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United States: Productivity-driven growth outlook – BNP Paribas
BNP Paribas argues that United States growth outperformance is being driven by strong productivity gains rather than immediate benefits from Artificial Intelligence.
Fxstreet
Thu, May 28
ECB Accounts: Number of members would not have opposed raising rates
The accounts of the European Central Bank's April policy meeting showed on Thursday that policymakers acknowledged that upside risks to inflation and downside risks to growth have intensified.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Thu, May 28
Eurozone: Inflation shock and recovery balance – ABN AMRO
ABN AMRO notes that the new energy shock will push Eurozone inflation higher, though less severely than in 2022–23, as gas price rises are smaller and electricity has decoupled from gas.
Fxstreet
Thu, May 28
Iran’s IRGC warns against disruption near Hormuz
Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has threatened a decisive response against disruption near the Strait of Hormuz, a vital passage to almost 20% of global energy supply, during the European trading session on Thursday.
Fxstreet
Thu, May 28
Italy Producer Price Index (MoM): 0.3% (April) vs previous 4.4%
Italy Producer Price Index (MoM): 0.3% (April) vs previous 4.4%
Fxstreet
Thu, May 28
Italy Producer Price Index (YoY) up to 6.8% in April from previous 4.2%
Italy Producer Price Index (YoY) up to 6.8% in April from previous 4.2%
Fxstreet
Thu, May 28
Italy 10-y Bond Auction declined to 3.77% from previous 4.09%
Italy 10-y Bond Auction declined to 3.77% from previous 4.09%
Fxstreet
Thu, May 28
Italy 5-y Bond Auction: 3.16% vs previous 3.32%
Italy 5-y Bond Auction: 3.16% vs previous 3.32%
Fxstreet
Thu, May 28
South Africa Producer Price Index (MoM) up to 3% in April from previous 1.1%
South Africa Producer Price Index (MoM) up to 3% in April from previous 1.1%
Fxstreet
Thu, May 28
South Africa Producer Price Index (YoY) rose from previous 2.3% to 4.8% in April
South Africa Producer Price Index (YoY) rose from previous 2.3% to 4.8% in April
Fxstreet
Thu, May 28
Belgium Consumer Price Index (YoY) increased to 4.08% in May from previous 4.07%
Belgium Consumer Price Index (YoY) increased to 4.08% in May from previous 4.07%
Fxstreet
Thu, May 28
Belgium Consumer Price Index (MoM) declined to -0.08% in May from previous 1.47%
Belgium Consumer Price Index (MoM) declined to -0.08% in May from previous 1.47%
Fxstreet
Thu, May 28
Australian Dollar: Faces corrective phase versus New Zealand Dollar – MUFG
MUFG’s Derek Halpenny and Abdul-Ahad Lockhart report that the AUD/NZD rally may have peaked as rate differentials begin to turn. They stress that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) signalled forthcoming hikes, while the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) can pause longer.
AUD/NZD
AUD/USD
Fxstreet
Thu, May 28
RBNZ: Preemptive hikes and neutral ceiling – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Prashant Newnaha shifts the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) call to start 25 bps hikes in July rather than September, keeping a total of four moves in the profile.
NZD/USD
Fxstreet
Thu, May 28
Eurozone Consumer Confidence meets expectations (-19) in May
Eurozone Consumer Confidence meets expectations (-19) in May
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Thu, May 28
Italy Trade Balance non-EU: €3.846B (April) vs previous €5.643B
Italy Trade Balance non-EU: €3.846B (April) vs previous €5.643B
Fxstreet
Thu, May 28
European Central Bank: June hike seen as insurance move – ING
ING economists Carsten Brzeski and Bert Colijn expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to deliver a single ‘insurance’ rate hike in June, largely because markets have already tightened financial conditions and inflation pressures are creeping higher.
Fxstreet
Thu, May 28
ECB’s Stournaras: Current environment necessitates careful adjustment toward restrictive policy
European Central Bank (ECB) governing council member and Governor of the Bank of Greece, Yannis Stournaras, said in an interview with Greek newspaper Kathimerini that took place on Wednesday, released during the European trading session on Thursday, that the current environment necessitates a "caref
Fxstreet
Thu, May 28
Fed: Longer hold before gradual easing – ABN AMRO
ABN AMRO notes the Fed kept rates at 3.50–3.75% in April and signalled no consensus to ease until tariff-driven goods inflation moderates. With the Oil shock lifting headline inflation, the bank expects the Fed to stay on hold until December to assess second-round effects.
Fxstreet
Thu, May 28
Portugal Business Confidence: 2.7 (May) vs 2.6
Portugal Business Confidence: 2.7 (May) vs 2.6
Fxstreet
Thu, May 28
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