Analysis

On Monday, April 27, spot gold settled at $4,681.9, down nearly 0.6%. June gold futures in New York closed at $4,693.7 per ounce, falling approximately 1%. As of press time, spot gold edged down 0.18% to $4,672.2 during the Asian session. International gold prices remain under pressure as recurring

TradingKey - On April 26, Eastern Time, Citigroup raised its 2026 Brent crude oil price forecast to $150. Citing the deadlock in U.S.-Iran negotiations and the resulting persistent blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, Citi believes the situation in the Middle East has shifted from a short-term risk to a structural variable that could continuously disrupt global supply.

TradingKey - According to the latest reports, the second round of US-Iran negotiations remains inconclusive. The U.S. plans to dispatch negotiators to Pakistan this Saturday (April 25), but Iran has stated it has no intention of meeting directly with U.S. officials. Currently, Pakistan's Chief of Army Staff Asim Munir has held a meeting with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi in Islamabad.

TradingKey - Since the start of this week, the ongoing stalemate between the U.S. and Iran has fueled continued volatility in oil prices. Brent crude futures are currently trading near $107, up over 2% for the week, while WTI crude futures are around $97, down nearly 2%. Given persistent supply shor

TradingKey - As of the close on Wednesday, April 22 (ET), Brent crude oil futures settled at $101.91 per barrel, up 3.48%. WTI crude oil prices settled at $92.96 per barrel, up 3.67%.

TradingKey - In 2026, global assets exhibited localized see-saw dynamics against a backdrop of geopolitical conflict. Gold, long regarded as a safe-haven asset, underwent a sharp correction after hitting an all-time high in late January 2026.

TradingKey - In an AI-driven world where your assets and income are tied to the same bet, why is gold the one thing still being systematically undervalued?

TradingKey - On Wednesday, international oil prices fluctuated at high levels below $100 per barrel. Although U.S. President Trump announced an indefinite extension of the U.S.-Iran ceasefire agreement in an attempt to create space for peace negotiations, the ongoing shipping blockade in the Strait of Hormuz continues to drive up the market's geopolitical risk premium.

JPMorgan (JPM) Head of Commodities Natasha Kaneva's latest analysis points out that under a scenario where the U.S. Navy implements a comprehensive export blockade, Iran would need to begin production cuts in about 16 days and cease production entirely within 30 days.

TradingKey - On Tuesday (April 21), gold experienced sharp volatility at high levels, driven by uncertainty surrounding Trump regarding a U.S.-Iran ceasefire. Prices subsequently pulled back significantly, weighed down by stronger-than-expected U.S. retail sales data for March. Moving forward, gold

TradingKey - On April 21, during the early Asian trading session, crude oil futures continued their weak range-bound pattern. An increased inclination for profit-taking drove both major crude oil benchmarks lower, while the slight price pullback also reflected the market's cautious stance ahead of US-Iran negotiations. As of press time, WTI crude fell over 1% to $86.55, and Brent crude dropped 0.5% to $95.

TradingKey - Catalyzed by repeated closures of the Strait of Hormuz over the weekend and the re-escalation of Middle East tensions, compounded by the U.S. seizure of an Iranian merchant vessel and Iran firing on commercial ships, market expectations for a de-escalation in the Middle East have cooled significantly. Goldman Sachs stated that noticeably weak oil demand—particularly for petrochemical feedstocks and jet fuel—driven by high refined product prices and margins, could lead to further declines in oil prices.

TradingKey - Amid the geopolitical tug-of-war surrounding the Strait of Hormuz last week, gold prices experienced sharp volatility. Although gold prices plunged at the market open this week, technical analysis still indicates a higher probability of an upward trend.

TradingKey - Gold prices have recently maintained high-level volatility amid fluctuating US-Iran tensions. While sustained high oil prices have significantly raised US inflation expectations, thereby lowering the probability of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, the continuous accumulation of gold by global central banks still supports the long-term bullish thesis for the metal.

TradingKey - On April 17, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi announced on social platform X that the Strait of Hormuz will be open to all commercial vessels for the remainder of the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire. Trump subsequently confirmed the news, posting that the Iranian strait is now fully open

TradingKey - Amid the sustained trend of high oil prices, the Trump administration, under pressure from rising costs, has discussed increasing production with several oil companies. However, as capacity expansion requires time and oil price appreciation is primarily driven by geopolitical risks, thi

TradingKey - Since the escalation of the US-Iran conflict, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have repeatedly recurred, causing crude oil prices to rise in tandem with news flow. Crude oil prices have become a "barometer" of geopolitical risk, serving as a typical case of a market where price volatility is driven by news. According to the latest media reports, two US officials stated that US and Iranian negotiators made progress during Tuesday's talks and are moving toward a framework agreement to end the conflict.

Gold (XAU/USD) attracts some dip-buyers during the Asian session on Thursday and reverses a major part of the previous day's retracement slide from a nearly four-week high.

TradingKey - Gold prices (XAUUSD) hit new highs today (April 15), with spot gold briefly rising to $4,871.31 per ounce, reclaiming the $4,800 level, while U.S. gold futures approached $4,900. This rally was primarily driven by a weakening U.S. dollar and a recovery in risk appetite following expecta

TradingKey - Since April, as the conflict in the Middle East has continued to escalate, the oil market has undergone a dramatic transformation: WTI crude has been repriced, not only matching the performance of the global benchmark Brent crude but also surpassing it during several trading sessions. O