Jason Tang
99 Articles
Jason is a Senior Economist at TradingKey’s Investment Research Team, bringing over a decade of expertise in macroeconomic research, multi-asset class analysis, and econometric forecasting. He has recently begun sharing his investment research insights through video content.
With a robust research foundation, Jason specializes in analysing macroeconomic trends in the United States, Europe and Japan, as well as developing asset allocation strategies for these major economies. Additionally, he conducts in-depth research and forecasting on trends across more than 10 foreign exchange markets.
Jason holds a Master’s degree in Economics from the London School of Economics (LSE) and successfully passed all three levels of the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) exams in 2014.
Written by Jason Tang
Reviewed by Jason Tang
UK July GDP Commentary: Can GBP Break Through Its Current Fluctuation?
After considering multiple factors, given the evident weakness on both sides of this currency pair, we expect the GBP/USD exchange rate to maintain its current fluctuation trend in the short term.
4 hours ago
U.S. August CPI Preview: Persistent Rise in Inflation, What Impact on Rate Cuts? And on US Stocks?
TradingKey - On 11 September 2025, the U.S. will publish August CPI data. Consensus forecasts indicate a 0.3% month-over-month increase for both headline CPI and core CPI. As a result, headline CPI year-over-year may climb to 2.9%, up from 2.7%
Tue, Sep 9
Japan Q2 GDP Commentary: Growth Revised Upward, Yen May Rise
TradingKey - On 8 September 2025, Japan released the revised Q2 GDP figures. The data showed that real GDP grew by 0.5% quarter-on-quarter, surpassing market expectations of 0.3% and the previous quarter’s 0% growth.
Mon, Sep 8
Fed to Cut Rates: All Asset Prices Up!
TradingKey - The Federal Reserve is almost certain to restart its interest rate cut cycle on 17 September this year. After in-depth research, we have concluded that cryptocurrencies, the broader U.S. stock market, and short-term U.S. Treasury bonds will all go up.
Mon, Sep 8
U.S. August Nonfarm Payroll Preview: Risks Focus on Downward Revision of July Data
TradingKey - On 5 September 2025, the U.S. Department of Labour will release the August Non-Farm Payrolls report. The market widely expects August to see an addition of 75,000 non-farm jobs, roughly in line with July’s 73,000.
Thu, Sep 4
Eurozone August CPI Commentary: Will the Euro's Range-Bound Fluctuation Continue?
TradingKey - On 2 September 2025, the Eurozone released its inflation data for August. The headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) edged up to 2.1% from 2.0% in July, in line with market expectations; the core CPI remained unchanged from July at 2.3%, 0.1 percentage points higher than the market ...
Wed, Sep 3
Trump's Health Concerns: How Should Investors Respond if the Rumours Are True?
TradingKey - On 2 September 2025, rumours of Donald Trump’s poor health—alleging a stroke and hospitalisation for aphasia—spread rapidly. However, Trump quickly refuted these claims, labelling reports about his health as "fake news."
Wed, Sep 3
U.S. July PCE and Q2 GDP Commentary: Core Inflation Remains the Key Focus for the U.S. Stock Market Outlook
TradingKey - On 28–29 August 2025, the U.S. released inflation and growth data. The July headline PCE rose by 0.2% month-over-month and 2.6% year-over-year, while core PCE increased by 0.3% month-over-month and 2.9% year-over-year, both aligning with market expectations. On the growth front, the...
Mon, Sep 1
Trump to Sack Cook: Why the Fed Must Maintain Its Independence?
TradingKey - On 25 August 2025, Trump announced the immediate dismissal of Cook from her position as a Federal Reserve Governor, citing "false statements in mortgage loan documents." On the surface, this appears to be an action targeting an individual official's conduct.
Tue, Aug 26
U.S. Dollar Index: Assessing Its Future Trend Through Macro Analysis of the U.S., Eurozone, Japan, and U.K.
TradingKey - Looking ahead, in the U.S., slowing economic growth combined with ongoing interest rate cuts will exert downward pressure on the dollar. In the Eurozone, weak economic performance and continued ECB rate cuts will likely depreciate the euro, indirectly supporting the U.S. Dollar Index...
Mon, Aug 25
Japan July CPI Commentary: Inflation Eases but Remains Elevated, Yen Appreciation Expected
TradingKey - On 22 August 2025, Japan released its inflation data for July. The figures showed that the year-on-year increase in the national Consumer Price Index (CPI) eased to 3.1%, down from 3.3% in June.
Mon, Aug 25
Eurozone July HICP Commentary: The Euro to Enter a Fluctuation Range
TradingKey - On 20 August 2025, the eurozone released the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) data for July. In line with the general market expectations, the headline HICP remained unchanged month-on-month, while the core HICP fell into negative territory
Fri, Aug 22
FOMC August Meeting Minutes Commentary: Diverging Opinions, Rate Cut Optimism Outweighs Concerns, Your U.S. Stock Portfolio Remains Secure
TradingKey - On 21 August 2025, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) released its latest meeting minutes, which revealed divisions among Fed officials due to a weakening job market and the impact of tariffs on inflation.
Fri, Aug 22
Japan July CPI Preview: With Inflation Cooling, Will the Yen Still Rise?
TradingKey - Japan is set to release July inflation data on 22 August 2025. Market consensus predicts that the national Consumer Price Index (CPI) excluding fresh food will see its year-on-year increase slow from 3.3% in June to 3%. While forecasts for headline CPI and CPI excluding food and...
Tue, Aug 19
U.S. Stock Market Risk Assessment: Learning from History, Mid-Term Outlook Remains Secure
We argue that the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy is the most critical factor influencing the stock market.
Mon, Aug 18
Eurozone July HICP Preview: ECB Likely to Continue Rate Cuts
TradingKey - On 20 August 2025, the Eurozone will release its July Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) data. Market consensus anticipates the headline HICP to rise by 2% year-on-year, with the core HICP increasing by 2.3% year-on-year, both unchanged from the previous month. Since the start..
Mon, Aug 18
Eurozone Q2 GDP Commentary: Will the Euro's Upward Momentum Persist?
TradingKey - On 14 August 2025, Eurostat published Q2 GDP figures, revealing a drop in the Eurozone's quarter-on-quarter growth from 0.6% in the first quarter to 0.1%. Consequently, annual growth eased from 1.5% to 1.4%. The slowdown primarily stems from the diminishing boost from European...
Mon, Aug 18
China July Money Supply Commentary: M2 Growth Rises More Than Expected
The relatively large increase in M2 mainly stems from two factors: first, the impact of a low base formed by the relatively low growth rate of M2 in the same period last year; second, the resolution of debts has promoted the improvement of corporate capital flows.
Fri, Aug 15
Warren Buffett Q2 2025 13F Analysis: Betting on UnitedHealth Again After 14 Years
TradingKey - In Q2 2025, the value of Berkshire Hathaway’s investment portfolio declined from $259.8 billion in Q1 to $257.5 billion, a decrease of 0.89%. Analysis indicates that this drop is primarily driven by a net capital outflow of 0.78%. The outflow may be linked to changing market conditions
Fri, Aug 15
U.S. July CPI Commentary: Obstacles Cleared, Where Will U.S. Stocks Go Next?
TradingKey - On 12 August 2025, the United States released its Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for July. In terms of headline inflation, the CPI rose by 2.7% year-on-year in the month, slightly lower than the expected 2.8%. However, core CPI climbed 3.1% year-on-year, edging past the projected 3.0%.
Wed, Aug 13
