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Asian FX: Growth risks rise with energy shock – MUFG
MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Michael Wan highlights that higher Oil prices and potential energy shortages are increasingly weighing on Asian FX.
Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 31
Malaysia: Inflation pressures contained with policy support – UOB
UOB reports that the central bank of Malaysia, Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) expects 2026 headline inflation to average 1.5%-2.5%, with core inflation at 1.8%-2.3%.
Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 31
Forex Today: US Dollar weakens, stocks rise on Iran peace hopes
The US Dollar Index (DXY) fell to near the 100.00 region on Tuesday, holding a weak tone as the US Dollar (USD) lost its safe-haven demand amid growing hopes of a de-escalation of the war in the Middle East.
Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 31
Taiwan: Higher energy costs reshape outlook – Standard Chartered
Standard Chartered’s Senior Economist Tommy Wu revises Taiwan’s 2026 macro outlook as higher Oil and LNG prices from Middle East tensions lift import costs. The bank now sees CPI inflation at 2.1% instead of 1.5%, and trims GDP growth to 7.6% from 8.0%.
Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 31
China: PMI expansion masks risks – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Dr. Henry Hao notes that China’s March PMIs show manufacturing back in expansion, supported by restocking, government spending and resilient exports, while non-manufacturing also edges above 50.
Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 31
Colombia: Oil‑supported recovery with tighter BanRep – Societe Generale
According to Societe Generale’s Dev Ashish, higher Oil prices improve Colombia’s outlook, with growth expected to move back toward potential in 2026–27. Inflation expectations are stabilizing, though Oil passthrough could generate temporary upside.
Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 31
Canada: Growth rebound faces policy headwinds – NBC
National Bank of Canada (NBC) economists Matthieu Arseneau and Alexandra Ducharme say Canada’s real GDP started 2026 on a firmer footing, with January growth beating expectations and preliminary data pointing to a solid Q1 gain.
Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 31
Fed’s Schmid: Can't assume inflation from higher oil prices will be transitory
Jeffrey Schmid, President of the Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Kansas City, said that inflation is the more salient risk for the Fed. Adding that there is a real risk inflation will get stuck closer to 3% in remarks prepared for delivery to the Rotary Club of Oklahoma City on Tuesday.
Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 31
Brazil creates fewer formal jobs than expected in February
BRASILIA, March 31 (Reuters) - Brazil's economy created a net 255,321 formal jobs in February, data from the Labor Ministry showed on Tuesday, below the 270,150 expected by economists in a Reuters poll.The net figure accounts for 2,381,767 jobs opened and 2,126,446 closed during the period, the ...
Reuters
Tue, Mar 31
Hungary: Wage surge masks softening labour outlook – ING
ING economists Peter Virovacz and Zoltán Homolya note that Hungary’s January wage data are heavily distorted by a one-off bonus to military and law enforcement staff, leaving underlying wage growth much lower than the headline figure.
EUR/HUF
USD/CZK
Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 31
Brazil creates fewer formal jobs than expected in February
BRASILIA, March 31 (Reuters) - Brazil's economy created a net 255,321 formal jobs in February, data from the Labor Ministry showed on Tuesday, below the 270,150 expected by economists in a Reuters poll.
Reuters
Tue, Mar 31
Euro area: Energy shock limits ECB hikes – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Senior Economist Dr. Vincent Stamer notes Euro area inflation rose to 2.5% in March, driven entirely by higher energy prices linked to the Iran War, while core inflation slipped to 2.3%.
Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 31
WRAPUP 1-US consumer confidence rises, but job openings and hiring drop sharply
Job openings fell by 358,000 in February, led by declines in small and mid-sized businessesLayoffs and discharges rose to 1.721 million, with the rate ticking up to 1.1%Conference Board survey shows fewer plans to buy big-ticket items despite some optimismBy Lucia Mutikani WASHINGTON, March 31 (R...
Reuters
Tue, Mar 31
Fed's Schmid warns against complacency on inflation
March 31 (Reuters) - Kansas City Federal Reserve President Jeff Schmid on Tuesday warned against assuming higher energy prices will have only a transitory effect on inflation, given that inflation was running near 3% even before the Iran war set off a surge in oil prices, and progress toward the Fed...
Reuters
Tue, Mar 31
TREASURIES-US government bonds advance as Middle East de‑escalation talk lifts demand
US 2/10 yield-curve bull steepens US rate futures shift from pricing hikes to modest easingUS notes, bonds headed for monthly increaseBy Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss NEW YORK, March 31 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasuries ended the first quarter higher on Tuesday, rebounding after a month of heavy selling, as...
Reuters
Tue, Mar 31
US CB Consumer Confidence Index rose to 91.8 in March
US consumer sentiment picked up marginal pace in March, as the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index ticked a tad higher to 91.8 from February’s 91.0 (revised from 91.2).
Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 31
USD/CAD: Upside focus on 1.40 target – TD Securities
TD Securities analysts note that USD/CAD has been resilient despite stronger Canadian GDP data, as month-end and quarter-end Dollar demand offsets other forces. The pair has broken above its mid-January highs and they now highlights 1.40 as the next key level.
USD/CAD
Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 31
Iran IRGC: Will target US companies in region as of April 1
Iran's state media reported on Tuesday that Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) announced that they will target United States (US) companies, including Google, Apple, Intel, Boeing, IBM and Tesla, in the region as of April 1 in retaliation for attacks on Iran.
Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 31
Euro zone bonds steady as war brings inflation, growth risks
Euro zone yields steady as war rumbles onEuro area inflation jumped to 2.5% in MarchGrowth fears mount due to energy shockBy Harry Robertson LONDON, March 31 (Reuters) - Euro zone government bond yields were little changed on Tuesday after falling the previous day, as traders weighed the chances ...
Reuters
Tue, Mar 31
Brazil: Growth to lag trend as policy tightens – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s Dev Ashish expects Brazil’s economy to expand below trend in 2026 as tighter policy and a weaker external backdrop weigh on activity. Inflation is seen pressured by higher Oil prices, though soft demand offers some cushion.
Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 31
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