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4372.360USD

-83.150-1.87%
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Today

-1.87%

5 Days

-3.75%

1 Month

-6.63%

6 Months

+5.18%

Year to Date

+1.24%

1 Year

+32.47%

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TradingKey Timing Strategy - Gold

This is a long-only strategy where positions are determined entirely by the TK Alpha Gauge. The strategy scales long exposure proportionally based on positive gauge readings and maintains a flat position (zero lots) when the gauge is negative. Performance metrics are detailed below.

Alpha Gauge

The TK Alpha Gauge is a proprietary, comprehensive daily updated indicator developed by Tradingkey that reflects our outlook on specific financial instruments. Utilizing a long-proven AI framework, the index analyzes hundreds of proprietary price-volume, fundamental, and alternative data predictors. Values range from -100 to 100. Negative values signify a bearish (pessimistic) outlook, while positive values indicate a bullish (optimistic) stance. The further the value from zero, the stronger the quantitative signal. It provides quantitative insight into directional forecasts.

SellLast updated: May 28, 2026 2:05 AM

Strategy Data

Since Inception+377.23%
Today's Return0.00%
Annualized+20.51%
Sharpe Ratio1.03
Volatility+19.94%
Maximum Drawdown-25.27%
Benchmark Return+226.43%
Benchmark Annualized+15.17%

Historical Return

5Y
1M
3M
1Y
3Y
5Y
0.00%Historical Return
No Data

Gold News

India Gold price today: Gold falls, according to FXStreet data

Gold prices fell in India on Thursday, according to data compiled by FXStreet.

Fxstreet42 minutes ago
Gold prices fell in India on Thursday, according to data compiled by FXStreet.

Breaking: $4,400 key support broken as Gold drops to two-month low on fresh Iran escalation

Gold (XAU/USD) remains under some selling pressure for the third straight day and drops to sub-$4,400 levels or a fresh two-month low during the Asian session on Thursday.

Fxstreetan hour ago
Gold (XAU/USD) remains under some selling pressure for the third straight day and drops to sub-$4,400 levels or a fresh two-month low during the Asian session on Thursday.

Gold Falls Below $4,400 for First Time in Two Months. Institutions Lower Gold Price Forecasts as Market Expects PCE to Approach 4%

TradingKey - During the Asian trading session on May 28, spot gold briefly fell below $4,400, hitting a low of $4,396.91, its lowest level since March 27. Gold futures also declined, with U.S. gold futures for August delivery dropping to $4,431 on May 27.

TradingKey2 hours ago
TradingKey - During the Asian trading session on May 28, spot gold briefly fell below $4,400, hitting a low of $4,396.91, its lowest level since March 27. Gold futures also declined, with U.S. gold futures for August delivery dropping to $4,431 on May 27.

Gold flatlines near $4,450 on US-Iran uncertainties, US PCE inflation data looms

Gold price (XAU/USD) trades on a flat note around $4,455 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The precious metal steadies as US-Iran peace negotiations face uncertainties.

Fxstreet5 hours ago
Gold price (XAU/USD) trades on a flat note around $4,455 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The precious metal steadies as US-Iran peace negotiations face uncertainties.

Gold sinks to two-month lows as doubts on Middle East deal revive USD demand

Gold (XAU/USD) plungesmore than 1% on Wednesday as the Greenback recovers some ground, pairing some of its earlier losses, while risk appetite shifted to neutral amid speculation that US-Iran negotiations could stall. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades at $4,443, its lowest level since March 30.

Fxstreet12 hours ago
Gold (XAU/USD) plungesmore than 1% on Wednesday as the Greenback recovers some ground, pairing some of its earlier losses, while risk appetite shifted to neutral amid speculation that US-Iran negotiations could stall. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades at $4,443, its lowest level since March 30.

Iran-U.S. MOU Details Disclosed. Gold Drops to $4,400 Mark Hitting New Low Since March 30; Two Major Crude Oil Futures Weaken

Tradingkey - According to Iranian sources, a "preliminary informal document" regarding a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) framework between Iran and the United States has been disclosed. The content covers the Strait of Hormuz, regional military deployments, and arrangements for future agreements. Driven by the de-escalation of geopolitical tensions, gold prices dropped to their lowest levels since late March. Both major crude oil benchmarks plunged: WTI crude futures hit a low of $87.77 per barrel, the lowest since April 22, while Brent crude fell to a low of $94.17 per barrel.

TradingKey14 hours ago
Tradingkey - According to Iranian sources, a "preliminary informal document" regarding a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) framework between Iran and the United States has been disclosed. The content covers the Strait of Hormuz, regional military deployments, and arrangements for future agreements. Driven by the de-escalation of geopolitical tensions, gold prices dropped to their lowest levels since late March. Both major crude oil benchmarks plunged: WTI crude futures hit a low of $87.77 per barrel, the lowest since April 22, while Brent crude fell to a low of $94.17 per barrel.

More Details of Gold

Gold is a precious metal that has been valued by human civilizations for thousands of years. It is widely used for jewelry, art, and coinage, as well as for industrial and medical purposes. Gold is also a popular financial asset that investors buy and sell to hedge against inflation, currency fluctuations, and market risks. One of the main features of gold as an investment is its scarcity and durability. It is highly malleable, ductile, and resistant to corrosion and tarnishing, making it a long-lasting and reliable asset. It has a distinctive yellow color and a high luster. It is also a good conductor of electricity and heat. Gold can be alloyed with other metals to create different colors and hardness. The purity of gold is measured in karats, with 24 karats being pure gold. Gold is believed to have formed in the cores of massive stars that exploded as supernovae, scattering gold and other heavy elements into space. Some of these elements were incorporated into the Earth when it formed about 4.5 billion years ago. Most of the gold on Earth sank to the core during the planet's formation, but some remained in the crust and mantle, where it can be mined today. According to the World Gold Council, the total amount of gold mined in human history is about 200,000 metric tons, which would fit into a cube with sides of 21 meters. In the economic market, gold has high liquidity, so anywhere in the world, gold is always used for simple, easy buying and selling transactions without worrying about the original value being lost. The development of technology makes buying and selling more convenient and faster than ever. The global market value of gold is determined by the supply and demand of the metal, as well as by the expectations and sentiments of market participants. The main gold trading hubs are London, New York, and Shanghai, where gold is traded over-the-counter (OTC) or on futures and options exchanges. Other gold markets include Tokyo, Zurich, Dubai, Hong Kong, Singapore, and Mumbai. The global gold market operates 24 hours a day, seven days a week. Gold has various applications in different industries and sectors. Besides jewelry, which accounts for about half of the global gold demand, gold is also used for electronics, dentistry, medicine, aerospace, and glassmaking. Gold is also a key component of many religious and cultural artifacts, as well as a symbol of status and wealth. Gold is also used for gilding and gold leaf, which are thin sheets of gold applied to various surfaces for decoration. Gold is an attractive investment option for many reasons. Gold is considered a safe-haven asset that can preserve its value, as well as a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation, as it tends to perform well during periods of economic and political uncertainty and crisis. Gold is also a diversifier that can reduce the overall risk and volatility of a portfolio, as it has a low or negative correlation with other asset classes, such as stocks and bonds. Gold is also a liquid and accessible asset that can be bought and sold easily through various channels, such as bullion, coins, ETFs, CFDs, futures, and options. As an investment option, gold offers many benefits and opportunities for investors of all types and levels.

How can I start investing in gold as a beginner?

For beginners, there are two main paths:

  • Paper Gold: Investing in Gold ETFs (Exchange-Traded Funds) or mutual funds. These track the price of gold and can be bought through a standard brokerage account without the need for physical storage.
  • Physical Gold: Buying bullion coins or investment-grade bars (at least 99.5% purity). This offers direct ownership and no counterparty risk but requires secure storage.

Gold Bullion vs. Gold Mining Stocks: Which is better?

Whether gold bullion or gold mining stocks is the better investing option, it all boils down to your investing goals.

Gold bullion is best for wealth preservation and safety. It tracks the spot price of gold directly.

As for mining stocks, they offer leverage. When gold prices rise, mining company profits often grow at a faster rate, potentially leading to higher returns and dividends. However, they carry "management risk" and are more closely correlated with the broader stock market.


Method

Best For

Liquidity

Storage Needed?

Physical Gold Bullion

Long-term security

Moderate

Yes

Gold ETFs

Easy to trade

High

No

Mining Stocks

Growth and income

High

No

Digital Gold

Small budget investing

High

No



What factors affect gold's price?

When investing in gold, it is important to understand the factors affecting gold price.

Central Bank Policies

Central Banks play a pivotal role in determining gold price today. Their interest rate decisions and gold purchase programs significantly shape the market landscape.

When central bank lowers interest rates, causing negative real returns on cash and bonds, investors will move to gold as an alternative asset.

Geopolitical and Economic Events

Gold price is also affected by geopolitical events. In times of uncertainty and crisis, such as wars or economic upheaval, gold becomes a safe haven for investors.

Market Dynamics

Variables like gold production, jewelry demand, and investment flows affects the demand and supply for gold.

What is gold?

Gold is a rare precious metal used as a hedge against inflation and a global store of value.

What is the highest price of gold in history?

The gold price peaked at US$5,589.38 per ounce on January 28, 2026. This is the fresh all-time high price of gold.

What's the current price of Gold (XAUUSD)?

The opening price of gold (XAUUSD) on March 5, 2026 was USD5190.30/ounce.

What is the gold price forecast for 2026?

Current forecasts from major financial institutions like J.P. Morgan and UBS suggest a bullish outlook. Many analysts see gold prices trending toward the $5,000 to $6,300 per ounce range by the end of 2026, mainly driven by:

  • Continued "de-dollarization" by emerging economies.
  • Anticipated interest rate cuts reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets.
  • Persistent geopolitical conflicts.


What is the historical return of gold?

The historical return of gold has varied over time, with long-term average annual returns typically ranging between 1% to 10%. Gold is often considered a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty, leading to periods of significant price appreciation during times of market volatility or geopolitical instability.

What are the best hours to trade gold?

The best hours to trade gold are typically during the overlapping trading hours of major financial centers, such as London, New York, and Tokyo. This period, known as the "golden hours," often occurs during the European and U.S. market overlaps, which are between 8:00 am and 5:00 pm GMT. During these hours, there is typically higher liquidity, increased trading volume, and more price movement in the gold market, providing more opportunities for traders.

What is TK Alpha Gauge?

The TK Alpha Gauge is a proprietary, daily updated indicator designed to provide a clear outlook on specific financial instruments. Developed by TradingKey, the gauge acts as a quantitative compass for market direction. Much like how sentiment indices track the "mood" of the market, the Alpha Gauge utilizes a long-proven AI framework to strip away emotional bias and provide a high-conviction forecast based on cold, hard data.

What exactly is an "Alpha"?

An Alpha is a proprietary mathematical formula designed to identify and exploit specific market inefficiencies. Think of it as a quantitative "rule" that has demonstrated a historical ability to forecast price movements. By translating complex market patterns into actionable signals, Alpha provides the statistical edge necessary to consistently outperform the market.

How is TK Alpha Gauge Calculated?

The Gauge is powered by a long-proven AI framework that analyzes hundreds of predictors across three categories: Price-Volume: Historical and real-time movement trends. Fundamentals: Underlying financial health and valuation metrics. Alternative Data: Unique datasets that capture non-traditional market signals. The final score represents the signal's strength; the further the value is from zero, the higher the quantitative conviction.

How often is TK Alpha Gauge calculated?

Every component and the Index are calculated as soon as new data becomes available daily.

How to use TK Alpha Gauge?

The Index serves as a systematic tool to remove emotional bias and determine position sizing. Depending on the asset and strategy, it can be applied in two primary ways: 1. Long-Only Strategy (e.g., GLD) Commonly used for ETFs like GLD, the gauge dictates exposure based only on positive momentum: Positive Reading: Scale long exposure proportionally to the gauge value. Negative Reading: Maintain a flat position (zero lots) to avoid downside risk. 2. Long/Short Strategy (e.g., Gold Futures) In highly liquid markets like gold futures, the gauge allows for active trading in both directions: Bullish (>0): Take a long position, scaling the size as the value moves toward 100. Bearish (<0): Take a short position, increasing the short exposure as the value moves toward -100. Neutral (0): Exit all positions to remain flat during periods of no clear signal.

How does AI improve the investment process?

Unlike static technical indicators, machine learning models recognize complex, non-linear patterns, allowing for more precise predictions of price movements in volatile markets. AI can facilitate the processing of massive dataset and synthesizes hundreds of high-performance predictors to generate meaningful trading signals. Adaptive models continuously learn from live market shifts, automatically tuning strategy parameters to maintain peak performance across different economic regimes.

How do you use Volume and Price together?

We analyze the relationship between price action and market participation (volume) to measure the conviction behind a move. Ideally, price and volume should trend in harmony. Our system is designed to monitor the synergy between these two variables. By identifying the periods of decoupling, our framework can proactively shift to a defensive posture, prioritizing capital preservation.

How does the "Super Alpha" ensemble help me?

Rather than relying on a single “rule”, the "Super Alpha" ensemble aggregates hundreds of diverse predictors across three distinct categories. This creates a robust system: If one predictor is skewed by temporary market noise, the remaining signals provide a stabilizing correction. This multi-predictor ensemble approach is designed to maintain portfolio resilience and steady performance, even during periods of high market volatility.

What are Deep Learning and Neural Networks?

Deep learning is a subset of machine learning that uses highly sophisticated artificial neural networks to model and replicate the way the human brain processes information. At its core, deep learning relies on multi-layered deep neural networks. These networks consist of interconnected nodes (called neurons) organized in multiple layers. Data flows through these layers in a highly connected manner, allowing the model to automatically learn complex patterns and representations from large amounts of data. This architecture makes deep learning particularly powerful for tasks such as prediction, classification, and pattern recognition.

Related Instruments

Gold

4372.360
-83.150-1.87%
KeyAI