Analysis

TradingKey - The FOMC’s top concerns remain inflation and employment. The January CPI report shows inflation diverging from the Fed’s 2% target, while Thursday’s PPI also climbed steadily, reinforcing the upward trend in prices. Recent job data suggests the labor market does not appear to need furth

Ahead of the release of the US January CPI report, inflation expectation surveys from the University of Michigan and the New York Fed have shown a rare divergence. With the escalation of Trump's tariffs, the trajectory of US inflation has garnered significant attention.

As the first nonfarm payrolls (NFP) report of 2025 approaches, the Federal Reserve’s rate cut prospects and markets such as gold and U.S. stocks face a critical test. Following unexpectedly strong ADP employment data, will the NFP report show signs of cooling as anticipated?

TradingKey - Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan stated on Thursday that the Fed may need to keep interest rates at their current levels for an extended period unless the labor market weakens significantly.

At its February monetary policy meeting, the Bank of England (BoE) cut interest rates by 25 bps as expected but warned of a strong inflation rebound in 2025 while lowering its economic growth forecasts. Analysts are divided on whether this rate cut signals a hawkish or dovish stance.

TradingKey - On Wednesday, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield dropped below 4.5% after the U.S. Treasury Department announced plans to maintain its current debt issuance levels for the coming quarters.

TradingKey – Here are today’s key economic events to watch.

TradingKey – Here are today’s key economic events to watch.

Investors looking towards the potential for interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) are studying a variety of incoming data points. One of the many important ones is the JOLTS (Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey) report for December 2024. That’s scheduled for release on 4th Fed.

TradingKey – Here are today’s key economic events to watch.

Fed’s preferred measure of inflation is the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index and it usually comes out at the end of the following month. So, December 2024’s PCE figure is being released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) next Friday (31 January) before the market opens.

TradingKey – Here are today’s key economic events to watch.

As the US Federal Reserve (Fed) gears up for its first Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting of 2025 on 29 January, investors are closely watching for clues about the trajectory of interest rates. Here’s what you need to know about the key factors shaping this meeting and what to expect.

TradingKey – Here are today’s key economic events to watch.

TradingKey – Here are today’s key economic events to watch.

Under the long-term influence of the three arrows of Abenomics and the diminishing impact of the pandemic, Japan's economy has entered a recovery phase (excluding 2024). The emergence of inflation and a significant rise in wages, driven by the 2024 Shuntō wage negotiations, prompted the BOJ...

TradingKey - On his first day in office, Donald Trump signed executive orders on immigration and energy policies but refrained from announcing tariffs on major trade partners. U.S. stock futures broadly rose, while the dollar index declined during his speech.

Based on our summary table below, we believe that Indian stocks still present investment opportunities in the short to medium term. However, given that the Indian macro economy appears to “have missed the boat” for manufacturing-led development, holding these stocks for the long term—particularly be

TradingKey - At this point in time, the stock market is obsessing over how much the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates in 2025.

TradingKey - The news that the new Trump administration will trigger potential inflation is everywhere, and while the market is questioning the growth dynamics of the stock market, Wall Street is making asset allocation recommendations to buy U.S. Treasuries.