Vitalik Buterin 表示预测市场和信息金融可以改变 DAO
Ethereum联合创始人 Vitalik Buterin 认为，金融驱动的信息源可以改变社交媒体、科学评论和去中心化治理等其他领域。在最近的一篇博文中，Buterin 解释说，人工智能或法学硕士可以通过提高准确性和透明度来扩大信息金融渠道。
Vitalik Buterin 的文章生动地描述了信息金融和预测市场如何在当今不断发展的世界中发挥重要作用。这位加密货币大亨在刚刚结束的美国大选中强调了 Polymarket 作为信息金融渠道的作用。
Buterin 表示，Polymarket 提供了有关选举的实时信息，同时为投注者提供了一个投注平台来预测谁将赢得美国dent选举。
事实证明，Polymarket 的数据比其他来源的数据更准确。该网站预测唐纳德·特朗普有 60/40 的机会赢得选举，而其他消息来源则维持着紧张的竞选印象，认为两位候选人之间的胜算是 50/50。
Buterin 认为信息金融领域可以使 DAO 受益
从预测市场到信息金融： https ://t.co/Os5I1vocNn
— vitalik.eth (@VitalikButerin) 2024 年 11 月 9 日
In the article, Buterin mentioned that information finance was a new and emerging field focused on prediction markets and information provision. He also detailed that the sector could face massive disruptions with advanced large language models (LLMs) and artificial intelligence (AI).
Buterin highlighted that prediction markets are part of info finance, which allows users to place bets based on which post they believe is true or false. The sector boosts credibility in dispelling information and identifies and flags falsehoods. Buterin mentioned in the article that info finance could serve as a useful tool in the decentralized finance arena on decentralized governance.
According to Buterin, decentralized autonomous organizations (DAOs) could capitalize on prediction markets to foster development in the respective ecosystem. The article emphasized that DAOs face the major challenge of having many decisions, and most members are unwilling to participate.
The challenge has led to the need for widespread delegation that sparks centralization concerns and principal-agent failures in representative democracy. According to Buterin, a DAO that incorporates could be the solution DAOs with limited voting activities are looking for.
“A DAO where actual votes only happen very rarely, and most things are decided by prediction markets with some combination of humans and AI predicting the votes, could work well.”
Vitalik Buterin recounts other info finance use cases
Vitalik also recounted other use cases of info finance, such as ‘proto-info finance’, which is a genre of personal tokens such as BitClout and friend.tech. Vitalik Buterin thinks info finance can develop improved versions of these projects to provide solutions to important challenges such as talent sourcing.
According to Buterin, info finance and market prediction could be incorporated in science peer review to recheck findings from previous studies.
In other news, the crypto pioneer proposed reducing the Ethereum validator threshold to 1 ETH from 32 ETH to allow solo staking. Buterin argued that a high validator staking amount is a barrier to entry for small participants and solo stakers willing to validate the network but cannot afford 32 ETH.
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