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Norges Bank: Disinflation slows rate path – Nomura
Nomura economists note Norges Bank kept its policy rate at 4.25% in August despite softer CPI-ATE inflation. The bank still flags a possible further hike, but they now expect a November move, with risks tilted to no additional increase and no rate cuts projected until September 2027.
USD/NOK
Fxstreet
Thu, Aug 13
Federal Reserve: Trump pressure and rate risks – Commerzbank
Commerzbank's Dr. Marco Wagner analyzes how Donald Trump’s past and potential future attacks on the Federal Reserve (Fed) affect its independence.
Fxstreet
Thu, Aug 13
"Still an open question": Fed’s Barkin keeps possibility of rate hike alive
Richmond Federal Reserve (Fed) President Thomas Barkin highlighted on Thursday the persistent uncertainty surrounding the US inflation outlook and monetary policy.
Fxstreet
Thu, Aug 13
Russia Central Bank Reserves $ increased to $740B from previous $720.3B
Fxstreet
Thu, Aug 13
US PPI comes in softer than expected, confirms easing inflation pressures
Producer inflation in the United States (US) cools more than expected in July, adding to evidence that inflationary pressures are gradually easing after Wednesday's Consumer Price Index (CPI) data.
Fxstreet
Thu, Aug 13
Bank of Canada: Gradual tightening path into 2027 – NBC
National Bank of Canada's (NBC) Taylor Schleich and Ethan Currie reaffirm their Bank of Canada (BoC) rate call, arguing that despite stronger Canadian labour data and robust Q2 GDP, accumulated slack and data lags should delay tightening.
USD/CAD
Fxstreet
Thu, Aug 13
US Initial Jobless Claims increased to 209K last week
According to a report from the US Department of Labour (DOL) released on Thursday, the number of US citizens submitting new applications for unemployment insurance rose to 209K for the week ending August 8.
Fxstreet
Thu, Aug 13
Indian Rupee: Benign inflation reinforces RBI pause – DBS
DBS Group Research economist Radhika Rao analyzes India’s July inflation data and its implications for the Reserve Bank of India. She notes that benign core inflation and limited spillovers from external shocks support a continued RBI policy pause.
Fxstreet
Thu, Aug 13
Federal Reserve: Gradual easing path – UOB
Alvin Liew of UOB outlines expectations for the Federal Funds Rate following the July US CPI release. Market pricing for a September hike has fallen, and UOB’s base case is an extended pause through 2026.
Fxstreet
Thu, Aug 13
European Central Bank: Independence risks rise with debt – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Dr. Marco Wagner assesses how political pressure threatens the European Central Bank’s (ECB) independence using a Central Bank Pressure Index based on AI analysis of politicians’ statements.
Fxstreet
Thu, Aug 13
Riksbank: Rate hike risks rise – Nomura
Nomura strategists expects the Riksbank to keep its policy rate at 1.75% in August, with no change through 2026.
EUR/SEK
Fxstreet
Thu, Aug 13
Norwegian Krone: Norges Bank softens hawkish stance – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Norges Bank analysis notes the policy rate was left unchanged at 4.25% in August, with a less hawkish tone than in June.
USD/NOK
Fxstreet
Thu, Aug 13
Economists agree: ECB to hike interest rates by 25 bps to 2.5% in September - Reuters
According to a Reuters poll, the European Central Bank (ECB) will hike its deposit rates by 25 basis points (bps) to 2.50% in September, said 57 of 69 economists.
Fxstreet
Thu, Aug 13
US Dollar: Inflation outlook and Fed path – UOB
UOB’s Alvin Liew assesses United States (US) inflation and Federal Reserve (Fed) policy after the July Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. Liew notes headline and core CPI remain above the Fed’s 2% target but sees inflation gradually easing, with headline CPI averaging 3.5% and core 2.8% in 2026.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Thu, Aug 13
Canadian Dollar: Recovery not just about Oil – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister argues Canada’s recent economic improvement is not solely driven by higher Oil and gas prices linked to the Iran conflict.
USD/CAD
Brent
Fxstreet
Thu, Aug 13
Euro advances against Canadian Dollar amid ECB hawkish stance, lower oil prices
EUR/CAD halts its six-day losing streak, trading around 1.6080 during the European hours on Thursday. The currency cross gains ground as the Euro (EUR) receives support as the macroeconomic picture in the Eurozone continues to support the European Central Bank's (ECB) hawkish stance.
Fxstreet
Thu, Aug 13
Indian Rupee: RBI seen delaying rate hikes – MUFG
Michael Wan at MUFG reports that India’s July Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose to 4.45% year-on-year, slightly below consensus but above June’s 4.38%, driven mainly by higher food prices.
Fxstreet
Thu, Aug 13
Swiss Franc: Soft profile sustained on SNB stance – OCBC
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that the Swiss Franc (CHF) has weakened toward their year-end EUR/CHF target of 0.94, making it a preferred funding currency for carry trades.
EUR/CHF
USD/CHF
Fxstreet
Thu, Aug 13
Norwegian Krone: Dovish risks but bullish view against Euro – ING
Francesco Pesole at ING sees some downside risks for the Norwegian Krone from Norges Bank’s meeting, as benign CPI‑ATE prints could tilt communication slightly less hawkish. He still expects rates to stay at 4.25% today and another hike later this year, but is less convinced about multiple moves.
USD/NOK
Fxstreet
Thu, Aug 13
Russian Ruble: Trade boost from Oil seen fading – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose reports Russia’s June merchandise trade surplus rose to USD 12.5bn, up over 50% year-on-year, as higher Oil prices and improved Urals pricing supported exports.
Brent
Fxstreet
Thu, Aug 13
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