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China: Recovery stalls as domestic demand weakens – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Dr. Henry Hao notes that China’s post-Q1 recovery lost momentum in April, with industrial output at a three-year low and fixed-asset investment shrinking. Domestic consumption remains fragile as retail sales barely grew and youth unemployment rose.
Fxstreet
Mon, May 18
United Kingdom: Sluggish jobs outlook persists – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank’s Sanjay Raja expects the United Kingdom (UK) labour market to remain weak after a surprise drop in the jobless rate driven by self-employment.
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, May 18
IMF Staff: BoE doesn’t need to raise interest rates this year
According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) staff, the Bank of England (BoE) doesn’t need to raise rates this year, based on the current energy price outlook.
Fxstreet
Mon, May 18
Chinese Yuan: Stimulus hopes as PBoC defends 6.8 – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists judge China’s April data as weak, citing higher Oil prices and soft consumer sentiment. They expect targeted fiscal stimulus focused on infrastructure and see the PBoC remaining cautious on easing.
USD/CNH
Fxstreet
Mon, May 18
Equities: Bond-oil pressure hits sentiment – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank strategists note that the S&P 500 has extended its run to seven consecutive weekly gains, the longest since 2023, even as rising bond yields and Oil prices triggered the worst daily decline since March.
Brent
SPX500
Fxstreet
Mon, May 18
China: Cooling demand and stable US ties – Standard Chartered
Standard Chartered strategists note that China’s April data showed weaker domestic demand, with both consumption and investment slowing even as exports supported industrial production.
Fxstreet
Mon, May 18
Japan mulls issuing fresh debt to fund extra budget - Reuters
According to a Reuters report, the Japanese government plans to issue fresh debt as part of its funding for a planned extra budget, a scenario that would undermine the Japanese Yen (JPY) and boost yields on Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs).
Fxstreet
Mon, May 18
US Dollar: Fed pressure and bond sell-off – ING
ING’s Chris Turner highlights that rising US Treasury yields and a bearish yield curve steepening are pressuring the Federal Reserve (Fed) to sound more hawkish, even without immediate hikes. He notes high Oil prices and higher yields are negative for risk assets but supportive for the Dollar.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Mon, May 18
Japanese Yen struggles despite retreating oil prices
USD/JPY continues its winning streak for the sixth consecutive day, trading around 158.90 during the European hours on Monday.
USD/JPY
Fxstreet
Mon, May 18
US President Trump: Iran is dying to sign a deal
United States (US) President Donald Trump said in an interview with Fortune, released during the European trading session on Monday, that Iran is dying to sign a deal with Washington. “I can tell you one thing—they’re dying to sign [a deal]," Trump said.
Fxstreet
Mon, May 18
Silver: Downside risks build after sharp slide – OCBC
OCBC strategist Christopher Wong notes that Silver dropped around 9% to below US$76/oz, extending a sharper correction than Gold.
Silver
Fxstreet
Mon, May 18
Italy Trade Balance EU declined to €-1.08B in March from previous €-0.652B
Italy Trade Balance EU declined to €-1.08B in March from previous €-0.652B
Fxstreet
Mon, May 18
Italy Global Trade Balance registered at €4.709B, below expectations (€5.2B) in March
Italy Global Trade Balance registered at €4.709B, below expectations (€5.2B) in March
Fxstreet
Mon, May 18
BoE’s Greene: Second-round effects of energy price shock won't show up for another year
Bank of England (BoE) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) member Megan Greene said on Monday, “the second-round effects of energy price shock won't show up for another year.”
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, May 18
Iran and Oman held discussions on safe transit through Strait of Hormuz
According to the state media, Iran's foreign ministry spokesperson said during the European trading session on Monday that technical teams from Iran and Oman met last week in Oman to negotiate a mechanism for safe transit in the Strait of Hormuz.
Brent
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Mon, May 18
ECB: June hike odds shaped by survey prices – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s team notes that the European Central Bank's (ECB Economic Bulletin stresses that a Middle East-driven Oil shock would hit inflation more than activity, but confidence effects could weigh on 2027 growth.
Brent
Fxstreet
Mon, May 18
Japan’s Kihara: Watching market moves with very high sense of urgency
Japan Chief Cabinet Secretary Seiji Kihara said during the European trading session on Monday that the administration is watching market moves, including long-term rates, with a very high sense of urgency. However, Kihara denied commenting on potential intervention in forex markets.
USD/JPY
Fxstreet
Mon, May 18
Turkey Consumer Confidence rose from previous 85.5 to 85.8 in May
Turkey Consumer Confidence rose from previous 85.5 to 85.8 in May
USD/TRY
Fxstreet
Mon, May 18
UK Deputy to PM Lammy: There will be no timetable for departure
United Kingdom (UK) Deputy David Lammy to Prime Minister (PM) Keir Starmer said during the European trading session on Monday that the PM will not set out a timetable for his departure from Downing Street, according to Sky News. "There will be no timetable for departure," Lammy told, adding that he
Fxstreet
Mon, May 18
Brent: Supply risks keep prices elevated – ING
ING analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey say Brent remains supported as the oil market reprices ongoing supply disruptions linked to the US-Iran standoff and tensions in the Persian Gulf.
Brent
Fxstreet
Mon, May 18
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