USD/CAD

Rabobank’s FX Strategy team observes that CAD net shorts have risen again after a recent collapse. USD/CAD has continued to grind higher, gaining 2.77% from recent lows to 1.414, with the 14‑day RSI indicating overbought conditions.

USD/CAD extends its rally on Monday as diverging monetary policy outlooks between the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Canada (BoC) keep the US Dollar (USD) favoured, outweighing support for the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD) from higher Oil prices.

The USD/CAD pair trades in positive territory near 1.4155 during the early European trading hours on Monday. The US Dollar (USD) edges higher against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) as hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations build.

USD/CAD extends its gains for the sixth consecutive day, trading around 1.4150 during Asian hours on Monday. The pair appreciates as the Canadian Dollar (CAD) is declining under pressure from expectations of a widening interest-rate differential between the United States (US) and Canada.

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note that the Canadian Dollar (CAD) is flat versus the US Dollar (USD) and lagging most G10 peers. They highlight that wider US–Canada yield spreads have weighed on the CAD, but see the move as stretched.

USD/CAD trades little changed on Friday as the US Dollar (USD) pulls back slightly after a strong rally this week. The pause in the Greenback and Treasury yields has offered little relief to the Canadian Dollar (CAD), leaving it on track for a second consecutive weekly decline.