罕见的牛市周期信号点亮希望，Bitcoin价格将在两个月内爆发式飙升
Bitcoin价格将在 1-2 个月内上涨
根据 CryptoQuant 的研究， 比特币价格预计将在未来 1-2 个月内大幅上涨。分析师 Crypto Dan 表示，SOPR 比率指标的“金叉”信号已经出现。该比率表明牛市并tracBitcoin交易的利润和损失。该分析师解释说，“这个信号在整个上行周期中只出现一两次，而且是自2023年1月开始的当前上行周期中的第二个积极信号。”
从历史上看，Bitcoin价格在信号出现后两个月内飙升。由于这是该信号在当前市场周期中第二次出现，因此上涨幅度可能会很大。
#Bitcoin预计在 1-2 个月内tron上涨
“这个信号在整个上行周期中只出现一两次，而且是自2023年1月开始的当前上行周期中的第二个积极信号。” – 作者： @DanCoinInvestor
全文👇 https://t.co/pFpGEAnAOh pic.twitter.com/cvZnXCs4Fh
— CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) 2024 年 12 月 2 日
The analyst says that in the later stages, the price increases tend to become larger and corrections are shorter. If the surge happens as predicted, more money and new investors would help with the price rise. Which in turn can reportedly push Bitcoin to its peak price by late 2024 or early 2025.
Meanwhile, another signal will make the investors optimistic about Bitcoin price. The amount of Bitcoin held on exchanges, given by exchange reserves, is at a record low while the BTC price is at a record-high range.
The charts show the 7-day moving average has been decreasing over time. These figures haven’t been seen in between 2022 and 2024 until now. In simple terms, the SMA hints at fewer Bitcoins for investors. Since there is a supply shortage, less BTC will be available for trading or selling on these exchanges.
Bumper Q4 for Bitcoin
Bitcoin price has been consistently rising in Q4 2024 and almost inched to breach the $100,000 level. With prices going up and exchange reserves going down, the demand for Bitcoin is a strong bullish indicator. This also means that people might be buying and moving their Bitcoins off exchanges to ‘hodl.’
The weekly asset flow report by CoinShares revealed strong inflows since early September. Bitcoin only recently lost its momentum briefly. The report says that investors have withdrawn $457 million in the last week, likely an indicator of profit-taking.
The Bitcoin Relative Strength Index (RSI) also indicates the momentum since September. By the end of October, the RSI started rising above 70, signaling an overbought market condition. After reaching the peak of around 84, the RSI began to fall. However, 14 close average remains around 70 at the time of writing. This again indicates resilient demand.
There are macro factors also behind this surge. In a recent piece, Dr Thomas Gift from UCL Political Science stated, “Aside from politicians’ promises, a number of other reasons explain why many bitcoiners are poising themselves for a Trump-fuelled bull run.”
He circles on continued money printing by the Fed, expected crypto clarity through Trump’s election victory and institutional adoption as reasons for Bitcoin price rise.
While some investors have already taken profits, the market is unhinged and even more fueled, setting the stage for Bitcoin to reach its peak in this cycle.
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