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US forces to withdraw from vicinity of Iran and lift blockade in draft MOU – Iran's State TV

Iran's State TV reported that it has a draft of the initial unofficial framework of the Memorandum of Understanding with the United States (US).

Fxstreet

Wed, May 27

ADP Employment Change 4-week average comes at 35.75K

Private-sector hiring in the US has cooled in early May. According to the NER Pulse, the weekly companion to the ADP National Employment Report, companies added an average of 35.75K jobs per week in the four weeks ending May 9.

Fxstreet

Wed, May 27

United States ADP Employment Change 4-week average: 35.75K (May 2) vs previous 42.25K

United States ADP Employment Change 4-week average: 35.75K (May 2) vs previous 42.25K

Fxstreet

Wed, May 27

Brent: Support at $96 with tail-risk above $200 – Societe Generale

Societe Generale’s commodity team notes Brent has lost its 50-day moving average and is testing support around $96.

Fxstreet

Wed, May 27

Equities: AI and peace hopes drive divergence – BNY

BNY’s Bob Savage highlights that global equities extend gains on AI optimism and Iran peace talks.

Fxstreet

Wed, May 27

Australian Dollar: Mixed CPI backs extended RBA pause – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes AUD/USD slid toward 0.7136 and is expected to settle closer to 0.7000, consistent with Australia–US 2‑year yield spreads.

Fxstreet

Wed, May 27

Hungarian Forint: Forint strength opens easing room – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose reports that Hungary’s MNB kept rates at 6.25%, citing Iran-related inflation risks but acknowledging room to cut after a strong Forint rally.

Fxstreet

Wed, May 27

New Zealand Dollar: RBNZ signals extended hiking cycle – TD Securities

TD Securities reports that the RBNZ kept the OCR at 2.25% in a split decision, with Governor Breman’s casting vote preserving the hold.

Fxstreet

Wed, May 27

United States MBA Mortgage Applications fell from previous -2.3% to -8.5% in May 22

United States MBA Mortgage Applications fell from previous -2.3% to -8.5% in May 22

Fxstreet

Wed, May 27

New Zealand Dollar: Hawkish RBNZ supports currency – Danske Bank

Danske Research Team notes that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) kept its policy rate at 2.25%, matching expectations, but signalled a need for faster tightening. They now project at least two more hikes by year-end, which lifted the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) and front-end yields.

Fxstreet

Wed, May 27

Brent: Prolonged Hormuz closure lifts price outlook – Rabobank

RaboResearch Global Economics & Markets updates its Brent crude outlook as it assumes the Strait of Hormuz remains closed for several more months, potentially reopening in September.

Fxstreet

Wed, May 27

WTI falls to near $89.00 as US-Iran peace hopes prevail

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price depreciates nearly 4% after registering over 3% gains in the previous day, trading around $88.90 per barrel during the European hours on Wednesday. Crude oil prices decline as traders weigh potential progress toward a US-Iran peace agreement.

Fxstreet

Wed, May 27

Gold: De-escalation seen lifting prices into year-end – Commerzbank

Commerzbank analyst Norman Liebke notes that Gold and Silver have dropped as renewed US strikes in the Gulf reinforced the inverse link with Oil. Higher energy prices raise inflation and rate fears, weighing on non-yielding metals.

Fxstreet

Wed, May 27

Australian Dollar: Peak risk builds against NZD – Societe Generale

Societe Generale’s Kenneth Broux and colleagues note that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) held rates at 2.25% but turned more hawkish, while Australia’s softer Consumer Price Index (CPI) and underwhelming jobs data have markets trimming Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) hike expectations.

Fxstreet

Wed, May 27

Italy Industrial Sales n.s.a. (YoY) climbed from previous 0.5% to 4.4% in March

Italy Industrial Sales n.s.a. (YoY) climbed from previous 0.5% to 4.4% in March

Fxstreet

Wed, May 27

Italy Industrial Sales s.a. (MoM) increased to 2% in March from previous 0.6%

Italy Industrial Sales s.a. (MoM) increased to 2% in March from previous 0.6%

Fxstreet

Wed, May 27

Austria UniCredit Bank Manufacturing PMI increased to 51.7 in May from previous 51.2

Austria UniCredit Bank Manufacturing PMI increased to 51.7 in May from previous 51.2

Fxstreet

Wed, May 27

Forex Today: Markets stabilize despite lack of clarity over US-Iran truce deal

Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, May 27:

Fxstreet

Wed, May 27

Brent: Pullback from recent peak tempers yields – Danske Bank

Danske Research Team highlights that Brent Oil has eased from a recent high near USD 100.5 per barrel to around USD 98. The move is described as limited, but sufficient to take some pressure off US Treasury yields.

Fxstreet

Wed, May 27

Asian stock market remains mixed amid US-Iran uncertainty, KOSPI soars

Asian equity markets reflect a mixed performance on Wednesday, while uncertainty surrounding a breakthrough in the United States (US)-Iran negotiations has escalated, following Washington’s attacks on southern Iran.

Fxstreet

Wed, May 27

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