EUR/GBP

Volkmar Baur at Commerzbank highlights the UK economy’s resilient growth, with upward revisions to GDP and solid monthly data. With inflation still sticky and core inflation at 2.6%, he now expects the Bank of England to hike rates in November and again in February to 4.25%.

The Euro (EUR) trims losses against the British Pound (GBP) on Friday, as the bond rout eased, allowing for a mild risk appetite during the Asian session.

EUR/GBP struggles to attract buyers and edges lower on Thursday, remaining on the back foot for a tenth consecutive day as France’s political and budget concerns keep the Euro (EUR) under pressure against major currencies. Traders also assess central bank remarks from both sides of the Channel.

Lee Hardman at MUFG highlights that the Pound has rallied sharply against the Euro as Euro-zone fiscal concerns intensify, driving EUR/GBP to fresh year-to-date lows.

ING’s Chris Turner writes that EUR/GBP has been pressured by French-related Euro risk but Sterling may gain further support if the Bank of England aligns with other central banks and hikes rates. Markets will watch centrist policymakers Andrew Bailey and Claire Lombardelli for any hint of backing a hike. ING sees strong support at 0.8455/0.8465, with potential tests of 0.8400 if a November hike looks likely.

The EUR/GBP cross recovers some lost ground to near 0.8485, snapping the nine-day losing streak during the early European trading hours on Thursday. The British Pound (GBP) edges lower against the Euro (EUR) amid UK fiscal risks.