Analysis

TradingKey - At 8:30 AM ET on Wednesday, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the February Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which traders view as setting the tone for investment direction.

TradingKey - U.S. non-farm payrolls saw a net decrease of 92,000 in February, far missing expectations and marking the second monthly contraction since 2020. Simultaneously, the unemployment rate climbed to 4.4%. The Bureau of Labor Statistics also revised down previous figures by a total of 69,000.

TradingKey - It should be emphasised that tariff policy is the core driver sustaining the current high level of inflation,...Under the combined influence of tariffs and inflation, the U.S. stock market will probably follow a down-then-up trend in 2026.

TradingKey - Currently, the market widely anticipates that the core PCE year-on-year growth rate for September will stand at 2.9%, and we expect the upcoming data to be slightly below this consensus forecast.

Iran's economy is at risk of simultaneous hyperinflation and severe recession, officials and analysts say, as clerical rulers scramble to preserve stability with limited room to manoeuvre after a snapback of U.N. sanctions.

TradingKey - The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) will release the August Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index on Friday, September 26, with markets closely watching how much tariff pass-through effects have influenced inflation. 

Our baseline forecast anticipates sustained asset price increases. However, if inflation surpasses market expectations in the coming months, it could hinder further rate cuts and pose the greatest risk to financial markets.

By Edward ChancellorLONDON, Sept 11 (Reuters Breakingviews) - Countries across the Western world are over-indebted. In theory, they could grow their way out of the debt or rein in their fiscal deficits. But the richer countries have a miserable recent growth record. And as the fall of French Prime M

TradingKey - The key question now is whether the August CPI report, to be released on September 11, could push the Fed toward a more aggressive 50-basis-point cut — as it did in September 2024.

By Jamie McGeeverORLANDO, Florida, Sept 9 (Reuters) - The Federal Reserve is widely expected to cut interest rates next week even though inflation is still around 3%, a full percentage point above the official goal. This raises an uncomfortable question: is the central bank's 2% inflation target...

NEW YORK, Aug 14 (Reuters) - U.S. producer prices increased more than expected in July amid a surge in the costs of services and goods, suggesting a broader pickup in inflation in the months ahead.The producer price index for final demand jumped 0.9% last month after being unchanged in June, the Lab

TradingKey - On Tuesday, August 12, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the July Consumer Price Index (CPI) report — a key data point that could shape Federal Reserve policy and influence the trajectory of U.S. equities during what Wall Street calls the historically weak “dangerous

TradingKey - On 30–31 July 2025, the United States released its latest GDP and PCE data, while the Federal Reserve announced its interest rate decision during the same period.

TradingKey - On Tuesday, July 15, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the June 2025 Consumer Price Index (CPI). After four consecutive months of inflation coming in below expectations, Wall Street is now bracing for a potential upside surprise — with tariffs finally starting to show up

TradingKey - On Friday, June 27, the U.S. will release Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index for May, widely regarded as the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge and a key reference for FOMC officials in assessing inflation trends and shaping monetary policy decisions.

TradingKey - The situation in the Middle East has deteriorated. Last week, the three major US stock indexes all recorded declines. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.32%, the S&P fell 0.39%, and the Nasdaq fell 0.63%, ending two consecutive weekly gains. This week is a super central bank week.

LONDON, April 17 (Reuters) - Traders saw the all-clear on Thursday from the European Central Bank to bet on even steeper interest rate cuts ahead, confident the central bank will ease policy further if trade tensions dent a fragile economy.

April 10 (Reuters) - U.S. consumer prices unexpectedly fell in March, but inflation risks are tilted to the upside after President Donald Trump doubled down on tariffs on imported Chinese goods even as he lowered duties on other nations.The consumer price index dipped 0.1% last month after gaining 0

The Trump administration’s recent imposition of a 104% tariff on China and "reciprocal" tariffs on other nations has triggered significant volatility in global financial markets. Meanwhile, U.S. Treasury yields have fluctuated sharply, reflecting uncertainty about economic growth and policy...

TradingKey - On 10 April 2025, the United States will release its Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for March. Market consensus forecasts suggest that the year-over-year (YoY) increases for headline CPI and core CPI will reach 2.6% and 3.0%, respectively, down from the prior readings of 2.8% and 3.1%.