SPDR S&P 500 ETF
SPYToday
-1.21%
5 Days
-1.65%
1 Month
+0.65%
6 Months
+7.12%
Year to Date
+8.27%
1 Year
+16.42%
TradingKey Timing Strategy - SPDR S&P 500 ETF
This is a long-only strategy where positions are determined entirely by the TK Alpha Gauge. The strategy scales long exposure proportionally based on positive gauge readings and maintains a flat position (zero lots) when the gauge is negative. Performance metrics are detailed below.
Alpha Gauge
The TK Alpha Gauge is a proprietary, comprehensive daily updated indicator developed by Tradingkey that reflects our outlook on specific financial instruments. Utilizing a long-proven AI framework, the index analyzes hundreds of proprietary price-volume, fundamental, and alternative data predictors. Values range from -100 to 100. Negative values signify a bearish (pessimistic) outlook, while positive values indicate a bullish (optimistic) stance. The further the value from zero, the stronger the quantitative signal. It provides quantitative insight into directional forecasts.
Strategy Data
Historical Return
SPDR S&P 500 ETF News
Wall Street Veteran Strategist James E. Thorne Says S&P 500 Could Reach 14,000 in Five Years: "You Are Not Bullish Enough Right Now"
TradingKey - On July 12, ET, as mainstream investment banks raised their 2026 S&P 500 price targets to the 7,500–8,100 range, James E. Thorne, Chief Market Strategist at Wellington-Altus Private Wealth, issued an even bolder long-term forecast: the S&P 500 is expected to hit the 14,000-point mark within the next five years (by 2031), nearly doubling from its current level of approximately 7,500.
Fed May Resume Rate Hikes in September: Full Analysis of Warsh’s Hawkish Debut, Are US Stocks a Risk or Opportunity in the Second Half
At the inaugural FOMC meeting chaired by the newly appointed Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh, the median dot plot shifted directly from rate-cut expectations to rate-hike expectations. Interest rate futures immediately priced in a roughly 70% probability of a rate hike in September, plunging the market into a rate-hike panic. This article argues that the market is highly likely overestimating the intensity of this rate-hike cycle. Even if rate hikes do resume in September, the move would fundamentally represent a robust tightening characterized by "withdrawing insurance rate cuts against the backdrop of a still-resilient economy," which is fundamentally different from the panic-driven tightening of 2022. For long-term investors in US equities, this shift presents opportunities that outweigh the risks. However, this assessment is conditional and must be dynamically adjusted using three indicators as anchors: core inflation, long-term inflation expectations, and the unemployment rate.
SPY vs. IVV vs. VOO: Which S&P 500 Index ETF Is More Suitable for You?
TradingKey - The S&P 500 Index rose for nine consecutive trading days on June 2, reaching a new all-time high and marking its longest winning streak in over a year. The performance of the S&P 500 serves as a direct indicator of the overall trend of the U.S. stock market. From the perspective of asset allocation, investing in the S&P 500 is equivalent to allocating capital to a portfolio that is deeply coupled with the overall performance of the U.S. macroeconomy. Therefore, investing in the S&P 500 is essentially a bet on the medium-to-long-term growth potential and earnings capacity of U.S. listed companies.
Value Stocks vs Growth Stocks: 2026 Market Outlook & 2025 Performance Recap
TradingKey - By the end of 2025, growth will have outperformed value by a wide margin across all sectors. Even though 2025 started with strong performance for value stocks (for two years), many investors were concerned about the possibility of continuing to see high valuations for growth stocks.
U.S. January Nonfarm Payrolls Preview: Likely to Beat Expectations, but with Limited Impact on US Stocks
TradingKey - Against the backdrop of the U.S. economy demonstrating robust resilience and the coordinated easing of monetary and fiscal policies, the nonfarm payrolls data are likely to beat the market consensus expectations.
Analysis and Outlook of the U.S. Macroeconomy in 2026
TradingKey - The U.S. economic growth is expected to maintain strong resilience in 2026, driven by four key factors...Based on the above four factors, our calculations indicate that the full-year real GDP growth rate of the U.S. may reach around 2.5% in 2026, a figure that is notably higher than the
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