特朗普领导下的加密货币监管将会是什么样子？应该是什么样子？ – 利益相关者权衡
再过几周，唐纳德·特朗普即将就任美利坚合众国第 47 任dent。乍一看，在他赢得 11 月选举后，加密货币行业似乎一切顺利，但事实真是如此吗？
2024 年美国dent大选被广泛认为是加密行业的关键时刻。经济学家认为，特朗普赢得重返椭圆形办公室的门票的部分原因是他“大声”支持加密货币的立场。老实说，他得到了国会 290 多名支持加密货币的立法者的支持；他输的可能性极小。
特朗普承诺将美国定位为全球加密货币中心，因此该行业有望迎来复兴。
CoinfunddentChris Perkins 表示，这次选举标志着加密货币市场的转折点，该市场长期以来一直在应对监管的不确定性。
帕金斯在《金融时报》的一篇文章中指出，这种转变为美国提供了一个机会，可以巩固其在区块链、人工智能和去中心化金融（ DeFi ）等新兴技术领域的领导地位。
然而，他警告社区，乐观情绪取决于选举后的热情是否转化为可行的、深思熟虑的政策。
淘汰旧的，引进新的？
在拜登政府的领导下，加密货币面临着许多人所说的“执法监管”，各机构利用已有数十年历史的法律来监督这个新兴行业。
刚刚：🇺🇸 唐纳德·特朗普表示，他将“结束乔·拜登对加密货币的战争，并确保加密货币的未来和#比特币的未来将在美国创造，其中很多工作都是在佛罗里达州完成的。” pic.twitter.com/qstVuzbOAI
— DΛVID (@DavidShares) 2024 年 6 月 15 日
Critics insist that this approach blurred regulatory boundaries, wasted resources, and imposed significant costs on American companies, estimated at over $400 million. Biden, supported by US financial authorities, seemingly failed to prevent high-profile fraud cases. An indelible case is the fall of FTX, a memory the community will probably never forget.
Moving forward, policymakers and regulators are being urged to focus on fostering innovation while protecting consumers.
An imperative industry demand is the differentiation between technology and its applications, reiterates Perkins. Blockchain and cryptocurrency advocates liken the current situation to the early days of the internet: while websites and apps are not inherently illegal, their misuse can be addressed through law enforcement.
Coinfund’s President highlighted a case echoing this approach. In a recent ruling, Judge Katherine Polk Failla rejected attempts to hold a crypto exchange liable for how its technology was used, drawing parallels to payment platforms like Venmo.
Unanswered questions about the crypto market under Trump
As reported by Cryptopolitan, Cardano co-founder Charles Hoskinson voiced concerns over the lack of a clear roadmap for the crypto industry from Donald Trump. Despite Trump’s more progressive stance on crypto, Hoskinson said that he hasn’t yet outlined concrete policies for the sector’s future in the United States.
Hoskinson warned that Trump’s involvement in crypto could create a more complicated regulatory environment, noting the intense partisan divide that surrounds the former president’s actions.
“Everything Trump does the left hates with such a passion,” Hoskinson said, adding the move could take a bipartisan issue and make it partisan, potentially alienating support for the crypto industry.
He also criticized the current political discourse, stating, “I don’t see that level of quality and sophistication in the discourse.”
The alienated Ethereum co-founder also questioned whether Trump could assemble a team capable of supporting the crypto industry, referencing the former president’s history of high staff turnover.
Hoskinson’s skepticism grew after Trump announced a new decentralised finance (DeFi) platform, World Liberty Financial, which he is backing alongside his sons Donald Trump Jr. and Eric Trump, as well as property developer Steve Witkoff.
Vitalik Buterin is cautious about Trump
Back in July, Ethereum creator Vitalik Buterin weighed in on the trend of supporting political candidates solely based on their crypto stance.
In a blog post, Buterin warned against the practice of endorsing “pro-crypto” candidates, arguing that it could create an environment where politicians merely need to support crypto to gain backing without addressing the broader values that drive the industry.
“There is a growing push within the crypto space to become more politically active.” Buterin continued, “In this post, I argue against this trend, and in particular, I argue that making decisions in this way carries a high risk of going against the values that brought you into the crypto space in the first place.”
Trump could be good for crypto
Donald Trump is one very unpredictable businessman: the very epitome of controversy. On one hand, Democrats are arguing he will use the Oval Office to make the rich wealthier. On the other, Trump says he won’t take a penny of his official salary.
His first presidential campaign was pretty much against crypto, but his own son is now telling the world “Dad will be the most pro-crypto president America has ever seen.”
Trump’s proposals for the industry include rolling back existing regulations and introducing bold ideas such as creating a national Bitcoin reserve, where the government would stockpile the cryptocurrency.
Some analysts are skeptical about Trump’s stance on crypto, arguing that it could be motivated by self-interest.
Virginia Canter, chief ethics counsel at the nonpartisan group Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington, emphasized the significance of how crypto will be regulated in the coming years.
“One of the most important issues to be determined over the next couple years is how crypto is regulated,” Canter said. “Well, now, he’s an active player in the crypto market. How it could be regulated [could] affect his personal wealth, what kind of position he takes.“
JUST IN: Donald Trump has $5,417,000 invested in these 6 cryptocurrencies: pic.twitter.com/loggTKZPFR
— Andrew Lokenauth | TheFinanceNewsletter.com (@FluentInFinance) November 25, 2024
Nik Bhatia, founder of Bitcoin Layer, a firm that advocates for Bitcoin investments, suggested that dismissing Trump’s pro-crypto position as merely driven by personal gain overlooks its political dimensions. “I don’t see these moves motivated by self-interest. I see them representing the electorate,” Bhatia stated.
Nevertheless, Bhatia acknowledged a potential conflict of interest, noting that Trump’s support for crypto could directly benefit his business ventures. “I think there probably is a conflict of interest in that his pro-crypto stance will benefit his company,” he added.
Moreover, Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev told CNBC that the US SEC’s “regulation by enforcement” approach under Chairman Gary Gensler has pushed much of the crypto innovation abroad.
Tenev suggested that a Trump administration could usher in a more “forward-looking policy,” supported by his new SEC chairman appointee Paul Atkins, who the community expects will embrace crypto.
One thing we all know is Trump wants to do what’s best for America. If crypto aligns with that sentiment, then it shouldn’t be a surprise if the president-elect keeps his promises.
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