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China: Trade support offsets weak demand – DBS
DBS Group Research economists led by Mo Ji assess recent China data, highlighting strong external trade but subdued domestic demand across consumption, investment and credit. They note resilient exports, soft industrial production and weak Fixed Asset Investment, especially in property.
Fxstreet
Mon, May 18
United States Total Net TIC Flows dipped from previous $184.5B to $150.7B in March
United States Total Net TIC Flows dipped from previous $184.5B to $150.7B in March
Fxstreet
Mon, May 18
United States Net Long-Term TIC Flows: $81.3B (March) vs $58.6B
United States Net Long-Term TIC Flows: $81.3B (March) vs $58.6B
Fxstreet
Mon, May 18
Asian FX: Oil shock and US yields pressure importers – MUFG
MUFG’s Michael Wan highlights that Asian Emerging Markets (EM) currencies have weakened as higher US real yields, a stronger Dollar and elevated Oil prices weigh on sentiment.
Fxstreet
Mon, May 18
Taiwan: AI cycle boosts growth outlook – Standard Chartered
Standard Chartered’s Tommy Wu raises Taiwan’s 2026 growth forecast to 9.5% from 7.6% after much stronger-than-expected Q1 GDP data. The AI supercycle and robust exports are seen as key drivers, while private consumption benefits from government cash handouts and a tech-led stock rally.
Fxstreet
Mon, May 18
Japan Finance Minister Katayama: Volatility in Oil prices is affecting the forex market
Japan’s Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama said on Monday that the volatility in Oil prices is affecting the forex market. Speaking to reporters after the first day of the G7 Finance Ministers meeting in France, she added that she is seeing speculative moves in the financial markets.
Fxstreet
Mon, May 18
China: Targeted support offsets April slump – TD Securities
Alex Loo at TD Securities highlights that China’s April data were weak, with soft retail sales and falling investment, while exports and housing prices offered some relief.
Fxstreet
Mon, May 18
Singapore: K-shaped NODX upswing to persist – UOB
UOB economist Jester Koh highlights a strong rebound in Singapore’s Non-oil Domestic Exports (NODX), led by electronics and pharmaceuticals, with petrochemicals slightly softer.
Fxstreet
Mon, May 18
Fed Warsh will be sworn in on Friday at the White House
A White House official said that the US President Donald Trump will swear in Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chairman on Friday, May 22nd, at the White House.
Fxstreet
Mon, May 18
China: Growth slowdown and reflation risks – ING
ING’s Lynn Song highlights that China’s April data showed broad-based weakness in domestic activity, with retail sales, industrial production and fixed asset investment all disappointing.
Fxstreet
Mon, May 18
Equities: Energy shock risks to AI investment – Standard Chartered
Standard Chartered’s Madhur Jha assesses how the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and the current energy shock could challenge AI optimism. The bank highlights near-term risks to semiconductor input supplies and longer-term risks to AI investment and demand.
Fxstreet
Mon, May 18
United States NAHB Housing Market Index above expectations (35) in May: Actual (37)
United States NAHB Housing Market Index above expectations (35) in May: Actual (37)
Fxstreet
Mon, May 18
Europe: Rearmament reshapes growth outlook – Nordea
Nordea's Chief Economist Helge J. Pedersen argues that rapidly rising defense spending in Europe represents a historic fiscal expansion that can support GDP in the short term but raises medium‑term risks.
Fxstreet
Mon, May 18
RBA: Rate hike timing questions persist – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists reiterate their view that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will likely need to raise the cash rate to 4.60% in this cycle. They note that the May policy statement suggests hesitation to hike in June, and expects the RBA minutes to clarify this.
Fxstreet
Mon, May 18
China: Recovery stalls as domestic demand weakens – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Dr. Henry Hao notes that China’s post-Q1 recovery lost momentum in April, with industrial output at a three-year low and fixed-asset investment shrinking. Domestic consumption remains fragile as retail sales barely grew and youth unemployment rose.
Fxstreet
Mon, May 18
United Kingdom: Sluggish jobs outlook persists – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank’s Sanjay Raja expects the United Kingdom (UK) labour market to remain weak after a surprise drop in the jobless rate driven by self-employment.
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, May 18
IMF Staff: BoE doesn’t need to raise interest rates this year
According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) staff, the Bank of England (BoE) doesn’t need to raise rates this year, based on the current energy price outlook.
Fxstreet
Mon, May 18
Chinese Yuan: Stimulus hopes as PBoC defends 6.8 – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists judge China’s April data as weak, citing higher Oil prices and soft consumer sentiment. They expect targeted fiscal stimulus focused on infrastructure and see the PBoC remaining cautious on easing.
USD/CNH
Fxstreet
Mon, May 18
Equities: Bond-oil pressure hits sentiment – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank strategists note that the S&P 500 has extended its run to seven consecutive weekly gains, the longest since 2023, even as rising bond yields and Oil prices triggered the worst daily decline since March.
Fxstreet
Mon, May 18
China: Cooling demand and stable US ties – Standard Chartered
Standard Chartered strategists note that China’s April data showed weaker domestic demand, with both consumption and investment slowing even as exports supported industrial production.
Fxstreet
Mon, May 18
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