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USD: Fed cuts pushed back to summer – Danske Bank
Danske Research Team has shifted its Federal Reserve call, now expecting two 25 bp rate cuts in June and September instead of March and June. They then see the policy rate held at 3.00–3.25% through 2026–2027.
Fxstreet
Tue, Feb 17
When is the Germany ZEW Survey and how it could affect EUR/USD?
The Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW) will release its German Economic Sentiment Index and the Current Situation Index for February at 10:00 GMT later on Tuesday.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Tue, Feb 17
United Kingdom Claimant Count Rate remains unchanged at 4.4% in January
United Kingdom Claimant Count Rate remains unchanged at 4.4% in January
Fxstreet
Tue, Feb 17
German inflation confirmed at 2.1% in January
BERLIN, Feb 17 (Reuters) - German inflation edged higher to reach 2.1% in January, the federal statistics office said on Tuesday, confirming preliminary data.Inflation, or the gain in consumer prices harmonised to compare with other European Union countries, stood at 2.0% year-on-year in December.Th...
Reuters
Tue, Feb 17
JGB yields slip to multi-week lows in holiday-thinned trade
By Junko Fujita TOKYO, Feb 17 (Reuters) - Japanese government bond (JGB) yields fell to multi-week lows on Tuesday in holiday-thinned trading, tracking sharp declines in U.S. Treasury yields last week. The benchmark 10-year JGB yield JP10YTN=JBTC fell 8.5 basis points (bps) to 2.125%, its...
Reuters
Tue, Feb 17
United Kingdom Employment Change (3M) down to 52K in December from previous 82K
United Kingdom Employment Change (3M) down to 52K in December from previous 82K
Fxstreet
Tue, Feb 17
United Kingdom Average Earnings Excluding Bonus (3Mo/Yr) in line with expectations (4.2%) in December
United Kingdom Average Earnings Excluding Bonus (3Mo/Yr) in line with expectations (4.2%) in December
Fxstreet
Tue, Feb 17
United Kingdom Average Earnings Including Bonus (3Mo/Yr) registered at 4.2%, below expectations (4.6%) in December
United Kingdom Average Earnings Including Bonus (3Mo/Yr) registered at 4.2%, below expectations (4.6%) in December
Fxstreet
Tue, Feb 17
United Kingdom ILO Unemployment Rate (3M) came in at 5.2%, above expectations (5.1%) in December
United Kingdom ILO Unemployment Rate (3M) came in at 5.2%, above expectations (5.1%) in December
Fxstreet
Tue, Feb 17
United Kingdom Claimant Count Change registered at 28.6K above expectations (22.8K) in January
United Kingdom Claimant Count Change registered at 28.6K above expectations (22.8K) in January
Fxstreet
Tue, Feb 17
GBP: Data-dependent BOE easing risks – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad highlights that the Pound underperformed after weak UK Q4 GDP reinforced expectations for further Bank of England rate cuts. Markets price a high probability of a March cut and around 50 bps of easing over twelve months.
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Tue, Feb 17
GBP: Data-driven rate cut risks weigh – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Thu Lan Nguyen highlights that recent UK data have become crucial after the Bank of England’s narrow decision to keep rates unchanged. She argues that labour market and inflation releases could significantly move Pound exchange rates.
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Tue, Feb 17
When is the UK employment data and how could it affect GBP/USD?
The United Kingdom (UK) labor market data for the three months ending December is scheduled to be published today at 07:00 GMT.
Fxstreet
Tue, Feb 17
Japan Tertiary Industry Index (MoM) registered at -0.5%, below expectations (-0.2%) in December
Japan Tertiary Industry Index (MoM) registered at -0.5%, below expectations (-0.2%) in December
Fxstreet
Tue, Feb 17
RBA Minutes show a material shift in inflation risks behind February rate hike
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) published the Minutes of its February monetary policy meeting this Tuesday, which showed that the rate hike was driven by stronger-than-expected data, persistent broad-based inflation, and easing financial conditions.
AUD/USD
Fxstreet
Tue, Feb 17
PBoC: Framework shift and firm credit – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Lay and Lim discuss speculation that the PBoC may pivot toward using the overnight repo rate as its main policy tool, further aligning with the Federal Reserve’s framework. They note strong January credit growth driven by seasonal factors and front‑loaded government bond issuance.
USD/CNH
Fxstreet
Mon, Feb 16
Malaysia: Growth to moderate as BNM holds – UOB
UOB Global Economics & Markets Research highlights that Malaysia’s final 4Q25 GDP grew 6.3% year‑on‑year, the fastest since 4Q22, lifting full‑year 2025 growth to 5.2%, above the official 4.0%–4.8% range. Growth was driven by domestic demand, exports, tourism and AI‑related tech.
Fxstreet
Mon, Feb 16
IDR: BI prioritizes FX stability over growth – BNY
BNY analysts expect Bank Indonesia (BI) to keep its policy rate unchanged at 4.75% (February 19) and maintaining an easing bias but with a high bar for further cuts.
Fxstreet
Mon, Feb 16
CNY: Policy-guided strength and global role – DBS
DBS strategist Philip Wee notes that China continues to guide the CNY stronger even after the first US‑China tariff truce, with USD/CNY breaking below 7.00 and trading firmer within its band.
USD/CNH
Fxstreet
Mon, Feb 16
MYR: Strong growth and flows support firm Ringgit – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Moses Lim notes that the Malaysian Ringgit is Asia’s best performer this year, supported by robust growth, FDI into data centres and tech supply chains, and firm exports.
Fxstreet
Mon, Feb 16
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