Analysis

TradingKey - Is your wealth really growing, or just quietly paying down America’s debt for it?

TradingKey — U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on Tuesday offered a rare endorsement of the Federal Reserve’s decision to hold rates steady, yet Goldman Sachs is refusing to blink on its call for two cuts this year. Why?

TradingKey - Following the rebound of the March CPI to 3.3% YoY last week, market focus has shifted to the March Producer Price Index (PPI) scheduled for release on Tuesday, ET. This serves as a critical window for the Federal Reserve to assess when inflationary pressures will transmit to final consumption and as a benchmark to gauge the impact of Middle East conflicts on the real economy.

TradingKey - On April 13, ET, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, a key figure in the Trump administration, stated that amid the outbreak of war with Iran and surging oil prices, the Federal Reserve should "wait and assess" rather than rushing to cut interest rates. This stance suggests that the White House may briefly align with the Federal Reserve on economic policy. Previously, Trump had repeatedly pressured the Fed to cut rates and even threatened to remove Chairman Jerome Powell.

TradingKey — Latest reports indicate that the White House’s confidence in Kevin Warsh taking over as Fed Chair in May has significantly strengthened.

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TradingKey - Energy price shockwaves triggered by the U.S.-Iran war are profoundly impacting the U.S. economy. The latest March Consumer Price Index (CPI) data released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics shows that CPI rose sharply by 0.9% month-on-month, with the year-on-year increase climbing to 3.3%.

TradingKey - At 8:30 AM ET on Friday, the U.S. Department of Labor will release the March Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. The market generally expects inflation to record its sharpest monthly jump since 2022. This will be the first inflation report to fully incorporate the surge in oil prices and serves as a key data point to test whether the "energy shock" has spread across the broader economy.

TradingKey - According to The Wall Street Journal, the situation in the Middle East continues to deteriorate. The March non-farm payroll report, set for release at 8:30 AM ET on April 30, will be the first major data point since the outbreak of the US-Iran conflict. Under the dual impact of weak emp

TradingKey - Market data shows that the current probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates in 2026 is approximately 45%, significantly higher than the 12% recorded before the outbreak of the war in Iran. However, Goldman Sachs (GS) takes a different view, contending that market expect

TradingKey - On the evening of March 29, 2026, a power and desalination facility in Kuwait was directly hit by Iranian missiles, resulting in casualties. Kuwaiti authorities have explicitly characterized the incident as an "attack" rather than an accidental strike. Simultaneously, the Kuwaiti milita

TradingKey - Amid geopolitical conflicts driving up energy prices and market concerns over a resurgence in inflation, Powell's latest remarks provided key guidance: short-term shocks are not yet sufficient to alter the policy path, and the Federal Reserve remains inclined to "stand pat and observe."

TradingKey - Price hike pressures on PC hardware are spreading from memory and storage chips to the processor sector. The CPU market is currently initiating a round of price increases averaging 10% to 15%, impacting both server and consumer products.

TradingKey — The Japanese Government Bond (JGB) market has recently undergone a rare and sharp repricing. With 5-year JGB yields hitting record highs and 10-year yields nearing multi-decade peaks, market expectations for an accelerated end to Japan's era of ultra-low interest rates are rapidly inten

(Reuters Breakingviews) - Wall Street’s lucrative private-credit empire is facing its first true stress test. Funds targeting wealthy individuals set up by BlackRock BLK.N, Morgan Stanley MS.N and peers are limiting withdrawals, as small-dollar backers desert a $23...

TradingKey - As Donald Trump once again signals a de-escalation of Middle East tensions, global markets have swiftly entered "TACO trade" mode: risk assets rebounded, safe-haven assets retreated, and volatility quickly contracted.

TradingKey - On March 23, Eastern Time, ahead of the U.S. market open, Donald Trump signaled a potential de-escalation.

TradingKey - Amid the oil price-driven inflationary shock triggered by the war in Iran, previous widespread market expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts have completely dissipated, forcing bond traders to scramble to adjust their strategies. Traders are further increasing bets on Fed rate hikes, anticipating a 20-basis-point increase by the end of the year.

TradingKey - Following the latest policy meeting, several Federal Reserve officials have issued a flurry of signals to anchor expectations, but market reactions have significantly diverged. Despite the policy-level emphasis on stability, financial markets have "voted with their feet"—U.S. stocks weakened, yields climbed, and rate cut expectations have been continuously pushed back.

TradingKey - For a while, talk of a U.S. recession had slipped quietly into the background, replaced by a more familiar mix of inflation concerns and trump tariffs. Now, it is back at the centre of the conversation.