Total 126 articles
Japan July CPI Preview: With Inflation Cooling, Will the Yen Still Rise?
TradingKey - Japan is set to release July inflation data on 22 August 2025. Market consensus predicts that the national Consumer Price Index (CPI) excluding fresh food will see its year-on-year increase slow from 3.3% in June to 3%. While forecasts for headline CPI and CPI excluding food and...
Tue, Aug 19

U.S. Stock Market Risk Assessment: Learning from History, Mid-Term Outlook Remains Secure
We argue that the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy is the most critical factor influencing the stock market.
Mon, Aug 18

Eurozone July HICP Preview: ECB Likely to Continue Rate Cuts
TradingKey - On 20 August 2025, the Eurozone will release its July Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) data. Market consensus anticipates the headline HICP to rise by 2% year-on-year, with the core HICP increasing by 2.3% year-on-year, both unchanged from the previous month. Since the start..
Mon, Aug 18

Eurozone Q2 GDP Commentary: Will the Euro's Upward Momentum Persist?
TradingKey - On 14 August 2025, Eurostat published Q2 GDP figures, revealing a drop in the Eurozone's quarter-on-quarter growth from 0.6% in the first quarter to 0.1%. Consequently, annual growth eased from 1.5% to 1.4%. The slowdown primarily stems from the diminishing boost from European...
Mon, Aug 18

China July Money Supply Commentary: M2 Growth Rises More Than Expected
The relatively large increase in M2 mainly stems from two factors: first, the impact of a low base formed by the relatively low growth rate of M2 in the same period last year; second, the resolution of debts has promoted the improvement of corporate capital flows.
Fri, Aug 15

Warren Buffett Q2 2025 13F Analysis: Betting on UnitedHealth Again After 14 Years
TradingKey - In Q2 2025, the value of Berkshire Hathaway’s investment portfolio declined from $259.8 billion in Q1 to $257.5 billion, a decrease of 0.89%. Analysis indicates that this drop is primarily driven by a net capital outflow of 0.78%. The outflow may be linked to changing market conditions
Fri, Aug 15

U.S. July CPI Commentary: Obstacles Cleared, Where Will U.S. Stocks Go Next?
TradingKey - On 12 August 2025, the United States released its Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for July. In terms of headline inflation, the CPI rose by 2.7% year-on-year in the month, slightly lower than the expected 2.8%. However, core CPI climbed 3.1% year-on-year, edging past the projected 3.0%.
Wed, Aug 13

U.S. Stock Strategy: The Rapid Development of AI Signals a Promising Future
TradingKey - Since Trump announced a 90-day suspension of the "reciprocal tariffs" imposed on certain countries on 9 April this year, all three major U.S. stock indices have recorded significant gains. Looking ahead, against the backdrop of easing global trade frictions.
Mon, Aug 11

China July Inflation Commentary: CPI Exceeds Expectations
TradingKey - On 9 August 2025, China's National Bureau of Statistics released inflation data for July. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.4% month-on-month, reversing the previous month's 0.1% decline, while remaining unchanged year-on-year. Core CPI increased by 0.8% year-on-year.
Mon, Aug 11

BoE August Rate Decision Commentary: Where Next for the Pound?
TradingKey - On 7 August 2025, the Bank of England (BoE) lowered its benchmark interest rate from 4.25% to 4%, aligning with broad market expectations. Notably, the decision sparked significant division within the committee, requiring two rounds of voting to pass.
Fri, Aug 8

U.S. Stock Sector Strategy: The Outlook for Tech Stocks from a Macro Perspective
TradingKey - Against the backdrop of easing trade war tensions, sustained economic resilience, and the Federal Reserve's anticipated interest rate cuts, the U.S. stock market is expected to maintain its upward trajectory. At the sector level, we are optimistic about U.S. technology stocks...
Tue, Aug 5

U.S. July Nonfarm Payroll Commentary: Short-Term Economic Headwinds May Turn into Mid-Term Bullish Signal for US Stocks
In essence, short-term economic challenges could pave the way for medium-term investment opportunities.
Mon, Aug 4

Ray Dalio: The Macro Master Behind the All Weather Portfolio
Not many names command as much respect in the investing world as Ray Dalio. He founded Bridgewater Associates, the world’s largest hedge fund, managing over $150 billion at its peak. But... what truly sets Dalio apart isn’t just his success...
Mon, Aug 4

U.S. GDP, PCE, and Fed Rate Decision Commentary: Will U.S. Stocks Continue to Rise?
TradingKey - On 30–31 July 2025, the United States released its latest GDP and PCE data, while the Federal Reserve announced its interest rate decision during the same period.
Fri, Aug 1

Stablecoins: Overview and Their Influence on U.S. Equity and Treasury Markets
TradingKey - The U.S. government endorses stablecoins with three primary goals. First, to reinforce the dollar's dominance: as most stablecoins are tied to the dollar, they significantly bolster its global standing.
Mon, Jul 28

ECB July Rate Decision Commentary: Euro Bulls Should Exercise Caution Amid Potential Mid-Term Reversal
TradingKey - On 24 July 2025, the European Central Bank (ECB) released its decision on policy interest rates, maintaining all three key rates as anticipated, with the deposit facility rate steady at 2%.
Fri, Jul 25

Japanese Stocks: Strategic Differences Between Short-Term and Long-Term Approaches
TradingKey - Following significant gains in 2023 and 2024, we anticipate that the Japanese stock market will enter a period of volatility and consolidation. This outlook stems from two opposing forces. On the positive side, Japan's improving economic fundamentals are driving wage growth and...
Wed, Jul 23

Swiss Franc: Range Trading as the Optimal Investment Strategy
TradingKey - The Swiss Franc faces counteracting bullish and bearish pressures. Given these dynamics, the USD/CHF pair is likely to trade within a range in the near term. In terms of investment strategy, investors should closely monitor the 0.78 low and 0.84 high of this currency pair.
Mon, Jul 21

Japan June Inflation Commentary: Impact on the Yen Exchange Rate
TradingKey - On 18 July 2025, Japan published its June inflation data, showing the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) rising 3.3% year-on-year, a 0.2 percentage point drop from May’s figure.
Mon, Jul 21

Eurozone June Harmonised Inflation Commentary: Short-Term Profit Potential for Euro Bulls
TradingKey - On 17 July 2025, the Eurozone's June Harmonised Inflation data was released, aligning with market expectations. The headline HICP rose slightly from 1.9% in May to 2.0%, while core HICP remained steady at 2.3%.
Fri, Jul 18




