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Fed's Daly: There is a scenario where Fed has to fight inflation
While speaking at a Banco de España conference in Santander, Spain, San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly said that she doesn't see any signs of a lack of economic resiliency in the US, despite above-target inflation, per Reuters.
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 2
Germany: Bureaucracy cuts and tax tweaks – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Dr. Ralph Solveen reviews Germany’s new reform package agreed by CDU/CSU and SPD, focusing on bureaucracy reduction, labor market changes, and modest tax adjustments.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 2
United States Initial Jobless Claims dropped to 215K last week
According to a report from the US Department of Labour (DOL) released on Thursday, the number of US citizens submitting new applications for unemployment insurance shrank to 215K for the week ending June 27.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 2
United States Continuing Jobless Claims came in at 1.814M, above forecasts (1.81M) in June 19
United States Continuing Jobless Claims came in at 1.814M, above forecasts (1.81M) in June 19
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 2
United States U6 Underemployment Rate declined to 7.9% in June from previous 8.1%
United States U6 Underemployment Rate declined to 7.9% in June from previous 8.1%
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 2
United States Initial Jobless Claims below forecasts (220K) in June 26: Actual (215K)
United States Initial Jobless Claims below forecasts (220K) in June 26: Actual (215K)
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 2
United States Labor Force Participation Rate fell from previous 61.8% to 61.5% in June
United States Labor Force Participation Rate fell from previous 61.8% to 61.5% in June
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 2
United States Initial Jobless Claims 4-week average dipped from previous 224.25K to 222K in June 26
United States Initial Jobless Claims 4-week average dipped from previous 224.25K to 222K in June 26
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 2
United States Unemployment Rate registered at 4.2%, below expectations (4.3%) in June
United States Unemployment Rate registered at 4.2%, below expectations (4.3%) in June
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 2
United States Nonfarm Payrolls registered at 57K, below expectations (110K) in June
United States Nonfarm Payrolls registered at 57K, below expectations (110K) in June
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 2
United States Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) meets forecasts (0.3%) in June
United States Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) meets forecasts (0.3%) in June
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 2
United States Average Weekly Hours in line with expectations (34.3) in June
United States Average Weekly Hours in line with expectations (34.3) in June
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 2
Euro: Downside bias builds into NFP against US Dollar – MUFG
MUFG’s Lee Hardman notes that softer Euro-zone inflation has pushed EUR/USD below support at 1.1400, with yields falling and markets less confident of another ECB rate hike. The ECB’s “milder” scenario now looks more likely, reducing pressure to tighten further.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 2
CEE FX: Mixed PMI and inflation keep zloty capped – ING
Frantisek Taborsky at ING notes diverging PMI signals in Central Europe, with strong Czech sentiment and weaker Poland, but still expects Polish growth above 3% in 2026. Softer Polish inflation and a potentially dovish National Bank of Poland outlook are reflected in modest rate-cut pricing.
USD/CZK
EUR/HUF
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 2
US Dollar Index: Upside potential builds – UOB
UOB strategist Quek Ser Leang highlights a constructive technical backdrop for the US Dollar Index (DXY), noting similarities with the 2021 and 2025 basing phases.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 2
RBNZ: Policy pace and July hike – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Prashant Newnaha expects the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) to raise the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25bps to 2.50% at next week’s meeting, keeping policy too accommodative with the cash rate still below neutral.
NZD/USD
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 2
Japan’s Finance Ministry declines to comment on the Yen's sudden spike
When asked about the sudden spike in the Japanese Yen (JPY), Japan’s Finance Ministry declined to comment, per Reuters.
USD/JPY
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 2
Euro remains stronger against Canadian Dollar following Eurozone Unemployment Rate
EUR/CAD rises after two days of losses, trading around 1.6200 during the European hours on Thursday. The pair remains stronger as the Euro (EUR) holds ground following the release of the Eurozone Unemployment Rate, which came in at 6.2% in May, against the 6.3% expected.
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 2
France 10-y Bond Auction fell from previous 3.8% to 3.73%
France 10-y Bond Auction fell from previous 3.8% to 3.73%
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 2
Spain 5-y Bond Auction declined to 2.835% from previous 2.947%
Spain 5-y Bond Auction declined to 2.835% from previous 2.947%
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 2
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