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New Zealand’s Gross Domestic Product grows 0.2% QoQ in Q4 vs. 0.4% expected
New Zealand's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew by 0.2% QoQ in the fourth quarter (Q4), compared with a 0.9% expansion (revised from 1.1%) in the third quarter, Statistics New Zealand showed on Thursday. This reading came in weaker than the expectation of 0.4%.
NZD/USD
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 18
EM APAC equities: Positioning stays robust with higher hedging – BNY
BNY’s EMEA Macro Strategist Geoff Yu observes that EM APAC remains the best-held equity region globally despite sharp swings and sector-specific risks such as semiconductors’ helium exposure.
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 18
PHP: BSP flags possible hikes on Oil shock – MUFG
According to MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Michael Wan, Philippine authorities signalled that rate hikes may be considered if Oil price increases and disruptions linked to the Iran war persist.
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 18
New Zealand Gross Domestic Product (YoY) below expectations (1.7%) in 4Q: Actual (1.3%)
New Zealand Gross Domestic Product (YoY) below expectations (1.7%) in 4Q: Actual (1.3%)
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 18
New Zealand Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) came in at 0.2% below forecasts (0.4%) in 4Q
New Zealand Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) came in at 0.2% below forecasts (0.4%) in 4Q
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 18
USD/IDR: FX stability tools take priority – UOB
UOB economists Enrico Tanuwidjaja and Vincentius Ming Shen highlight that Bank Indonesia is prioritizing Rupiah stability over rate moves, keeping the policy rate unchanged while tightening FX regulations.
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 18
China: Domestic demand push under 15th FYP – HSBC
HSBC’s China macro team reviews January–February 2026 data and the latest National People’s Congress outcomes, highlighting a GDP growth target of 4.5–5.0% for 2026.
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 18
Forex Today: US Dollar firms after Fed hawkish hold
Here is what you need to know for Thursday, March 19:
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 18
Fed holds steady, pushes back on cuts as inflation risks linger
The Federal Reserve (Fed) left its policy rate unchanged at 3.50% to 3.75%, but the overall message from both the statement and Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference leans firmly towards patience rather than any imminent pivot to easing.
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 18
United States Net Long-Term TIC Flows below forecasts ($71.6B) in January: Actual ($15.5B)
United States Net Long-Term TIC Flows below forecasts ($71.6B) in January: Actual ($15.5B)
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 18
United States Total Net TIC Flows down to $-25B in January from previous $44.9B
United States Total Net TIC Flows down to $-25B in January from previous $44.9B
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 18
Argentina Unemployment Rate (QoQ) : 7.5% (4Q) vs 6.6%
Argentina Unemployment Rate (QoQ) : 7.5% (4Q) vs 6.6%
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 18
Fed projects 50 bps of rate cuts in 2026 and 2027; lifts PCE inflation forecasts
The Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) latest dot plot, released on Wednesday, indicates that interest rates will average 3.4% by the end of 2026, in line with the December projection.
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 18
United States Fed Interest Rate Decision meets forecasts (3.75%)
United States Fed Interest Rate Decision meets forecasts (3.75%)
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 18
CEE FX: Rate hike bets fading with risk-on – ING
ING’s Frantisek Taborsky notes that Central and Eastern European FX has benefited from improved global risk sentiment, even as elevated energy prices still imply some inflation.
EUR/HUF
USD/CZK
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 18
BoC acknowledges slower growth while maintaining a tightening stance
The Bank of Canada (BoC) opted to keep its policy rate at 2.25%, as anticipated, though the accompanying statement reflected a more complex view, influenced by a dimmer growth forecast and the potential for inflation to climb in the near future.
USD/CAD
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 18
LatAm: High carry with rising asymmetry risk – BNY
BNY’s EMEA Macro Strategist Geoff Yu highlights that Latin American sovereign bonds remain the best-held global segment, with holdings still about 14% above their 12‑month average and no underheld currencies in the region.
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 18
BoC: Dovish hold with skew to easing – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists report that the Bank of Canada (BoC) kept its policy rate at 2.25% and dropped guidance that the current rate is appropriate.
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 18
Bunds: Energy shock mix shapes ECB path – ABN AMRO
ABN AMRO’s Senior Fixed Income Strategist Larissa de Barros Fritz analyzes how different Oil and Gas shocks affect ECB expectations and Bund yields. She notes that demand-driven Oil shocks, speculative inventory moves, and supply disruptions each have distinct rate and curve impacts.
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 18
Fed: Powell set to delay cuts – ING
ING’s Benjamin Schroeder expects the Federal Reserve (Fed) to keep rates unchanged at its March FOMC meeting as higher Oil prices and elevated inflation expectations constrain policy. He notes markets see no cut today, with the first reduction only fully priced by year-end.
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 18
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