Wall Street Too Optimistic About AI Sector Earnings. Apollo Global Management Warns: If Earnings Fall Short of Expectations, It May Trigger Systemic Risk Across the Entire Market.
Tradingkey - Following Morgan Stanley’s bullish view on capital rotating into cloud computing giants, economists at top asset management firm Apollo Global Management warned in a report that if the monetization of AI investments is slower than market consensus, it could spread from the tech sector to become a systemic risk for the entire market. Recently, Morgan Stanley stated that although the AI sector remains the consensual main theme of the current US stock bull market, market concerns regarding high sector concentration, rising valuation premiums, and the monetization efficiency of massive AI capital expenditures continue to intensify. In the short term, Morgan Stanley prefers the risk-reward profile of hyperscale cloud providers over the semiconductor sector. It also expects that, influenced by recent lagging stock price performance, leading cloud giants will gradually revise down their capital expenditure guidance.