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Fed’s Waller: Forward guidance can be “valuable tool” but may become a hindrance
Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Christopher Waller said on Monday that forward guidance can strengthen the impact of monetary policy when used properly, but warned that it can also become problematic if it limits policymakers’ flexibility.Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 6
Chinese Yuan: Sideways trade within defined band against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang indicates USD/CNH has seen a slight softening in momentum but remains confined to a narrow intraday band of 6.7800–6.7930. Over the next 1–3 weeks, the bank expects range trading between 6.7750 and 6.8080 as earlier Dollar strength has faded.
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 6
LatAm FX: Rotation favors equities and carry – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes that crowded exposure to Latin American (LatAm) bonds is unwinding as higher U.S. yields drive a domestic repricing of real-rate risks. The bank sees flows rotating toward regional equities and maintains a constructive tactical view on Latin American carry.Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 6
United States: Sideways growth, sticky inflation – TD Securities
TD Securities projects US output growth to move sideways in 2026, slightly below trend, with Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at 2.0% Q4/Q4 and unemployment around 4.3%. The Iran conflict and an oil shock pose stagflationary risks, while AI and high-income consumers support demand.Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 6
Germany: Gradual industrial recovery prospects – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Dr. Marco Wagner notes that German manufacturing orders rose 1.9% in May, or 1.0% excluding large orders, pointing to an upward trend. He argues this supports a moderate recovery in German industry and a slight recovery in the broader German economy after a likely small Q2 decline.Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 6
Euro holds gains against Japanese Yen following Eurozone Retail Sales
EUR/JPY continues to gain ground for the second successive day, trading around 185.30 during the European hours on Monday. The currency cross remains stronger as the Euro (EUR) holds ground following the release of key economic data from the Eurozone and Germany.
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 6
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