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Fed: Dovish cuts and balance sheet risks – BNY

BNY’s John Velis expects the Federal Reserve to deliver more easing than markets discount, projecting three rate cuts versus two implied by futures as US labor market conditions deteriorate. He argues that economics, not the new chair’s hawkish or dovish leanings, will drive decisions.

US Dollar Index

Fxstreet

Tue, Feb 10

US: Spending resilience supports Dollar – UBS

UBS economist Paul Donovan expects US December retail sales to highlight resilient consumer spending, noting that the roughly 0.8% GDP cost of tariffs has been absorbed through lower savings rates.

Fxstreet

Tue, Feb 10

Austria Industrial Production (YoY) dipped from previous -0.3% to -3.3% in December

Austria Industrial Production (YoY) dipped from previous -0.3% to -3.3% in December

Fxstreet

Tue, Feb 10

GBP/USD: Bulls need close above 1.3730 – UOB

UOB analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note that GBP/USD’s latest surge has stretched short-term momentum, but there is still room to test 1.3730 intraday, with limited odds of a sustained break higher.

Fxstreet

Tue, Feb 10

Sweden Industrial Production Value (YoY) remains unchanged at 4.2% in December

Sweden Industrial Production Value (YoY) remains unchanged at 4.2% in December

Fxstreet

Tue, Feb 10

Sweden Industrial Production Value (MoM) up to 5.1% in December from previous -0.1%

Sweden Industrial Production Value (MoM) up to 5.1% in December from previous -0.1%

Fxstreet

Tue, Feb 10

Sweden New Orders Manufacturing (YoY) dipped from previous 23% to 6.8% in December

Sweden New Orders Manufacturing (YoY) dipped from previous 23% to 6.8% in December

Fxstreet

Tue, Feb 10

France ILO Unemployment came in at 7.9%, above forecasts (7.8%) in 4Q

France ILO Unemployment came in at 7.9%, above forecasts (7.8%) in 4Q

Fxstreet

Tue, Feb 10

Netherlands, The Manufacturing Output (MoM): 0.5% (December) vs -0.5%

Netherlands, The Manufacturing Output (MoM): 0.5% (December) vs -0.5%

Fxstreet

Tue, Feb 10

USD/CNH Price Forecast: Seems vulnerable near 6.9060, descending channel breakdown in play

The USD/CNH pair trades with a negative bias for the fourth consecutive day and drops to a fresh low since May 2023 during the Asian session on Tuesday.

Fxstreet

Tue, Feb 10

Indonesia Foreign Reserves: $154.6 (January) vs previous $156.5

Indonesia Foreign Reserves: $154.6 (January) vs previous $156.5

Fxstreet

Tue, Feb 10

Indonesia Foreign Reserves down to $154 in January from previous $156.5

Indonesia Foreign Reserves down to $154 in January from previous $156.5

Fxstreet

Tue, Feb 10

GBP/USD tilts bullish as markets barrel toward mid-week NFP print

GBP/USD is holding a broader bullish structure on the daily chart, with price trading well above the 50 Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.3507 and the 200 EMA at 1.3310, confirming the intermediate uptrend that has been in place since the November 2025 low near 1.2300.

Fxstreet

Tue, Feb 10

Australia National Australia Bank's Business Confidence: 3 (January)

Australia National Australia Bank's Business Confidence: 3 (January)

Fxstreet

Tue, Feb 10

Australia National Australia Bank's Business Conditions down to 7 in January from previous 9

Australia National Australia Bank's Business Conditions down to 7 in January from previous 9

Fxstreet

Tue, Feb 10

Japan Money Supply M2+CD (YoY): 1.6% (January) vs previous 1.7%

Japan Money Supply M2+CD (YoY): 1.6% (January) vs previous 1.7%

Fxstreet

Mon, Feb 9

Australia Westpac Consumer Confidence up to 90.5% in February from previous -1.7%

Australia Westpac Consumer Confidence up to 90.5% in February from previous -1.7%

Fxstreet

Mon, Feb 9

CNY: Mixed PMIs signal two-speed recovery – Danske Bank

Danske Bank analysts note that China’s January PMIs diverged, with the official NBS manufacturing index slipping below 50 while the private RatingDog measure rose above 50. The difference stems mainly from export orders.

Fxstreet

Mon, Feb 9

BoE’s Mann: US tariffs are pushing Chinese export prices higher for UK

Bank of England (BoE) policymaker Catherine Mann said on Monday that US tariffs are feeding into higher UK inflation through Chinese export pricing.

Fxstreet

Mon, Feb 9

India: Trade deals and rupee undervaluation support outlook – HSBC

HSBC analysts note that Indian equities and the Rupee lagged the recent emerging market rally but may be at a turning point. Progress on a US‑India trade deal, following an EU agreement, has boosted stocks and sentiment.

Fxstreet

Mon, Feb 9

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