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IDR: BI prioritizes FX stability over growth – BNY

BNY analysts expect Bank Indonesia (BI) to keep its policy rate unchanged at 4.75% (February 19) and maintaining an easing bias but with a high bar for further cuts.

Fxstreet

Mon, Feb 16

CNY: Policy-guided strength and global role – DBS

DBS strategist Philip Wee notes that China continues to guide the CNY stronger even after the first US‑China tariff truce, with USD/CNY breaking below 7.00 and trading firmer within its band.

Fxstreet

Mon, Feb 16

MYR: Strong growth and flows support firm Ringgit – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Moses Lim notes that the Malaysian Ringgit is Asia’s best performer this year, supported by robust growth, FDI into data centres and tech supply chains, and firm exports.

Fxstreet

Mon, Feb 16

USD/SGD: Two-way trade near strong NEER – OCBC

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note that USD/SGD is trading in a subdued range near recent lows, with softer US CPI and labour data keeping Fed cut expectations intact and weighing on the Dollar.

Fxstreet

Mon, Feb 16

Philippine Peso: BSP easing cycle weighs on PHP – BNY

BNY forecasts that Philippines's central bank Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) will cut rates by 25 bps to 4.25% (Feb 19), continuing its easing cycle as growth risks dominate.

Fxstreet

Mon, Feb 16

Colombian Peso: Court ruling supports currency – Societe Generale

Societe Generale’s Dev Ashish notes that Colombia’s Council of State has suspended the government’s 23% minimum‑wage increase, forcing President Petro’s administration to issue a new, economically justified decree within eight days.

Fxstreet

Mon, Feb 16

China: Managed Yuan backed by record surplus – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur notes that China’s Q4 2025 current account surplus hit a record USD 242 billion, or 4.9% of GDP, reinforcing the view that the Yuan remains tightly managed.

Fxstreet

Mon, Feb 16

BoE: Market brings forward rate cut bets – MUFG

MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Lee Hardman notes that UK rate markets now price another Bank of England cut as early as next month after a dovish MPC update. Governor Bailey and MPC member Mann have signalled openness to easing, contingent on data.

Fxstreet

Mon, Feb 16

Poll: BoE expected to cut rates to 3.50% in March – Reuters

A Reuters poll conducted on February 10-16, revealed that economists are eyeing a 25 basis points rate cut by the Bank of England at the next meeting.

Fxstreet

Mon, Feb 16

Colombia Gross Domestic Product (YoY) came in at 2.3%, below expectations (3.1%) in 4Q

Colombia Gross Domestic Product (YoY) came in at 2.3%, below expectations (3.1%) in 4Q

Fxstreet

Mon, Feb 16

Fed: Consumption slowdown shapes outlook – DBS

DBS Group Research Chief Economist Taimur Baig, highlights signs of slowing US consumption after strong 2025 growth. He notes softer retail sales momentum in 4Q25 and a downgrade in real-time GDP estimates.

Fxstreet

Mon, Feb 16

Aluminium: Tariff tweaks offer little relief – ING

ING’s commodities team notes that talk of a partial rollback of US aluminium tariffs is unlikely to materially change market conditions. They stress that the core 50% levy on primary Aluminium remains, leaving domestic capacity constraints and elevated Midwest premiums intact.

Fxstreet

Mon, Feb 16

RBNZ: Markets eye hawkish shift risk – MUFG

MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Lee Hardman notes that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is widely expected to keep the Official Cash Rate unchanged at its first 2026 meeting (Feb 18), after signalling November’s cut was the last of the cycle.

Fxstreet

Mon, Feb 16

CAD: Canada data seen mixed with softer CPI – NBC

National Bank Of Canada analysts Daren King and Jocelyn Paquet expect Canada’s January CPI to be unchanged on the month, pulling headline inflation down to 2.3% and trimming CPI-trim slightly, while CPI-median stays at 2.5%.

Fxstreet

Mon, Feb 16

Canada Housing Starts s.a (YoY) registered at 238K, below expectations (263.3K) in January

Canada Housing Starts s.a (YoY) registered at 238K, below expectations (263.3K) in January

Fxstreet

Mon, Feb 16

Eurozone: Industrial recovery seen holding up – ING

ING’s Chief Economist Peter Vanden Houte notes that Eurozone industrial production declined in December but still showed annual growth, and argues that the cyclical recovery should continue.

Fxstreet

Mon, Feb 16

Fed: Finetuning expectations – DBS

DBS Group Research economist Eugene Leow discusses USD rates as market participants reassess views following volatility and mixed US data. He notes 10Y US Treasury yields are nearing a 4% near-term forecast and describes a Goldilocks US economy with strong NFP and softer CPI.

Fxstreet

Mon, Feb 16

CHF: Strength tests SNB tolerance – OCBC

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note that recent equity market turbulence has coincided with further Swiss Franc gains, with EUR/CHF consolidating well below 0.92.

Fxstreet

Mon, Feb 16

India Trade Deficit Government above expectations ($26.14B) in January: Actual ($34.68B)

India Trade Deficit Government above expectations ($26.14B) in January: Actual ($34.68B)

Fxstreet

Mon, Feb 16

RUB: Dovish CBR and weaker flows point higher USD/RUB – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose highlights that the Russian central bank cut rates by 50 bps and raised its 2026 inflation forecast, while still projecting significantly lower average rates by 2027.

Fxstreet

Mon, Feb 16

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