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Earnings
Federal Reserve: Hawkish hold may offer US Dollar limited support – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights that markets face a genuinely live Federal Reserve (Fed) decision, with futures implying about a 35% chance of a hike and a hold still the base case.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 29
Federal Reserve set to hold interest rates steady, yet a hike can’t be ruled out
The United States (US) Federal Reserve (Fed) announces its interest rate decision on Wednesday, another pivotal meeting for markets to gauge the stance of policymakers as they assess how rising crude Oil prices could impact the inflation outlook.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 29
Swiss National Bank: Rates seen on prolonged hold – Commerzbank
Michael Pfister of Commerzbank argues that subdued imported inflation and low exchange rate pass-through give the Swiss National Bank (SNB) little reason to tighten policy.
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 29
Singapore Dollar: Range guidance around NEER band – UOB
UOB’s SGD NEER model shows the index at 1.68% above the midpoint of the policy band, after ending the previous session 171 basis points above it. The model is expected to remain between 1.40% and 1.90% above the midpoint today, implying a USD/SGD trading range of 1.2898–1.2963.
USD/SGD
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 29
Trump vows fresh strikes on Iran after missiles targeting US forces are intercepted
According to Reuters, United States (US) President Donald Trump said in a phone interview with Fox News on Wednesday that the US would carry out further strikes against Iran in response to attacks targeting US positions in Jordan.
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 29
Australian Dollar: Softer CPI keeps RBA on hold – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists note that Australia’s Q2 Consumer Price Index (CPI) and June headline inflation came in below expectations, easing pressure on the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA).
AUD/USD
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 29
Federal Reserve: Hawkish hold could restore Dollar support – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s Elias Haddad expects the Federal Open Market Committee to keep the federal funds target range unchanged at 3.50%-3.75% for a fifth consecutive meeting.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 29
Swiss Franc: Moderate pass-through weigh on CHF against Euro – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister analyses how the Swiss National Bank’s recent shift toward tolerating a weaker Swiss Franc affects inflation and EUR/CHF.
EUR/CHF
USD/CHF
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 29
United States MBA Mortgage Applications down to -6.4% in July 24 from previous 1.9%
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 29
Yemen's Houthis mulls imposing fees on vessels transiting Southern Red Sea route
According to a Reuters report, Yemen's Houthis are considering imposing fees on commercial ships sailing through the Southern Red Sea. The report also shows that Houthis might exempt China's shipping fleet from any fee system.
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 29
Federal Reserve: Extended pause guidance – UOB
UOB Global Economics & Markets Research notes that the Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep the Federal Funds Target Rate at 3.50%-3.75% at the July FOMC meeting.
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 29
Canadian Dollar: BoC minutes watched for inflation tone – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists expect the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) Summary of Deliberations to shed light on the July decision, focusing on how policymakers view inflation amid recent energy price moves and Consumer Price Index (CPI) forecast revisions.
USD/CAD
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 29
Australian Dollar: Softer inflation supports RBA pause – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur notes that weaker-than-expected Australian inflation has sharply reduced market-implied odds of an August RBA rate hike and pushed the AUD lower.
AUD/USD
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 29
ECB’s Patsalides: If higher oil prices persist, inflation risks rise
The remarks from European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker and Governor of the Central Bank of Cyprus, Christodoulos Patsalides, released during the European trading session on Wednesday signal a warning of further acceleration in inflationary pressures if oil prices remain higher.
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 29
Federal Reserve: Surprise risk keeps global rates elevated – ING
ING’s Michiel Tukker expects the Federal Reserve (Fed) to keep rates on hold, even as markets price a 30% chance of a hike. He notes that any decision will move United States (US) rates and influence global curves.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 29
Australian Dollar: Softer inflation tempers rate hike odds – MUFG
MUFG’s Lee Hardman notes that the Australian Dollar, a beneficiary of AI-related demand, has weakened after another softer-than-expected Australian Consumer Price Index (CPI) release.
AUD/USD
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 29
US Dollar: Long positioning faces FOMC risk – DBS
DBS Bank’s Philip Wee notes that Dollar bulls have built substantial long USD positions ahead of the FOMC, encouraged by Brent’s sharp rebound and expectations of a surprise rate hike by Chairman Kevin Warsh.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 29
Federal Reserve: Poised decision keeps markets on edge – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank’s US economists expect the Federal Reserve to leave rates unchanged at a highly uncertain FOMC meeting, with markets pricing a significant chance of a hike.
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 29
Forex Today: Mood sours as Mideast conflict widens, focus shifts to Fed
Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, July 29:
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 29
Indian Rupee: Hedging demand rises on bond gains – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights that INR faces strong selling pressure from a rebalancing perspective, as Indian bonds have outperformed major peers. With INR flows broadly flat, FX exposure has risen and investors are advised to keep hedging elevated after strong duration gains.
Gold
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 29
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