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US Treasuries: Curve steepening on supply concerns – ING

ING strategists Benjamin Schroeder and Michiel Tukker note that US yield curves are steepening as front-end rates fall on softer jobs expectations while long-end yields rise on supply concerns.

Fxstreet

Tue, Feb 10

Canada: BoC on hold with flatter path – NBC

National Bank Of Canada (NBC) analysts Taylor Schleich, Ethan Currie and Warren Lovely report that softer Canadian data, cooler inflation and rising trade uncertainty have sharply reduced the likelihood of 2026 Bank of Canada hikes.

Fxstreet

Tue, Feb 10

United States Import Price Index (YoY) down to 0% in December from previous 0.1%

United States Import Price Index (YoY) down to 0% in December from previous 0.1%

Fxstreet

Tue, Feb 10

United States Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM) below expectations (0.3%) in December: Actual (0%)

United States Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM) below expectations (0.3%) in December: Actual (0%)

Fxstreet

Tue, Feb 10

United States Retail Sales (YoY): 2.4% (December) vs previous 3.3%

United States Retail Sales (YoY): 2.4% (December) vs previous 3.3%

Fxstreet

Tue, Feb 10

United States Retail Sales (MoM) below expectations (0.4%) in December: Actual (0%)

United States Retail Sales (MoM) below expectations (0.4%) in December: Actual (0%)

Fxstreet

Tue, Feb 10

United States Retail Sales Control Group fell from previous 0.4% to -0.1% in December

United States Retail Sales Control Group fell from previous 0.4% to -0.1% in December

Fxstreet

Tue, Feb 10

United States Export Price Index (YoY) declined to 3.1% in December from previous 3.3%

United States Export Price Index (YoY) declined to 3.1% in December from previous 3.3%

Fxstreet

Tue, Feb 10

United States Export Price Index (MoM) came in at 0.3%, above forecasts (0.1%) in December

United States Export Price Index (MoM) came in at 0.3%, above forecasts (0.1%) in December

Fxstreet

Tue, Feb 10

United States Import Price Index (MoM) below forecasts (0.2%) in December: Actual (0.1%)

United States Import Price Index (MoM) below forecasts (0.2%) in December: Actual (0.1%)

Fxstreet

Tue, Feb 10

United States Employment Cost Index below forecasts (0.8%) in 4Q: Actual (0.7%)

United States Employment Cost Index below forecasts (0.8%) in 4Q: Actual (0.7%)

Fxstreet

Tue, Feb 10

United States ADP Employment Change 4-week average down to 6.5K in January 17 from previous 7.75K

United States ADP Employment Change 4-week average down to 6.5K in January 17 from previous 7.75K

Fxstreet

Tue, Feb 10

Gold and Silver: Volatility dents investor confidence – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Carsten Fritsch highlights extreme volatility in Gold and Silver, with sharp swings over consecutive days and record-high nominal prices.

Fxstreet

Tue, Feb 10

Equities: Tech-led records and cautious exuberance – BNY

BNY’s Head of Markets Macro Strategy Bob Savage notes that global equities, led by US technology stocks, have climbed to fresh records, with the MSCI All Country World Index and Asian markets hitting all-time highs.

Fxstreet

Tue, Feb 10

Euro: Fragmented strategy and weak growth model – Rabobank

Rabobank’s Michael Every portrays Europe as stuck near a 1.5% growth path, with German deindustrialisation offset by rearmament and political fragmentation.

Fxstreet

Tue, Feb 10

Norges Bank: Inflation surprise limits easing path – Nomura

Nomura Research analysts Josie Anderson, George Buckley and Andrzej Szczepaniak, now expects Norges Bank to deliver only one further policy rate cut, in December 2026, taking the rate to 3.75%.

Fxstreet

Tue, Feb 10

USD: Retail sales weakness eyed – TD Securities

TD Securities’ Global Strategy Team expects weaker US Retail Sales for December, projecting a 0.2% monthly decline in the headline and 0.1% for the control group, versus stronger market consensus.

US Dollar Index

Fxstreet

Tue, Feb 10

United States NFIB Business Optimism Index below expectations (99.9) in January: Actual (99.3)

United States NFIB Business Optimism Index below expectations (99.9) in January: Actual (99.3)

Fxstreet

Tue, Feb 10

HUF: Strong carry underpins EUR/HUF lows – ING

ING’s Frantisek Taborsky notes quiet Central and Eastern European trading, with EUR/PLN and EUR/CZK staying in usual ranges, while EUR/HUF breaks to two-year lows below 377.

Fxstreet

Tue, Feb 10

Greece Industrial Production (YoY): 3.9% (December) vs 2.6%

Greece Industrial Production (YoY): 3.9% (December) vs 2.6%

Fxstreet

Tue, Feb 10

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