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Federal Reserve: Jobs slowdown supports steady rates – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Bernd Weidensteiner notes that weaker US employment data for June and downward revisions to prior months reduce pressure on the Federal Reserve to hike rates at the late-July meeting.
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 2
Indonesia: Stabilising FX and bonds as oil eases – DBS
DBS Group Research economist Radhika Rao notes that Indonesia’s onshore FX and bond markets have stabilised following a correction in global Oil prices, though gains are modest.
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 2
United States EIA Natural Gas Storage Change above expectations (81B) in June 26: Actual (87B)
United States EIA Natural Gas Storage Change above expectations (81B) in June 26: Actual (87B)
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 2
BoE’s Mann: Activist move can bring inflation expectations and outcomes toward 2% target
Bank of England (BoE) policymaker Catherine Mann said on Thursday that an “activist move” may be needed if inflation expectations and outcomes move unfavorably, according to a speech text released by the BoE ahead of an event hosted by French bank Natixis.
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 2
Thailand: Narrow rebound, steady BoT rate – UOB
UOB economists Enrico Tanuwidjaja and Sathit Talaengsatya see Thailand’s 2Q26 starting stronger than feared, driven by exports and technology-linked investment, but with domestic demand still weak.
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 2
Central banks: Framework guidance shift reshapes analysis – Rabobank
Rabobank strategist Michael Every highlights how Fed Chair Warsh and other major central bankers at Sintra are signalling a structural shift away from traditional forward guidance towards data-driven “framework guidance.” Every stresses that evolving AI, new inflation measures and reduced public tou
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 2
United States Factory Orders (MoM) came in at -1.3%, above expectations (-1.8%) in May
United States Factory Orders (MoM) came in at -1.3%, above expectations (-1.8%) in May
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 2
Mexico: USMCA review cycle extends uncertainty – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s Dev Ashish argues that the US decision to opt for annual USMCA reviews instead of a 16-year extension prolongs policy uncertainty for Mexico while leaving near-term trade flows intact.
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 2
Canada S&P Global Manufacturing PMI up to 53 in June from previous 52.9
Canada S&P Global Manufacturing PMI up to 53 in June from previous 52.9
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 2
US Dollar: Softer jobs and inflation outlook weigh on rate expectations – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Bernd Weidensteiner highlights that US nonfarm payrolls rose only 57,000 in June, far below consensus, with prior months revised down by 74,000. Monthly job growth has been slowing and the six-month average is expected to turn lower.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 2
Eurozone: Minimum reserves debate reshapes liquidity – ING
ING strategists Benjamin Schroeder and Michiel Tukker discuss how a potential increase in the Minimum Reserve Requirement (MRR) by the ECB could tighten Eurozone liquidity and reduce ECB losses.
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 2
Russia Central Bank Reserves $ dipped from previous $743.8B to $715.2B
Russia Central Bank Reserves $ dipped from previous $743.8B to $715.2B
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 2
Singapore Manufacturing PMI: 51.3 (June) vs 51
Singapore Manufacturing PMI: 51.3 (June) vs 51
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 2
Fed's Daly: There is a scenario where Fed has to fight inflation
While speaking at a Banco de España conference in Santander, Spain, San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly said that she doesn't see any signs of a lack of economic resiliency in the US, despite above-target inflation, per Reuters.
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 2
Germany: Bureaucracy cuts and tax tweaks – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Dr. Ralph Solveen reviews Germany’s new reform package agreed by CDU/CSU and SPD, focusing on bureaucracy reduction, labor market changes, and modest tax adjustments.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 2
United States Initial Jobless Claims dropped to 215K last week
According to a report from the US Department of Labour (DOL) released on Thursday, the number of US citizens submitting new applications for unemployment insurance shrank to 215K for the week ending June 27.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 2
United States Continuing Jobless Claims came in at 1.814M, above forecasts (1.81M) in June 19
United States Continuing Jobless Claims came in at 1.814M, above forecasts (1.81M) in June 19
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 2
United States U6 Underemployment Rate declined to 7.9% in June from previous 8.1%
United States U6 Underemployment Rate declined to 7.9% in June from previous 8.1%
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 2
United States Initial Jobless Claims below forecasts (220K) in June 26: Actual (215K)
United States Initial Jobless Claims below forecasts (220K) in June 26: Actual (215K)
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 2
United States Labor Force Participation Rate fell from previous 61.8% to 61.5% in June
United States Labor Force Participation Rate fell from previous 61.8% to 61.5% in June
Fxstreet
Thu, Jul 2
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