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South African Rand: SARB tightening and fiscal risks – BNY
BNY’s Bob Savage argues that South African Reserve Bank (SARB) is likely to lead emerging market tightening as South Africa reverses its easing path and hikes the repo rate back to 7.0%.
USD/ZAR
Fxstreet
Mon, May 25
New Zealand Dollar: Seen above 0.60 against US Dollar in 2H26 – ING
ING’s FX Strategist Francesco Pesole expects the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to deliver a hawkish hold at the 27 May meeting, while warning markets underprice the risk of a surprise hike. He sees new projections signalling tightening from 3Q and looks for two 25bp hikes starting in July.
NZD/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, May 25
USD/CAD Price Forecast: Holds above 1.3800; near highest since April 13 amid bullish setup
The USD/CAD pair reverses an intraday dip to sub-1.3800 levels and fills a modest weekly bearish gap, hitting a fresh daily top during the first half of the European session on Monday.
USD/CAD
Fxstreet
Mon, May 25
Swiss Franc extends its gains as the US Dollar faints amid Iran peace hopes
The Swiss Franc (CHF) accelerates its recovery against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, with the USD/CHF pair reaching 11-day lows below 0.7820 at the moment of trading, down from highs past 0.7900 last week.
USD/CHF
Fxstreet
Mon, May 25
Euro: Downside risks against US Dollar towards 1.1400 support – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad expects the European Central Bank's (ECB) April Account to underline a tightening bias, with markets already pricing high odds of a June rate hike to 2.25%.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, May 25
Japanese Yen: Intervention needs BoJ support – HSBC
HSBC analysts argue that foreign exchange intervention alone is unlikely to keep the USD/JPY pair sustainably below 160. They stress that effectiveness increases when intervention coincides with Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hikes and lower Oil prices.
USD/JPY
Fxstreet
Mon, May 25
NZD/USD Price Forecast: Resistance at 0.5880 keeps holding bulls
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) maintains a moderately negative tone against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, despite a somewhat brighter market sentiment.
NZD/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, May 25
Australian Dollar: Rebound meets resistance against US Dollar – UOB
UOB’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann report that AUD/USD rebounded sharply after recent weakness, with the pair swinging between 0.7100 and 0.7168 and now trading near 0.7155.
AUD/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, May 25
Australian Dollar rises as improving sentiment outweighs decreasing RBA rate hike odds
AUD/USD holds ground after two days of losses, trading around 0.7170 during the early European hours on Monday. The pair appreciates as the Australian Dollar (AUD) receives support from fading safe-haven demand in anticipation of the United States (US)-Iran accord.
AUD/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, May 25
Japanese Yen slides to 159.00 vs weaker USD amid economic risks due to Mideast uncertainty
The USD/JPY pair attracts some dip-buyers following a bearish gap opening on Monday and reclaims the 159.00 mark during the early part of the European session.
USD/JPY
Fxstreet
Mon, May 25
New Zealand Dollar: Rangebound versus US Dollar on RBNZ repricing – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad expects the RBNZ to hold the Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 2.25% this week, while swaps price 125 bps of tightening over the next year.
NZD/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, May 25
Japanese Yen: Weakens against Dollar on inflation focus – MUFG
MUFG’s Teppei Ino reviews recent USD/JPY performance, noting that the pair opened at 156.86 and rose toward 158.50 as the Dollar strengthened on difficult US-Iran negotiations, higher crude oil prices and renewed inflation concerns.
USD/JPY
Fxstreet
Mon, May 25
Canadian Dollar: Oil gains offer limited support – HSBC
HSBC analysts discuss why the Canadian Dollar (CAD) has not strengthened significantly despite higher Oil prices, highlighting structural constraints in Canada’s non-US export capacity.
USD/CAD
Brent
Fxstreet
Mon, May 25
Euro softens against British Pound despite ECB hike prospects
The EUR/GBP cross trades in negative territory around 0.8635 during the early European trading hours on Monday. Traders await the speeches from the European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers later this week, including President Christine Lagarde, for fresh impetus.
EUR/GBP
Fxstreet
Mon, May 25
Euro: Neutral range consolidation versus US Dollar – UOB
UOB’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann describe EUR/USD as firming after a brief dip to 1.1575, with upward momentum starting to build.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, May 25
Silver Price Forecasts: XAG/USD eases below $78.00 but maintains a mild bullish stance
Silver (XAG/USD) failed to breach resistance at the $79.00 area earlier on Monday, but remains moderately bid, trading in the mid-$77.00s at the time of writing.
Silver
Fxstreet
Mon, May 25
Japanese Yen Gains Traction on Us-Iran Peace Progress
The USD/JPY pair edges lower to around 158.85, snapping the two-day winning streak during the Asian trading hours on Monday. The US Dollar (USD) weakens against the Japanese Yen (JPY) amid signs of a US-Iran deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
USD/JPY
Fxstreet
Mon, May 25
Euro holds early gains against US Dollar amid US-Iran deal hopes
The Euro (EUR) holds onto its opening gains against the US Dollar (USD) around 1.1645 at the start of the European trading session on Monday.
EUR/USD
Brent
Fxstreet
Mon, May 25
Canadian Dollar gains ground amid hopes of a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz
The USD/CAD pair edges lower to around 1.3805 during the early European session on Monday. The US Dollar (USD) softens against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) after US officials signal progress on a peace deal with Iran.
USD/CAD
Brent
Fxstreet
Mon, May 25
British Pound builds on intraday gains vs weaker USD; approaches 1.3500 on Iran deal hopes
The GBP/USD pair is seen building on its modest bullish opening gap on Monday and recovering further from its lowest level since April 8, around the 1.3300 round figure touched last week.
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, May 25
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