strategy Data

Since Inception+511.48%
Today's Return-0.11%
Annualized+26.41%
Sharpe Ratio1.17

Historical Return

5Y
1M
3M
1Y
3Y
5Y
All History
0.00%Historical Return
No Data

Gold Trading Strategy

Intraday
Medium Term
Short Term
The downside prevails as long as 4,202 is resistance, with 4,101 and 4,075 as targets

Trading Strategy

The downside prevails as long as 4,202 is resistance, with 4,101 and 4,075 as targets

Alternative scenario

above 4,202, look for 4,245 and 4,270.

Comment

The downside prevails as long as 4,202 is resistance, with 4,101 and 4,075 as targets

Fri, Oct 2
Source: Trading Central(Reference Only)
Recent
Analysis
Gold fails at $4,200 despite NFP miss as US yields climb

Gold prices dropped on Friday, with the yellow metal struggling to decisively break the $4,200 milestone. The precious metal is down nearly 1% as US Treasury yields edge higher following a less-than-stellar US employment report.

FxstreetFri, Oct 2
Gold: Modest gains in risk-off backdrop – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank notes that Gold prices edged higher alongside broader risk-off moves and rising financial stress in Europe. While the report focuses more on bonds, equities and energy, Gold’s advance came as volatility ticked up and investors digested geopolitical risks and shifting central bank expectations ahead of key US and Euro Area data releases.

FxstreetFri, Oct 2
Gold struggles to lure buyers amid bullish USD; eye US NFP for Fed rate cues

Gold (XAU/USD) attracts some sellers during the Asian session on Friday, though the downside remains limited as traders opt to wait for the crucial US employment details before placing fresh directional bets.

FxstreetFri, Oct 2
Gold recovers above $4,150 as US yields retreat ahead of US September jobs data

Gold price (XAU/USD) rises to near $4,180 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal rebounds as US Treasury bond yields retreat from multi-decade highs.

FxstreetThu, Oct 1
Gold defies US Dollar surge as US yield slide revives Bullion demand

Gold price drifted higher, posting modest gains of over 0.40% on Thursday as US Treasury yields dove after Wednesday's inflation data, triggering a trimming of hawkish Fed bets for the October meeting. The XAU/USD trades at $4,175, up 0.4%.

FxstreetThu, Oct 1
Gold struggles as rising US Treasury yields outweigh dovish Fed repricing

Gold (XAU/USD) treads water on Thursday as a stronger US Dollar (USD) and soaring US Treasury yields limit the upside. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades around $4,167, up 0.26% on the day, as the precious metal struggles to build on its early recovery.

FxstreetThu, Oct 1

About Gold

How can I start investing in gold as a beginner?

For beginners, there are two main paths:

  • Paper Gold: Investing inGold ETFs (Exchange-Traded Funds)or mutual funds. These track the price of gold and can be bought through a standard brokerage account without the need for physical storage.
  • Physical Gold: Buyingbullion coinsorinvestment-grade bars(at least 99.5% purity). This offers direct ownership and no counterparty risk but requires secure storage.

Gold Bullion vs. Gold Mining Stocks: Which is better?

Whether gold bullion or gold mining stocks is the better investing option, it all boils down to your investing goals.

Gold bullion is best for wealth preservation and safety. It tracks the spot price of gold directly.

As for mining stocks, they offer leverage. When gold prices rise, mining company profits often grow at a faster rate, potentially leading to higher returns and dividends. However, they carry "management risk" and are more closely correlated with the broader stock market.


Method

Best For

Liquidity

Storage Needed?

Physical Gold Bullion

Long-term security

Moderate

Yes

Gold ETFs

Easy to trade

High

No

Mining Stocks

Growth and income

High

No

Digital Gold

Small budget investing

High

No



What is the price of Gold today?

The current price of Gold is 4142.67. Market data may be delayed, so please refer to the update time displayed on the page.

What is the trading range of Gold futures today?

The intraday low for Gold futures is 4125.17, while the intraday high is 4226.77. The trading range for today is 4125.17 to 4226.77.

What is the 52-week price range of Gold futures?

Over the past 52 weeks, the lowest price of Gold futures was 3884.07, while the highest price was 5596.97. Historical price ranges reflect past performance only and do not indicate future trends.

Why does Gold rise or fall?

The price of Gold may rise when market demand increases, supply tightens, or inventories decline. It may fall when demand weakens, supply increases, or inventories rise. Macroeconomic conditions, the U.S. dollar, interest rates, weather, policy changes, and unexpected events may also drive short-term price fluctuations.

What is the highest price of gold in history?

The gold price peaked at US$5,602.225 per ounce on January 29, 2026. This is the fresh all-time high price of gold.

What factors affect gold's price?

When investing in gold, it is important to understand the factors affecting gold price.

Central Bank Policies

Central Banksplay a pivotal role in determining gold price today. Their interest rate decisions and gold purchase programs significantly shape the market landscape.

When central bank lowers interest rates, causing negative real returns on cash and bonds, investors will move to gold as an alternative asset.

Geopolitical and Economic Events

Gold priceis also affected by geopolitical events. In times of uncertainty and crisis, such as wars or economic upheaval, gold becomes a safe haven for investors.

Market Dynamics

Variables like gold production, jewelry demand, and investment flows affects the demand and supply for gold.

What is the historical return of gold?

The historical return of gold has varied over time, with long-term average annual returns typically ranging between 1% to 10%. Gold is often considered a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty, leading to periods of significant price appreciation during times of market volatility or geopolitical instability.

What are the best hours to trade gold?

The best hours to trade gold are typically during the overlapping trading hours of major financial centers, such as London, New York, and Tokyo. This period, known as the "golden hours," often occurs during the European and U.S. market overlaps, which are between 8:00 am and 5:00 pm GMT. During these hours, there is typically higher liquidity, increased trading volume, and more price movement in the gold market, providing more opportunities for traders.

What determines the price of Gold?

The price of Gold is primarily determined by supply and demand in the relevant market and may also be based on quotations from exchanges, market makers, or market data providers. The quoted currency, trading hours, product type, contract maturity, delivery terms, and market liquidity may also affect the price displayed on the page.

How can I analyze Gold price trends?

When analyzing the price of Gold, investors may consider charts across different timeframes, opening prices, highs and lows, support and resistance levels, as well as technical indicators such as moving averages, RSI, and MACD. Market supply and demand, inventories, production costs, macroeconomic conditions, policy developments, and changes in related industries should also be considered.

Are Gold price forecasts reliable?

Price forecasts are generally based on historical trends, technical indicators, market supply and demand, and macroeconomic data, but they cannot accurately predict future prices. Unexpected policy changes, geopolitical events, supply disruptions, and shifts in market sentiment may cause forecasts to become inaccurate. Therefore, forecasts should be used for reference only.

Can I invest directly in Gold?

No. Gold itself is an index and cannot be invested in directly. Investors typically gain price exposure through related spot products, futures, ETFs, CFDs, or shares of companies within the relevant industry chain. Costs, liquidity, leverage, and risks vary across these instruments, so investors should carefully consider market conditions and their own risk tolerance before making a decision.

What is TK Alpha Gauge?

The TK Alpha Gauge is a proprietary, daily updated indicator designed to provide a clear outlook on specific financial instruments. Developed by TradingKey, the gauge acts as a quantitative compass for market direction. Much like how sentiment indices track the "mood" of the market, the Alpha Gauge utilizes a long-proven AI framework to strip away emotional bias and provide a high-conviction forecast based on cold, hard data.

What exactly is an "Alpha"?

An Alpha is a proprietary mathematical formula designed to identify and exploit specific market inefficiencies. Think of it as a quantitative "rule" that has demonstrated a historical ability to forecast price movements. By translating complex market patterns into actionable signals, Alpha provides the statistical edge necessary to consistently outperform the market.

How is TK Alpha Gauge Calculated?

The Gauge is powered by a long-proven AI framework that analyzes hundreds of predictors across three categories: Price-Volume: Historical and real-time movement trends. Fundamentals: Underlying financial health and valuation metrics. Alternative Data: Unique datasets that capture non-traditional market signals. The final score represents the signal's strength; the further the value is from zero, the higher the quantitative conviction.

How often is TK Alpha Gauge calculated?

Every component and the Index are calculated as soon as new data becomes available daily.

How to use TK Alpha Gauge?

The Index serves as a systematic tool to remove emotional bias and determine position sizing. Depending on the asset and strategy, it can be applied in two primary ways: 1. Long-Only Strategy (e.g., GLD) Commonly used for ETFs like GLD, the gauge dictates exposure based only on positive momentum: Positive Reading: Scale long exposure proportionally to the gauge value. Negative Reading: Maintain a flat position (zero lots) to avoid downside risk. 2. Long/Short Strategy (e.g., Gold Futures) In highly liquid markets like gold futures, the gauge allows for active trading in both directions: Bullish (>0): Take a long position, scaling the size as the value moves toward 100. Bearish (<0): Take a short position, increasing the short exposure as the value moves toward -100. Neutral (0): Exit all positions to remain flat during periods of no clear signal.

How does AI improve the investment process?

Unlike static technical indicators, machine learning models recognize complex, non-linear patterns, allowing for more precise predictions of price movements in volatile markets. AI can facilitate the processing of massive dataset and synthesizes hundreds of high-performance predictors to generate meaningful trading signals. Adaptive models continuously learn from live market shifts, automatically tuning strategy parameters to maintain peak performance across different economic regimes.

How do you use Volume and Price together?

We analyze the relationship between price action and market participation (volume) to measure the conviction behind a move. Ideally, price and volume should trend in harmony. Our system is designed to monitor the synergy between these two variables. By identifying the periods of decoupling, our framework can proactively shift to a defensive posture, prioritizing capital preservation.

How does the "Super Alpha" ensemble help me?

Rather than relying on a single “rule”, the "Super Alpha" ensemble aggregates hundreds of diverse predictors across three distinct categories. This creates a robust system: If one predictor is skewed by temporary market noise, the remaining signals provide a stabilizing correction. This multi-predictor ensemble approach is designed to maintain portfolio resilience and steady performance, even during periods of high market volatility.

What are Deep Learning and Neural Networks?

Deep learning is a subset of machine learning that uses highly sophisticated artificial neural networks to model and replicate the way the human brain processes information. At its core, deep learning relies on multi-layered deep neural networks. These networks consist of interconnected nodes (called neurons) organized in multiple layers. Data flows through these layers in a highly connected manner, allowing the model to automatically learn complex patterns and representations from large amounts of data. This architecture makes deep learning particularly powerful for tasks such as prediction, classification, and pattern recognition.

Related Instruments

Gold

4142.670
-34.220-0.82%
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