Analysis

LONDON, April 28 (Reuters) - The euro has unexpectedly surged since U.S. President Donald Trump's big tariffs announcement, which is likely to shave at least a couple of percentage points off European company earnings, adding to the impact of the levies themselves.

TOKYO/WASHINGTON, April 25 (Reuters) - When Tokyo's top trade negotiator met U.S. President Donald Trump for tariff talks at the White House earlier this month, he presented him with a gold-coloured piggy bank.

WASHINGTON, April 26 (Reuters) - Global policymakers gathering in Washington this week breathed a collective sigh of relief that the U.S.-centric economic order that prevailed for the past 80 years was not collapsing just yet despite Donald Trump's inward-looking approach.

TradingKey - Earlier this month, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield shot up more than 70 basis points in just a few days, climbing toward 4.6%. Not long ago, it had briefly fallen below 4%.

April 25 (Reuters) - Donald Trump is nearing the 100-day mark of his second presidency and investors are no closer to figuring out how to trade his policies, nor do central bankers have much clarity on how their economies may be affected.Additionally, earnings season is ramping up, there's cruci...

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told an investor gathering behind closed doors on Tuesday that the tariff standoff with China can’t last and that he thinks things will calm down. People who attended Bessent’s session at an event in Washington, D.C., put together by JPMorgan Chase & Co. said that

WASHINGTON, April 21 (Reuters Breakingviews) - A selloff in U.S. stocks, long-term government bonds and the dollar clearly traces back to policy choices by President Donald Trump's administration. Recent moves spawn a trio of worries: first, that a trade war will hit business...

April 22 (Reuters) - President Donald Trump on Monday kept up his verbal assault on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over the Fed's refusal for now to further cut interest rates, rattling financial markets growing ever more fearful that Trump may ultimately try to fire the U.S. central bank c...

TradingKey - As the U.S. enters a new rate cycle, the quantitative tightening (QT)—initially launched to reduce the Federal Reserve’s bloated balance sheet following the COVID-19 pandemic—is also nearing its conclusion. A key metric in gauging when to end QT is the scale of the Fed’s ON RRP...

TradingKey – U.S. stocks continued to decline last week, with the Dow Jones and Nasdaq both down more than 2.6%, and the S&P 500 shedding 1.5%.

LONDON, April 17 (Reuters) - Traders saw the all-clear on Thursday from the European Central Bank to bet on even steeper interest rate cuts ahead, confident the central bank will ease policy further if trade tensions dent a fragile economy.

HONG KONG, April 17 (Reuters Breakingviews) - With China and the United States engaged in a full-on trade war, anxious investors are asking which side can press its financial advantage given Beijing's vast holdings of U.S. Treasuries. In truth the situation is more of a fraught equilibrium both side

TradingKey - In recent years, whenever the U.S. stock market experiences sharp volatility, it not only sees a rise in the VIX Index but also a surge in trading of zero-day-to-expiration options (0DTE). These instruments have frequently been blamed by media outlets for exacerbating market swings.

TradingKey - On 17 April 2025, the European Central Bank (ECB) will announce its April policy rate decision, with markets overwhelmingly pricing in a 25-basis-point cut, lowering the Deposit Facility Rate to 2.25%. This aligns with our baseline expectation.

GUANGZHOU, China, April 16 (Reuters) - The rapid rise of ultra-fast fashion retailer Shein has been so key to the fortunes of a group of urban villages on the outskirts of China's southern metropolis of Guangzhou that they have been colloquially dubbed "Shein villages".

TradingKey - The March CPI report brought what looked like a victory: headline inflation cooled to 2.4% annual, and core CPI, which omits food and fuel, dropped to 2.8%, its lowest since this time last year.

On 10 April 2025, the U.S. released its March Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, revealing a continued slowdown in inflation. Core CPI month-over-month growth eased from 0.2% in February to 0.1% in March, while Headline CPI unexpectedly recorded a negative month-over-month figure of -0.1%.

TradingKey - In recent days, consecutive selloffs in stocks and Treasuries have sent one unmistakable message: investors are afraid. The S&P 500 experienced two of its worst back-to-back days of trading since the financial crisis.

TradingKey - Just ahead of the implementation of President Donald Trump’s reciprocal tariff policy, the U.S. witnessed a simultaneous selloff in both risk assets and traditionally safe-haven Treasuries. A key driver is the widespread use of highly leveraged "basis trades"  by hedge funds.

April 10 (Reuters) - U.S. consumer prices unexpectedly fell in March, but inflation risks are tilted to the upside after President Donald Trump doubled down on tariffs on imported Chinese goods even as he lowered duties on other nations.The consumer price index dipped 0.1% last month after gaining 0