Analysis

ORLANDO, Florida, April 30 (Reuters) - China's 'nuclear' option in its financial war with the United States has long been assumed to be rapidly liquidating its outsized Treasury bond holdings, as this could crash the dollar, jack up interest rates and disrupt the U.S. economy.

TradingKey - The PCE is projected to fall below consensus market expectations, likely prompting the Federal Reserve to resume its rate-cutting cycle with larger-than-anticipated reductions, which would be bullish for U.S. equities.

TradingKey - After President Trump’s “Liberation Day” trade tariffs announcement, one of the weirdest things to happen in market was that bond yields actually rose significantly.

BEIJING, April 28 (Reuters) - China has advanced this year's stimulus plans but is holding off on fresh measures as it tries to maintain composure, betting on Washington blinking first in a protracted trade war.

TradingKey - U.S. President Donald Trump is approaching the 100-day mark of his second term on April 30. However, sharp declines in U.S. stocks, bonds, and the dollar, alongside rising recession forecasts from Wall Street, reflect widespread dissatisfaction with his administration’s performance.

LONDON, April 28 (Reuters) - The euro has unexpectedly surged since U.S. President Donald Trump's big tariffs announcement, which is likely to shave at least a couple of percentage points off European company earnings, adding to the impact of the levies themselves.

TOKYO/WASHINGTON, April 25 (Reuters) - When Tokyo's top trade negotiator met U.S. President Donald Trump for tariff talks at the White House earlier this month, he presented him with a gold-coloured piggy bank.

WASHINGTON, April 26 (Reuters) - Global policymakers gathering in Washington this week breathed a collective sigh of relief that the U.S.-centric economic order that prevailed for the past 80 years was not collapsing just yet despite Donald Trump's inward-looking approach.

TradingKey - Earlier this month, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield shot up more than 70 basis points in just a few days, climbing toward 4.6%. Not long ago, it had briefly fallen below 4%.

April 25 (Reuters) - Donald Trump is nearing the 100-day mark of his second presidency and investors are no closer to figuring out how to trade his policies, nor do central bankers have much clarity on how their economies may be affected.Additionally, earnings season is ramping up, there's cruci...

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told an investor gathering behind closed doors on Tuesday that the tariff standoff with China can’t last and that he thinks things will calm down. People who attended Bessent’s session at an event in Washington, D.C., put together by JPMorgan Chase & Co. said that

WASHINGTON, April 21 (Reuters Breakingviews) - A selloff in U.S. stocks, long-term government bonds and the dollar clearly traces back to policy choices by President Donald Trump's administration. Recent moves spawn a trio of worries: first, that a trade war will hit business...

April 22 (Reuters) - President Donald Trump on Monday kept up his verbal assault on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over the Fed's refusal for now to further cut interest rates, rattling financial markets growing ever more fearful that Trump may ultimately try to fire the U.S. central bank c...

TradingKey - As the U.S. enters a new rate cycle, the quantitative tightening (QT)—initially launched to reduce the Federal Reserve’s bloated balance sheet following the COVID-19 pandemic—is also nearing its conclusion. A key metric in gauging when to end QT is the scale of the Fed’s ON RRP...

TradingKey – U.S. stocks continued to decline last week, with the Dow Jones and Nasdaq both down more than 2.6%, and the S&P 500 shedding 1.5%.

LONDON, April 17 (Reuters) - Traders saw the all-clear on Thursday from the European Central Bank to bet on even steeper interest rate cuts ahead, confident the central bank will ease policy further if trade tensions dent a fragile economy.

HONG KONG, April 17 (Reuters Breakingviews) - With China and the United States engaged in a full-on trade war, anxious investors are asking which side can press its financial advantage given Beijing's vast holdings of U.S. Treasuries. In truth the situation is more of a fraught equilibrium both side

TradingKey - In recent years, whenever the U.S. stock market experiences sharp volatility, it not only sees a rise in the VIX Index but also a surge in trading of zero-day-to-expiration options (0DTE). These instruments have frequently been blamed by media outlets for exacerbating market swings.

TradingKey - On 17 April 2025, the European Central Bank (ECB) will announce its April policy rate decision, with markets overwhelmingly pricing in a 25-basis-point cut, lowering the Deposit Facility Rate to 2.25%. This aligns with our baseline expectation.

GUANGZHOU, China, April 16 (Reuters) - The rapid rise of ultra-fast fashion retailer Shein has been so key to the fortunes of a group of urban villages on the outskirts of China's southern metropolis of Guangzhou that they have been colloquially dubbed "Shein villages".