USD/CAD

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret highlight that USD/CAD around 1.4269 shows signs of consolidation after a sharp Canadian Dollar (CAD) weakening since early September. Price action is closely tracking the 2-year US–Canada spread, with Oil offering some support to CAD.

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) posts marginal losses on Thursday with the safe-haven US Dollar (USD) favoured by the risk-averse mood, as tensions in the Middle East boost Crude prices and the global bond selloff extends.

The USD/CAD pair attracts some sellers during the first half of the European session on Thursday, though it lacks follow-through and currently trades around mid-1.4200s, nearly unchanged for the day.

USD/CAD remains stronger for the second successive day, trading around 1.4270 during Asian hours on Thursday. However, potential gains for the pair may be capped by strength in the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD), which could draw support from rising crude oil prices.

The USD/CAD pair retains its bullish undertone on Thursday, trading around the 1.4265 region during the Asian session, well within striking distance of the highest level since April 2025, touched earlier this week.

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note USD/CAD around 1.4227 with the Canadian Dollar (CAD) flat versus the US Dollar (USD) but outperforming most G10 peers. CAD retains much of Tuesday’s 0.4% gain, helped by a stronger August trade balance.