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Forex Today: US Dollar stabilizes after long weekend
Here is what you need to know on Monday, July 6:
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 6
Australian Dollar: Downside bias within broader neutral band against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang reports AUD/USD has stalled after last week’s sharp rise, with a tentative build-up in downside momentum pointing to a limited dip toward 0.6910 intraday. For the next 1–3 weeks, the bank stays neutral, expecting consolidation between 0.6870 and 0.6980.
AUD/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 6
New Zealand Dollar: RBNZ set for further tightening – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu expects the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) to raise the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25bp to 2.50%, supported by stronger Gross Domestic Product (GDP), resilient labor markets and firm inflation near the top of target.
NZD/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 6
USD/CAD Price Forecast: Retakes 1.4200 and beyond as bulls await trading range breakout
The USD/CAD pair is seen building on last week's bounce from the vicinity of mid-1.4100s and gaining positive traction for the second consecutive day on Monday.
USD/CAD
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 6
USD/JPY Price Forecast: Eyes 40-year highs near 163.00 after breaking above nine-day EMA
USD/JPY gains ground for the second successive day, trading around 162.20 during the early European hours on Monday. The currency pair is maintaining a bullish near-term bias as it holds comfortably above both the nine-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs).
USD/JPY
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 6
Japanese Yen: Intervention risks shape Dollar pullback – MUFG
MUFG’s Teppei Ino reviews recent USD/JPY price action, noting the pair opened near 161.78 and briefly tested the 162.84 area before reversing. The report highlights Dollar weakness after comments from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh and a softer US employment report.
USD/JPY
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 6
GBP/USD Price Forecast: Pound dips below 1.3350 with bullish momentum losing steam
The British Pound (GBP) ticks lower against the US Dollar (USD) Monday, attempting to close a seven-day rally, as tensions rise again in the Strait of Hormuz, one of the critical points in the peace process between Washington and Tehran.
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 6
Swiss Franc declines as US Dollar rebounds, eyes on US Services PMI
The Swiss Franc (CHF) faces selling pressure against the US Dollar (USD) at the start of the week. The USD/CHF pair is down 0.25% to near 0.8055 during the European trading session as the US Dollar rebounds despite traders reconsidering Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hike expectations.
USD/CHF
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 6
British Pound: Overbought rally still eyeing 1.3410 against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang notes GBP/USD remains elevated after last week’s surge, with scope for a modest pullback confined to 1.3320–1.3375 intraday and limited risk of a clear break below 1.3320.
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 6
Euro: ECB support offsets Dollar strength – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister argues that recent EUR/USD weakness reflects a stronger US Dollar (USD) rather than a fundamentally weak Euro (EUR), as the Euro has outperformed the G10 average.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 6
EUR/USD Price Forecast: 20-day EMA acts as key barrier near 1.1460
The EUR/USD pair trades marginally lower to near 1.1428 during the early European trading session on Monday. The major currency pair faces slight selling pressure as the US Dollar (USD) gains ground after a negative weekly close.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 6
Indian Rupee edges lower against the US Dollar at the start of FOMC Minutes week
The Indian Rupee (INR) opens marginally lower against the US Dollar (USD) at the start of the week.
Brent
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 6
Japanese Yen declines towards 162.00 vs USD as carry trades counter intervention risks
The USD/JPY pair builds on its goodish recovery from the 160.50-160.45 region, or over a two-week low touched on Friday, and gains strong follow-through traction for the second straight day on Monday.
USD/JPY
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 6
EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Tests 185.00 after breaking above moving averages
EUR/JPY gains ground for the second successive day, trading around 185.00 during the Asian hours on Monday. The currency cross holds a constructive near-term bias as it trades above the nine-period and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs).
EUR/JPY
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 6
AUD/USD Price Forecast: Retreats from 38.2% Fibo. hurdle; holds above 0.6900
The AUD/USD pair meets with a fresh supply during the Asian session on Monday and, for now, seems to have snapped a two-day winning streak to the 0.6950 region, or a one-and-a-half-week high touched on Friday.
AUD/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 6
Canadian Dollar weakens despite higher oil prices
USD/CAD gains ground for the second consecutive day, trading around 1.4210 during the Asian hours on Monday. The upside of the pair could be restrained as the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD) could receive support from higher oil prices.
USD/CAD
Brent
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 6
New Zealand Dollar declines as NZIER splits on July decision
NZD/USD depreciates after two days of gains, trading around 0.5690 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair loses ground as the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) weakens following the ANZ World Commodity Price Index, which fell 1.0% in June as easing Middle East tensions and lower oil prices weighed.
NZD/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 6
British Pound flat lines around mid-1.3300s vs USD amid Iran tensions
The GBP/USD pair struggles to capitalize on last week's strong move higher and oscillates in a narrow band, around the 1.3350 area during the Asian session on Monday.
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 6
Japanese Yen weakens under high import costs despite JGB yield hitting 30-year highs
USD/JPY extends its gains for the second successive day, trading around 161.70 during the Asian hours on Monday. The Japanese Yen (JPY) is caught in a high-stakes tug-of-war, buckling under surging import costs even as 10-year JGB yields hit a fresh 30-year high of 2.79%.
USD/JPY
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 6
PBOC sets USD/CNY reference rate at 6.8066 vs. 6.8047 previous
On Monday, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) sets the USD/CNY central rate for the trading session ahead at 6.8066 compared to Friday's fix of 6.8047 and 6.7850 Reuters estimate.
USD/CNH
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 6
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