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Denmark: Goods resilience offsets weaker services – Danske Bank
Danske Research Team reports that overall consumer spending excluding energy in June was broadly unchanged on the month, with real spending up 4.3% year-on-year. Real retail spending on goods rose, particularly in larger consumer categories, while service spending generally declined.
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 13
US Dollar: CPI, Fed speakers and Warsh testimony – Rabobank
Rabobank's Senior Macro Strategist Bas van Geffen highlights a US‑centric data and policy calendar, with June CPI expected to ease to 3.8% year‑on‑year and core inflation to 2.8%.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 13
Fed: Inflation risks and policy hold – TD Securities
TD Securities economists Oscar Munoz and Eli Nir highlight that the June FOMC minutes were hawkish, with most participants ready to hike if supply-driven inflation persists.
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 13
Switzerland: Federalism and direct democracy as growth drivers – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Dr. Jörg Krämer describes Switzerland’s strong federalism and extensive use of financial referenda as key to its superior economic outcomes. Cantons and municipalities compete for taxpayers by setting their own tax rates and controlling spending.
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 13
Why the Swiss Franc isn’t likely to move far from 0.9200 against the Euro
The Swiss Franc (CHF) trades in a tight range against the Euro (EUR) as the Swiss National Bank (SNB) actively works to neutralize safe-haven capital inflows stemming from increased geopolitical woes.
EUR/CHF
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 13
Iran warns US against Hormuz transit
Iran’s top joint military command issued a series of warnings on Monday over the Strait of Hormuz, saying any unauthorized United States (US) transit would be confronted and cautioning neighboring countries against supporting Washington.
Brent
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 13
Russia Foreign Trade up to $14.154B in May from previous $11.431B
Russia Foreign Trade up to $14.154B in May from previous $11.431B
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 13
US President Trump: We are taking over the Strait of Hormuz
In an interview with Fox News on Monday, United States (US) President Donald Trump said that they will probably take over the Strait of Hormuz and argued that they should be reimbursed for controlling it.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 13
Canadian Dollar: Supported against US Dollar by steady BoC outlook – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes that the Bank of Canada (BoC) is widely expected to keep its policy rate unchanged at 2.25%, with markets not pricing cuts until at least Q4.
USD/CAD
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 13
Swiss Franc: ECB support limits gains against euro – Rabobank
Rabobank's Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley discusses EUR/CHF performance since the Iran war, noting that the Swiss National Bank (SNB) has intervened to counter safe haven inflows while the European Central Bank’s (ECB) hawkish stance has supported the Euro (EUR).
EUR/CHF
USD/CHF
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 13
Polish Zloty: Dovish NBP pressures PLN against Euro – ING
ING strategist Frantisek Taborsky says Central and Eastern European FX will be driven by secondary data and policy expectations. A dovish National Bank of Poland stance and market pricing of future rate cuts are seen weighing on the Zloty, with ING’s models pointing EUR/PLN closer to 4.340.
EUR/PLN
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 13
India’s retail CPI rises strongly by 4.38% in June, beats 4.3% estimates
India’s retail Consumer Price Index (CPI) rises at an annualized pace of 4.38% in June, stronger than 4.3% estimates and the previous reading of 3.93%.
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 13
Indian Rupee: Range-bound trade risks around CPI – Societe Generale
Societe Generale strategists note that India’s June Consumer Price Index (CPI) release will be important for bond markets, with the 10-year IGB yield holding near its 200-day moving average around 6.71%.
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 13
US Dollar: Higher energy supports Fed tightening – ING
ING analysts Chris Turner, Frantisek Taborsky and Francesco Pesole note that higher energy prices and tensions in the Gulf are supporting the Dollar against low-yielding currencies. They highlight that US energy independence and live Fed tightening prospects underpin Dollar strength.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 13
Iran confirms Qatar, Oman, and Pakistan continue to mediate with US
A spokesperson from the Iranian Foreign Ministry has confirmed in the European trade on Monday that efforts from Qatar, Oman, and Pakistan to mediate tensions with the United States (US) continue.
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 13
Brent: Rebound tests key resistance – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s Kenneth Broux notes that Brent has sharply rebounded after defending the late-February low around $69 and is now testing the 200-day moving average and a descending trendline.
Brent
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 13
Equities: Earnings and Fed signals in focus – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank strategists highlight that the S&P 500 closed at 7575, gaining 0.42%, after a strong week supported by stabilising chip stocks and a rebound in the Philly semiconductor index.
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 13
Japanese Yen: Intervention risks rise again – ING
ING’s Chris Turner highlights that USD/JPY is grinding higher above 162 as higher energy prices pressure Asian currencies. He notes that Japanese authorities may follow a similar intervention pattern to last year, with potential action ahead of the Marine Day holiday.
USD/JPY
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 13
Turkey Current Account Balance came in at $-1.459B, below expectations ($-0.96B) in May
Turkey Current Account Balance came in at $-1.459B, below expectations ($-0.96B) in May
USD/TRY
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 13
Forex Today: US Dollar benefits from risk aversion as Middle East situation heats up
Here is what you need to know on Monday, July 13:
Fxstreet
Mon, Jul 13
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