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EUR/USD slides as Middle East tensions and Fed hike bets boost US Dollar
The Euro (EUR) trades on the back foot against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday as reports of renewed attacks in the Middle East lift the Greenback.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, May 4
NZD/USD declines as Middle East tensions bolster US Dollar, RBNZ stays cautious
NZD/USD trades around 0.5868 on Monday at the time of writing, down 0.52% on the day. The pair remains under pressure amid an environment marked by heightened geopolitical uncertainty, which typically supports safe-haven assets and the US Dollar (USD).
NZD/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, May 4
Eurozone: Higher inflation and ECB hikes support Euro – BNP Paribas
BNP Paribas economists project Eurozone Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth to slow from 1.5% in 2025 to 1.0% in 2026, with inflation rebounding to 3.0% in 2026 and 3.3% in 2027.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, May 4
Japan's Katayama says Japan will take 'decisive action' against speculative FX moves
Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama returned to the verbal channel on Monday, signaling Tokyo's readiness to take decisive action against speculative foreign exchange moves under last September's bilateral agreement with the US, just two trading days after the Ministry of Finance (MoF) and Bank of Jap
USD/JPY
Fxstreet
Mon, May 4
EUR/GBP edges higher as Middle East tensions lift volatility, UK politics in focus
EUR/GBP edges higher on Monday as ongoing tensions in the Middle East keep market volatility elevated, while political uncertainty in the UK adds modest pressure on the British Pound (GBP). At the time of writing, the cross is trading around 0.8645, recovering from an intraday low of 0.8629.
EUR/GBP
Fxstreet
Mon, May 4
GBP/USD recoils as Hormuz risks lift US Dollar and WTI
GBP/USD falls on Monday as tensions in the Middle East remain high as Iran threatens US Navy to not enter the Strait of Hormuz, amid growing speculation that Tehran’s launched missiles to a US warship. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 1.3531, slightly down 0.34%.
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, May 4
AUD/USD falls ahead of RBA decision, Middle East noise limits upside
The AUD/USD pair is trading with a cautious tone, hovering near the 0.7190 price zone as investors position ahead of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) monetary policy decision due later on Monday.
AUD/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, May 4
USD/JPY steadies after suspected Japan intervention amid safe-haven Dollar demand
USD/JPY trades around 157.00 on Monday, virtually unchanged on the day, after a sharp move during the Asian session briefly sent the pair down to 155.71 before a swift rebound.
USD/JPY
Fxstreet
Mon, May 4
JPY: Intervention bounce faces policy doubts – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Thu Lan Nguyen writes that suspected MoF/BoJ intervention has strengthened the Japanese Yen (JPY), but questions how long gains will last. Markets still doubt the Bank of Japan's (BoJ willingness to respond forcefully to inflation, and see the JPY as a G10 laggard.
USD/JPY
Fxstreet
Mon, May 4
USD/CAD edges higher as US-Iran tensions underpin the US Dollar
USD/CAD edges higher on Monday as rising tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, amid the ongoing US–Iran standoff, support the US Dollar (USD). At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 1.3617, up nearly 0.22% on the day.
USD/CAD
Fxstreet
Mon, May 4
NZD: RBNZ pushes back on supply-shock hikes – BNY
BNY’s Bob Savage highlights comments from Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) policy member Prasanna Gai, who argues the Strait of Hormuz supply shock does not warrant automatic rate hikes.
NZD/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, May 4
EUR/USD: Dollar seen weakening versus Euro – BNP Paribas
BNP Paribas economists expect the United States (US) economy to grow above potential in 2026, with Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at 2.4% and inflation at 3.3%, while the Fed Funds target range is seen steady at 3.5%-3.75%.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, May 4
AUD: RBA seen leaning to another hike – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur highlights strong market conviction that the RBA will deliver a third consecutive rate hike, with futures implying a 75% probability. Inflation and expectations remain well above target and RBA rhetoric has turned more hawkish.
AUD/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, May 4
EUR/USD: Resilient above 1.17 with ECB split – BNY
BNY’s Bob Savage points out that the Euro is holding above 1.1700 even as the US Dollar (USD) firms, with markets weighing divergent European Central Bank (ECB) rhetoric. François Villeroy de Galhau argues for waiting for more data, while Peter Kažimír signals near-certainty of a June rate hike.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, May 4
USD/CHF rises on safe-haven USD demand while SNB outlook limits CHF downside
USD/CHF trades around 0.7840 on Monday, up 0.28% on the day, supported by a renewed wave of risk aversion that is boosting the US Dollar (USD).
USD/CHF
Fxstreet
Mon, May 4
GBP/USD drifts below 1.3550 as rising US-Iran tensions sour sentiment
The Pound (GBP) reverses initial gains against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday and extends its correction from Friday’s highs above 1.3650, to session lows below 1.3550.
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, May 4
USD/CAD: Limited downside before Q4 – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister argues that higher Oil prices are giving the Canadian Dollar (CAD) temporary support, but warns that a fragile Canadian economy and upcoming USMCA (United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement) talks could trigger setbacks.
USD/CAD
Fxstreet
Mon, May 4
EUR/JPY edges lower as Eurozone recovery meets intervention-supported Yen
EUR/JPY trades around 184.00 on Monday, down slightly by 0.04% at the time of writing, as contrasting fundamentals persist between a resilient Eurozone and a Japanese Yen (JPY) supported by defensive flows.
EUR/JPY
Fxstreet
Mon, May 4
USD/JPY: Intervention risk and BoJ path guide downside – OCBC
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note that USD/JPY’s sharp pullback after breaking 160 likely reflected real Japanese Yen (JPY)-buying intervention in thin Golden Week liquidity.
USD/JPY
Fxstreet
Mon, May 4
Euro retreats as US-Iran tensions grow
The Euro (EUR) is retreating further from last week's highs at the 1.1785 area against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, and trades at session lows near 1.1710 at the time of writing.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, May 4
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