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Spain: Growth expected to fall below 2% in 2027 – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Dr. Vincent Stamer analyzes Spain’s strong economic performance, with GDP expected to grow 2.6% in 2026, far ahead of other Euro area economies.
Fxstreet
Mon, Oct 26
Germany: Ifo gains signal resilient growth momentum - ING
ING’s Carsten Brzeski highlights German economic resilience as the Ifo index rises for the sixth straight month to 90.2, its highest level in over three years. While the current assessment shows initial strain from higher energy prices and interest rates, expectations have improved.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, Oct 26
Euro area: Modest GDP growth and mixed inflation - Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s research team expects Euro area Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for 3Q26 to grow modestly, highlighting resilience despite high energy prices and adverse summer weather. Country-level forecasts show Spain leading, followed by France and Italy, with Germany flat.
Fxstreet
Mon, Oct 26
United Kingdom: Investment push lifts borrowing – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank economists Sanjay Raja and Maui Brennan assess UK Autumn Budget leaks suggesting Chancellor Healey will deploy Public Financial Institutions (PuFins) more aggressively than assumed.
Fxstreet
Mon, Oct 26
Swiss Franc: Further gains hinge on Euro resistance - Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s technical team notes EUR/CHF has broken a multi-month ascending trend line and briefly slipped below its 200-day moving average, forming an interim low near 0.9195. They see a rebound developing but stress the importance of reclaiming 0.9335/0.9370.
EUR/CHF
Fxstreet
Mon, Oct 26
Reserve Bank of New Zealand: October rate hike now seen – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Prashant Newnaha now expects the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to raise the Official Cash Rate by 25bps to 3% at the October meeting, having previously forecast a pause.
Fxstreet
Mon, Oct 26
Bank of Canada: Policy rate seen on hold – Rabobank
Rabobank strategists Christian Lawrence and Molly Schwartz expect the Bank of Canada (BoC) to keep its overnight policy rate at 2.25% on October 28, despite OIS markets pricing an 85% chance of a hike.
Fxstreet
Mon, Oct 26
Australian Dollar: Inflation data to bolster yield edge – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad highlights that Australia’s September and Q3 Consumer Price Index (CPI) are expected to stay above the Reserve Bank of Australia’s year-end forecasts.
AUD/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, Oct 26
Euro: Upside capped near 1.1270 against US Dollar – ING
ING's Chris Turner notes that resilient Eurozone PMIs contrast with France's weak growth and persistent fiscal challenges.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, Oct 26
US Dollar: October Fed pause raises December hike odds - TD Securities
TD Securities’ Oscar Munoz and Eli Nir expect the FOMC to keep the Fed Funds Rate at 4.00% in October, validating current market pricing while avoiding fresh forward guidance.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Mon, Oct 26
Euro remains steady against Canadian Dollar following Germany's IFO business data
EUR/CAD depreciates after opening at a bullish gap, remaining in positive territory and trading around 1.5710 during European hours on Monday. The currency cross moves little following the release of Germany’s IFO business data.
EUR/CAD
Fxstreet
Mon, Oct 26
Germany’s IFO Business Climate Index unexpectedly improves to 90.2 in October
The German IFO Institute Business Climate Index improves to 90.2 in October. The sentiment data was expected to come in lower at 89.8 from 89.9 in September.
Fxstreet
Mon, Oct 26
CEE FX: Zloty seen underperforming peers – ING
ING strategist Frantisek Taborsky remains bearish on Central and Eastern European currencies after last week’s risk-off move. He flags EUR/PLN’s break above 4.400 and sees further upside as the Zloty stays the region’s weak link.
EUR/PLN
Fxstreet
Mon, Oct 26
Equities: Global stocks under pressure ahead of tech earnings - Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank strategists highlight pressure on global equities, with AI-related weakness dragging down US technology stocks and credit spreads widening for selected firms. European markets also suffered losses, while Asian indices showed a mixed performance.
Fxstreet
Mon, Oct 26
Canadian Dollar: BoC rate hike bets boost support against USD - BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad expects the Bank of Canada (BoC) to begin a new tightening cycle with a 25bps hike to 2.50%, citing rising inflation risks.
USD/CAD
Fxstreet
Mon, Oct 26
Indian Rupee: Range consolidation with growth support against US Dollar – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Charlie Lay highlights India’s composite PMI at a four‑month high, reinforcing resilient growth and aligning with the RBI’s upgraded GDP forecast. Softer price pressures could allow the RBI to pause in December, though further tightening is possible.
Fxstreet
Mon, Oct 26
Equities: AI rotation favours smaller caps and overlooked sectors - HSBC
HSBC Asset Management discusses how the AI-led tech sell-off exposed fragility in mega-cap indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. The report argues that equal-weighted benchmarks and left-behind sectors could benefit if AI stumbles or even if it continues, as spillovers and broader capex lift Industrials and Financials. Globally diversified portfolios across sectors and market caps are seen as well positioned.
Fxstreet
Mon, Oct 26
Forex Today: Mood improves slightly to begin critical central bank week
Here is what you need to know on Monday, October 26:
Fxstreet
Mon, Oct 26
Indonesian Rupiah weakens amid fiscal, BI trade-off concerns
USD/IDR gains ground for the fourth successive day, trading around 18,150 during Asian hours on Monday. The pair appreciates as the Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) faces challenges due to fiscal concerns that persist amid higher oil prices, given Indonesia’s status as a net oil importer.
Fxstreet
Mon, Oct 26
Singapore Industrial Production (YoY) declined to 3.4% in September from previous 15.4%
Fxstreet
Mon, Oct 26
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