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Indonesian Rupiah: Macro headwinds versus reversal risks against US Dollar – MUFG
MUFG’s Lloyd Chan highlights that macro headwinds continue to pressure the Indonesian Rupiah, with higher US yields, elevated Oil prices and narrowing rate differentials weighing on IDR against the Dollar.Fxstreet
Tue, May 26
RBNZ set to hold interest rate, though a hike can’t be ruled out as inflation pressures mount
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is widely expected to hold the Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 2.25% for the third consecutive meeting, as the impact of the Iran war continues to hit the economic growth and fuel inflation pressures.
Fxstreet
Tue, May 26
Fed's Kashkari: Middle East inflation risks could warrant series of rate hikes
Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said that the central bank could begin “a series of” rate increases as inflation rises, sparked by the Middle East conflict, in comments to Nikkei as he visits Tokyo for two days to attend the Bank of Japan's annual conference.
Fxstreet
Tue, May 26
Singapore Dollar: Growth strength fails to lift SGD – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Singapore team highlights that Singapore’s Q1 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) was revised sharply higher to 6.0% year-on-year, with strong AI-related demand and robust construction and services activity. Inflation remains contained near the lower end of MAS’s forecast range.Fxstreet
Tue, May 26
Brent: Extended Hormuz closure and $200/bbl stress case – Societe Generale
Societe Generale analysts examine a low‑probability but severe scenario where the Strait of Hormuz stays shut through 2026, forcing Brent toward and potentially above $200/bbl to trigger sufficient demand destruction.Fxstreet
Tue, May 26
US Dollar: Supported by higher-for-longer Fed stance – TD Securities
TD Securities’ US Economic Outlook suggests a higher-for-longer Federal Reserve stance that is typically supportive for the US Dollar. The bank sees stagflationary risks from the Iran conflict, elevated Oil prices, and stressed supply chains keeping inflation high and preventing rate cuts in 2026.Fxstreet
Tue, May 26
Euro: Rangebound against US Dollar despite ECB repricing – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s Kit Juckes notes that the Euro (EUR) has shown limited reaction to comments from Isabel Schnabel about a June European Central Bank (ECB) rate hike, even as markets price in more tightening.Fxstreet
Tue, May 26
Fed: Hawkish bias and extended hold – TD Securities
TD Securities economists Oscar Munoz and Eli Nir expect the Fed to drop its easing bias in June and keep rates on hold through 2026, citing hawkish FOMC momentum, firm inflation and a stabilized labor market. Cuts are not expected to resume until 2027.Fxstreet
Tue, May 26
Fed : PCE data and hawkish rhetoric in focus – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank economists flag Thursday’s US personal income and spending report, including core PCE, as the key data for the Federal Reserve. They expect core PCE to rise 0.3% month-on-month, with consumption momentum cooling.Fxstreet
Tue, May 26
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