Analysis

TradingKey - Two short sellers hit Bloom Energy last week — Hunterbrook alleged Chinese scandium supply reliance, Crossroads Capital added a second short. Bloom refuted both. At $257 in a triple bottom, July 28 earnings is the resolution. Here’s the setup for the week ahead.

TradingKey - Alibaba gained 12% in two days after a $600M DOJ settlement, a Pentagon rule reprieve, reports of limited Nvidia H200 access, and 45% cloud growth expectations. At $111 with Q1 earnings August 28, here’s what the week ahead holds.

TradingKey - On June 24, Eastern Time, OpenAI, in collaboration with Broadcom (AVGO), released its first self-developed AI inference chip, Jalapeño. The chip took only nine months from design to tape-out and is regarded by the industry as the "most aggressive move" yet by a major tech company to reduce its reliance on Nvidia.

TradingKey - As of the close on July 8, Eastern Time, Broadcom (AVGO) shares rose 4.83% to $388.69, reaching an intraday high of $395.09. The stock showed significant strength on Wednesday, directly attributed to the expanded chip supply partnership between Apple (AAPL) and Broadcom. This signifies that Broadcom's custom chip business has secured long-term order support from a major customer, while also strengthening its key position within Apple's supply chain.

TradingKey - From late March to early June this year, tech stocks became the favored choice for investors. During this period, the Nasdaq Composite Index rose by as much as 28%, while the Nasdaq 100 Index surged by 33%. From an asset allocation perspective, investing in the Nasdaq Composite Index encompasses nearly all stocks listed on the Nasdaq, covering all industry sectors such as technology, finance, healthcare, and consumer goods. It includes leading tech giants like Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia, as well as a large number of small and mid-cap emerging growth companies, offering a more balanced distribution across industries and market capitalizations. Therefore, investing in this index represents a bet on the long-term growth potential of the entire industrial chain of the U.S. new economy.

Tradingkey - Apple (AAPL) officially filed a lawsuit against OpenAI on Friday for the theft of trade secrets, coinciding with a critical window as the latter prepares for its IPO. This litigation has pushed the two former close partners into direct opposition and signals that global competition in the AI industry has expanded from model algorithms and ecosystem collaboration to intellectual property disputes over underlying hardware technology. The integration of ChatGPT into the iPhone operating system in 2024 was previously a benchmark event for the implementation of AI in consumer electronics. However, after OpenAI spent $6.4 billion to acquire IO Products and officially entered the consumer hardware sector—directly encroaching on the core stronghold Apple has cultivated for decades—the relationship cooled rapidly. Apple has confirmed that the new version of Siri set for release this autumn will abandon ChatGPT in favor of Google’s Gemini AI model, a strategic shift that was already becoming apparent.

TradingKey - The U.S. agreement to continue negotiations with Iran and the debut of SK Hynix today both buoyed market sentiment. The three major U.S. stock indices all closed higher, with the Nasdaq Composite Index rising for three consecutive days, though the rally in tech stocks slowed. At the close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.29% to 52,637.01; the Nasdaq Composite Index gained 0.29% to 26,281.61; and the S&P 500 Index climbed 0.42% to 7,575.39.

TradingKey - Donald Trump has publicly urged Americans to "go out and buy a Dell computer." Is the Trump-endorsed Dell worth investing in? As an investor, how well do you know this company?

TradingKey - On July 10, Eastern Time, stablecoin leader Circle (CRCL) reported a major regulatory breakthrough. The company officially announced that it has received formal approval from the U.S. Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) to establish Circle National Trust, a national digital currency trust bank. Spurred by the news, Circle shares surged more than 16% intraday to a high of $72.85, marking its largest single-day gain in two months. At the time of writing, Circle's gain had narrowed to 4.4%, trading at $65.8.

TradingKey - SK Hynix - WI (SKHYV) opened at $170 in its debut, 14.09% higher than its offering price of $149. Its market capitalization reached $1.27 trillion, currently ranking 11th in the U.S. by market value, below Tesla but above Eli Lilly. Reportedly, when-issued trading was conducted on Friday under the temporary ticker SKHYV, and will officially switch to the regular ticker SKHY next Monday.

TradingKey - On July 10, ET, Marvell Technology (MRVL) shares retreated, falling 3.38% to $235 as of press time. Reportedly, SemiAnalysis founder Dylan Patel stated that the large-scale adoption of co-packaged optics (CPO) may be delayed until late 2028 or 2029. Patel pointed out that current manufacturing yields, chip designs, and supply chain maturity have yet to reach the standards for mass deployment. Furthermore, Nvidia's Rubin and its subsequent Feynman architectures will continue to utilize all-copper solutions, meaning CPO on the GPU side will have to wait for several more generations of chip iterations.

TradingKey - Tesla’s 480K Q2 deliveries are already priced in. July 22 earnings are about automotive gross margin, Cybercab launch timeline, and whether $25B capex is compressing or expanding future free cash flow. TSLA at $406.

TradingKey - On July 10, Eastern Time, Meta Platforms (META) rose more than 4% at one point in pre-market trading. As of press time, it was trading around $655.45. Meta closed up 4.7% the previous day.

TradingKey - Against the backdrop of record surges in global oil prices and sharply rising industry cost pressures, Delta Air Lines, the most profitable U.S. airline, delivered results that exceeded market expectations.

TradingKey - SpaceXAI launched Grok 4.5 on July 8 with large Nvidia chip orders. Blue Origin raised $10B at $130B valuation. ARK bought 182K shares. JPMorgan called a Tesla-SpaceX merger ‘strategically coherent.’ SPCX at $152.

TradingKey - On July 10, Eastern Time, SK Hynix (SKHY) will officially list on the Nasdaq, priced at $149 per ADR. Raising approximately $26.5 billion, the offering surpasses Alibaba’s 2014 record of $25 billion to become the largest US IPO by a foreign company.

TradingKey - On July 10, Eastern Time, the three major U.S. stock index futures showed mixed performance in pre-market trading. As of press time, Nasdaq 100 Index futures fell 0.34%, S&P 500 Index futures declined 0.05%, and Dow Jones Index futures rose 0.12%.

TradingKey - IREN fell 40% from its high after Meta signaled it would resell excess compute capacity and Bernstein said it is ‘behind’ in enterprise. At $42 in a short setup, the 13-analyst target is $76. Here’s the tension.

TradingKey - The takeover battle for easyJet has taken a dramatic turn in just one week. U.S. private equity giant Apollo Global Management (APO) has emerged with a £5.7 billion bid, surpassing Castlelake, which had previously reached an agreement in principle. This move has intensified the bidding war for Europe’s second-largest low-cost carrier.

TradingKey - As of July 10 Eastern Time, Costco (COST) was last priced at $912.97, after falling 4.21% on July 9 and rising slightly by 0.22% in pre-market trading. The stock price declined as newly released June sales data indicated a slowdown in growth.