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Norwegian Krone: Dovish turn risks NOK appeal – Societe Generale
Societe Generale notes Norway’s central bank kept its policy rate unchanged at 4.25% and softened its hawkish tone. The bank still anticipates one further rate increase, but removed explicit guidance for a near-term hike.
Fxstreet
Fri, Aug 14
United States Retail Sales contracted by 0.6% MoM in July
Retail Sales in the United States decreased to $763.6 billion in July, the US Census Bureau reported on Friday. This print reversed the 0.2% expansion recorded in the previous month and came in below market expectations (+0.1%). On a yearly basis, Retail Sales were up 5.0% in this period.
Fxstreet
Fri, Aug 14
Norwegian Krone: Restrictive Norges Bank stance and downside risks - Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Antje Praefcke explains that Norges Bank kept its policy rate at 4.25% and still signals that further tightening may be necessary as inflation remains above target. However, upcoming data, especially August inflation, could prompt the bank to drop its year-end hike signal.Fxstreet
Fri, Aug 14
British Pound: Growth resilience supports gains against US Dollar – MUFG
MUFG’s Lee Hardman reports the British Pound (GBP) is the best performing major currency in August, with GBP/USD back above 1.3500. The United Kingdom (UK) economy is proving resilient to the energy price shock linked to the US-Iran conflict, with Q2 GDP up 0.4% after 0.6% in Q1.
Fxstreet
Fri, Aug 14
Japanese Yen: Shifting rate expectations and currency support – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur notes that Japanese government support for an imminent Bank of Japan rate hike has reinforced market expectations rather than surprised them. Probabilities now favor a hike as early as September, with October fully priced and another move in December possible.
Fxstreet
Fri, Aug 14
Indian Rupee: RBI support offsets wider trade gap – Societe Generale
Societe Generale notes India’s headline CPI rose slightly to 4.45% year-on-year in July, backing the RBI’s decision to keep policy unchanged. The central bank has reportedly been active in FX markets as the trade deficit widened.
Fxstreet
Fri, Aug 14
Norwegian Krone: Weaker after Norges Bank holds rates – Danske Bank
Danske Research Team notes that Norges Bank left its policy rate at 4.25% and kept a tightening bias despite weaker summer inflation. They still expect one final hike in September, though the odds have fallen and the decision is now finely balanced.
Equities: US stock rally broadens as S&P 500 hits new high – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank strategists report that United States (US) equities, led by the S&P 500, have reached new record highs as softer inflation data and lower Oil prices reinforce expectations that the Fed can stay on hold.
Fxstreet
Fri, Aug 14
United States Dollar Index weakens as cooling US inflation eases Fed rate hike odds
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is losing ground for the second successive day, trading around 99.90 during the Asian hours on Friday.Fxstreet
Fri, Aug 14
Indonesian Rupiah holds ground ahead of President Prabowo’s 2027 budget address
USD/IDR loses ground after three days of losses, trading around 17,880 during the Asian hours on Friday. Traders remain cautious ahead of President Prabowo Subianto’s 2027 budget address to parliament later in the day.Fxstreet
Fri, Aug 14
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