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Euro: France-linked spread risks keep EUR unattractive – ING
Francesco Pesole at ING notes that widening French OAT-Bund and OAT-BTP spreads have yet to materially weigh on the euro, but warns that sensitivity to French sovereign risk could return rapidly if spreads approach 200bp.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Fri, Oct 23
European Central Bank: One more hike then extended plateau – Commerzbank
Commerzbank economists expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to leave its deposit rate at 2.50% in October, then raise it to 2.75% in December in response to persistent Eurozone inflation.
Fxstreet
Fri, Oct 23
Bank of Canada: Preemptive tightening focus – RBC
Royal Bank of Canada economists Frances Donald and Nathan Janzen highlight the possibility of a 25 basis point Bank of Canada rate hike on Wednesday, while acknowledging that December or January remains an alternative.
USD/CAD
Fxstreet
Fri, Oct 23
Federal Reserve: October hold raises December hike odds - TD Securities
TD Securities strategists expect the Federal Reserve (Fed) to keep the Fed Funds rate at 4.00% at the October FOMC meeting, despite strong inflation and solid labor data.
Fxstreet
Fri, Oct 23
US S&P Global PMI expected to signal slower business activity in October
The United States (US) S&P Global preliminary Purchasing Managers Indices (PMIs) for October will be released on Friday, providing fresh insights into the health of the world's largest economy ahead of next week's Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy meeting.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Fri, Oct 23
Brent: Geopolitical tensions push prices higher - Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s FX Research team notes that Brent Oil rose 4% to USD113.17 as attacks on Saudi Arabian infrastructure raised fears of supply disruption. Additional reports of possible renewed US and Israeli strikes on Iran after US mid-term elections added to geopolitical uncertainty.
Brent
Fxstreet
Fri, Oct 23
US S&P Global PMI expected to show moderating business activity in October
The United States (US) S&P Global preliminary Purchasing Managers Indices (PMIs) for October will be released on Friday, providing fresh insights into the health of the world's largest economy ahead of next week's Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy meeting.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Fri, Oct 23
Canadian Dollar: Pressured near 1.40 against US Dollar – TD Securities
TD Securities’ FX team, led by Jayati Bharadwaj and Howard Du, argues that Canadian data still support patience from the Bank of Canada, keeping rate differentials in favour of the US Dollar.
USD/CAD
Fxstreet
Fri, Oct 23
Brent: Uptrend resumes with $127 target – Societe Generale
Societe Generale analysts note that Brent has held above its 50-day moving average during consolidation and has now broken the upper end of its range, signalling a renewed uptrend.
Brent
Fxstreet
Fri, Oct 23
CEE FX: Risk-off and energy pressures cap regional currencies – ING
ING strategist Frantisek Taborsky explains that deepening global risk-off sentiment and rising energy prices are weighing on Central and Eastern European currencies, even as regional FX shows resilience.
USD/CZK
EUR/HUF
Fxstreet
Fri, Oct 23
UK S&P Global Composite PMI improves to 53.1 in October vs. 51.8 expected
The private sector's business activity in the United Kingdom (UK) expanded at its fastest pace in eight months in October, with the S&P Global Composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rising to 53.1 from 52 in October. This reading came in better than the market expectation of 51.8.
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Fri, Oct 23
Russian Ruble: Policy pause likely as inflation risks linger – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose expects the Russian central bank to leave its key rate unchanged at 14.0%, in line with consensus. He argues inflation dynamics and fiscal risks justify a pause, and notes CBR’s medium-term rate forecast for 2027 may be revised higher.
Fxstreet
Fri, Oct 23
Eurozone HCOB Composite PMI declines to 51.9 in October vs. 52.7 expected
HCOB Composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) in the Eurozone declined to 51.9 in October's flash estimate from 53.1 in September, showing that the business activity expanded at a softening pace. This print came in below the market expectation of 52.7.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Fri, Oct 23
Brent: Geopolitical risk premium builds – ING
ING strategists Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note ICE Brent surged 4% to just above $113/bbl as markets focus on supply risks rather than current fundamentals.
Brent
Fxstreet
Fri, Oct 23
Germany HCOB Composite PMI declines to 52.8 in October vs. 53.3 expected
Economic activity in Germany's private sector continued to expand in October, albeit at a softer pace than September, with the HCOB Composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) declining to 52.8 in the preliminary estimate from 53.8 in September.
Fxstreet
Fri, Oct 23
Euro: Weakens against US Dollar amid risk concerns - Danske Bank
Danske Bank highlights weaker Euro sentiment amid rising French CDS spreads, with EUR/CHF declining and EUR/USD briefly falling below 1.12. US and German bond yields also dropped across the curve, while Eurozone consumer confidence weakened more than expected in October.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Fri, Oct 23
BoJ: Japan's financial system has been maintaining stability on the whole
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) semi-annual Financial System Report released on Friday showed that Japan’s financial system has been maintaining stability on the whole.
USD/JPY
Fxstreet
Fri, Oct 23
United Kingdom Retail Sales falls 0.4% MoM in September vs. -0.1% estimates
Retail Sales, a key measure of consumer spending, in the United Kingdom (UK) fell by 0.4% month-over-month (MoM) in September after rising by 0.7% in August (revised from 0.5%), the latest data published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed on Friday.
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Fri, Oct 23
Indonesian Rupiah strengthens against US Dollar as safe-haven demand shifts
USD/IDR inches lower after two days of gains, trading around 18,110 during Asian hours on Friday. The pair depreciates as the US Dollar (USD) struggles amid mounting doubts regarding the sustainability of the AI trade.
Fxstreet
Fri, Oct 23
India Gold price today: Gold falls, according to FXStreet data
Gold prices fell in India on Friday, according to data compiled by FXStreet.
Gold
Fxstreet
Fri, Oct 23
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