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JPY: Policy expectations steady into BoJ – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley notes that despite shifting rate expectations elsewhere in G10, surveys show BoJ watchers still expect a rate hike by the end of June.
USD/JPY
Fxstreet
Thu, Mar 12
USD/JPY remains stable near yearly highs as geopolitical risks, Fed policy loom
USD/JPY trades around 158.90 on Thursday at the time of writing, showing little change on the day.
USD/JPY
Fxstreet
Thu, Mar 12
AUD: RBA hike bets and 0.7200 target – ING
ING’s Francesco Pesole highlights the Australian Dollar as a key G10 outperformer, supported by strong RBA hike expectations and high Oil prices. Markets now assign a 70% probability to a 25bp hike next week, with AUD/USD seen targeting 0.7200 if equities hold up.
AUD/USD
Fxstreet
Thu, Mar 12
Brazil IPCA Inflation above forecasts (0.65%) in February: Actual (0.7%)
Brazil IPCA Inflation above forecasts (0.65%) in February: Actual (0.7%)
Fxstreet
Thu, Mar 12
EUR/GBP rebounds as markets reassess ECB, BoE policy amid inflation fears
EUR/GBP rebounds on Thursday, with the Euro (EUR) gaining 0.08% against the Pound Sterling (GBP), hovering around 0.8632 at the time of writing.
EUR/GBP
Fxstreet
Thu, Mar 12
USD/TRY: Tactical pause masks inflation risks – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose expects the Central Bank of Turkey to keep rates on hold, seeing this as a tactical pause rather than a shift in strategy.
USD/TRY
Fxstreet
Thu, Mar 12
EUR/GBP: Market too hawkish on BoE path – ING
ING analysts see markets as overly aggressive on Bank of England expectations, with easing priced out after the Iran conflict. They note EUR/GBP’s negative correlation with Oil and warn that no rate changes are now expected by year-end.
EUR/GBP
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Thu, Mar 12
AUD/USD: RBA hawkish stance supports resilience – DBS
Philip Wee at DBS Group Research highlights that the Australian Dollar has outperformed in G10 despite the Iran conflict. He attributes AUD strength to Reserve Bank of Australia policy divergence and a firmly hawkish stance.
AUD/USD
Fxstreet
Thu, Mar 12
JPY: Energy shock raises bar for intervention – MUFG
MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Lee Hardman notes the Japanese Yen has underperformed since the Middle East conflict, with USD/JPY back near year-to-date highs.
USD/JPY
Fxstreet
Thu, Mar 12
EUR/USD: Downside risks with 1.150 in focus – ING
ING’s FX team argues that while Europe is better positioned on gas than in 2022, the Euro remains vulnerable against the Dollar.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Thu, Mar 12
TRY: Policy stays tight as CBRT holds – Societe Generale
Societe Generale expects the CBRT to keep the one-week repo rate at 37.0% and maintain a hawkish stance, with effective funding already pushed to 40% via the overnight lending window. The bank notes heavy FX reserve use and liquidity draining to support the Lira and tight conditions.
USD/TRY
Fxstreet
Thu, Mar 12
EUR/USD Price Forecast: Holds losses near 1.1550 as bearish bias prevails
EUR/USD continues to lose ground for the third consecutive day, trading around 1.1550 during the European hours on Thursday. Daily chart technical analysis indicates a persistent bearish bias as the pair moves downwards within a descending channel pattern.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Thu, Mar 12
USD/INR: Rupee vulnerability under Strait of Hormuz shock – MUFG
MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Michael Wan warns the Indian Rupee is vulnerable under a prolonged Iran–Middle East conflict and Strait of Hormuz closure, with USD/INR potentially rising above 95.
Fxstreet
Thu, Mar 12
USD/JPY: Hawkish BOJ risks at multi‑decade highs – DBS
DBS Group Research’s Philip Wee warns that caution is warranted on USD/JPY as the pair trades near the 159–160 resistance zone after Operation Epic Fury. He expects the Bank of Japan to deliver a hawkish hold on March 19, distinguishing temporary supply-led inflation from demand-pull pressures.
USD/JPY
Fxstreet
Thu, Mar 12
GBP/USD Price Forecast: Trades below 1.3400 after pulling back from nine-day EMA
GBP/USD extends its losses for the third successive session, trading around 1.3380 during the early European hours on Wednesday.
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Thu, Mar 12
EUR/USD: Real rate shock weighs on Euro – OCBC
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong argue that higher nominal ECB rate expectations are failing to support the Euro as Oil-driven stagflation erodes the euro area’s real return and worsens its external balance.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Thu, Mar 12
Canadian Dollar gains traction to near 1.3600 as Oil gains on Strait of Hormuz closure
The USD/CAD pair trades in negative territory around 1.3600 during the early European trading hours on Thursday. A rise in crude oil prices provides some support to the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD). The US weekly Initial Jobless Claims report will be released later on Thursday.
USD/CAD
Fxstreet
Thu, Mar 12
USD/JPY: Focus on 159.45 and 160.00 topside – UOB
UOB strategists Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia highlight a strong USD/JPY rally to just under 159.00, driven by higher US yields. Intraday, they see scope for a test of 159.45 while warning that deeply overbought conditions make further gains difficult.
USD/JPY
Fxstreet
Thu, Mar 12
EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Declines to near 183.50 on heightened Gulf tensions, bullish vibe prevails
The EUR/JPY cross loses ground to near 183.55 during the early European session on Thursday, pressured by safe-haven flows.
EUR/JPY
Fxstreet
Thu, Mar 12
USD/CHF gains above 0.7800 amid Fed hawkish hold expectations
The USD/CHF pair gathers strength to around 0.7820 during the early European session on Thursday. The US Dollar (USD) strengthens against the Swiss Franc (CHF) as soaring oil prices threaten to spur inflation and force the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to adopt more hawkish policy stances.
USD/CHF
Fxstreet
Thu, Mar 12
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