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European Central Bank: Rate hike risk returns with Oil – ING
ING’s Carsten Brzeski argues that the European Central Bank is likely to keep rates unchanged next week but a surprise hike cannot be ruled out. He notes that renewed Middle East tensions and rising Oil prices have restored the macro backdrop seen before the June meeting.
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 16
British Pound: BoE hikes not seen bullish – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad highlights that United Kingdom (UK) May Gross Domestic Product (GDP) slightly beat expectations, driven by services, but underlying details disappointed as production and construction contracted and growth relied on one subsector.
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 16
Eurozone: Energy shock risks for inflation – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Bas van Geffen says renewed US-Iran hostilities have shifted Eurozone inflation risks upward. June’s softer-than-expected flash estimate may buy the ECB time in July, but the earlier decline in energy prices has reversed, pointing to firmer inflation readings ahead.Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 16
British Pound: UK GDP resilience with Q2 risks – TD Securities
TD Securities reports United Kingdom (UK) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew 0.1% month-on-month in May, matching their forecast and beating the market’s flat expectation. Three‑month growth remains strong at 0.7%, with services and manufacturing outperforming.Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 16
Bank of Korea: Back-to-back hike risk stays live – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s Kiyong Seong reviews the Bank of Korea’s 25bp hike to 2.75%, noting a unanimously hawkish Monetary Policy Committee. The July statement is assessed as more hawkish than May, and Governor Shin’s comments keep the option of a consecutive hike at the 27 August meeting open.Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 16
United States Retail Sales rise 0.2% in June to $768.6 billion
Retail Sales in the United States (US) rose by 0.2% on a monthly basis in June to $768.6 billion, the US Census Bureau reported on Thursday. This print followed the 1% increase recorded in May and came in line with the market expectation. On a yearly basis, Retail Sales were up 6.7%.Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 16
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