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United States Nonfarm Payrolls beat expectations: Why is the US Dollar weakening?
The United States (US) created 115K new jobs in April, much better than the 62K anticipated by markets. The unemployment rate in the same month was confirmed at 4.3%, as expected. The Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report came in better than anticipated, yet the US Dollar (USD) eased with the news.
Fxstreet
Fri, May 8
USD: Structural drag contrasts with data support – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that efforts by the Trump administration to narrow the US trade deficit are structurally negative for the Dollar via balance of payments dynamics.
Fxstreet
Fri, May 8
USD: Escalation risk supports recovery – ING
ING’s Francesco Pesole notes that the US Dollar (USD) has rebounded as hopes for a swift US‑Iran deal fade, with fresh military incidents in the Strait of Hormuz and a restart of US escorts weighing on risk sentiment.
Fxstreet
Fri, May 8
USD: US data and sentiment under war cloud – UBS
UBS' Chief Economist Paul Donovan comments that United States (US) April employment data are unlikely to show war effects yet, with moderate job gains and stable earnings anticipated.
Fxstreet
Fri, May 8
DXY: Hawkish Fed repricing supports yields – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank analysts point out that stronger US data and hawkish Federal Reserve commentary have pushed Treasury yields higher and supported the Dollar Index.
Fxstreet
Fri, May 8
Dow Jones futures rise as renewed Middle East tensions de-escalate
Dow Jones futures gain 0.18%, trading near 49,790 during the early European hours on Friday, ahead of the United States (US) regular opening. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 rise 0.30% to near 7,390, and the Nasdaq 100 futures advance 0.48% above 28,820.
Fxstreet
Fri, May 8
DXY: NFP-driven upside likely measured – MUFG
MUFG’s Lloyd Chan expects today’s US nonfarm payrolls to pose upside risks for the US Dollar (USD), with labour indicators hinting at a stronger April print.
Fxstreet
Fri, May 8
US Dollar Index (DXY) steadies above 98.00 as Iran’s ceasefire wobbles
The US Dollar (USD) pares losses against its main peers on Friday, as hopes for a swift end to the war in Iran fade again, following an exchange of fire in the Strait of Hormuz.
Fxstreet
Fri, May 8
Forex Today: US Dollar holds firm amid fragile US-Iran peace talks
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is trading with a softer tone near the 98.10 area as markets continue reacting to rapidly shifting headlines surrounding the potential peace agreement between the United States (US) and Iran.
Fxstreet
Thu, May 7
DXY rebounds as Iran hope trade unwinds: is the safe-haven bid back?
The morning belonged to the deal: Asia had ripped overnight, with the Nikkei 225 clearing 62,000 for the first time on a session that gained north of 5%, and US futures came in primed for another leg of the Iran ceasefire trade.
Fxstreet
Thu, May 7
Dow Jones Industrial Average reverses as Iran deal hopes hit hard reality
The DJIA was off around 0.4% in early afternoon trade, sliding back below 50,000 after tagging an intraday high near 50,100.
Fxstreet
Thu, May 7
USD: Dollar support from easing Oil and reserve flows – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes that expectations of progress toward peace in Iran are driving a bond rally and shaping flows in the United States (US) Treasury market. As Oil prices fall and real rates reprice, he argues exporter surpluses and reserve management trends could again favor the US Dollar (USD).
Fxstreet
Thu, May 7
DXY: Range-bound outlook after war reversal – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that the Dollar has given back all its war-related gains, with recent weakness seen as overdone.
Fxstreet
Thu, May 7
USD: Softer tone as Fed seen delaying cuts – MUFG
MUFG’s Lloyd Chan notes the US Dollar (USD) has softened as US Dollar Index (DXY) retests support and US yields fall, while equities hit new highs. Recent US data show stronger ADP employment but worrying ISM services inflation and weak employment.
Fxstreet
Thu, May 7
Dow Jones futures advance on signs of easing US-Iran tensions
Dow Jones futures gain 0.23%, trading near 50,150 during the European hours on Thursday, ahead of the United States (US) regular opening. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 rise 0.18% to near 7,400, and the Nasdaq 100 futures advance 0.21% above 28,780.
Fxstreet
Thu, May 7
S&P 500: AI momentum drives fresh record highs – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank’s Early Morning Reid notes that US equities extended gains as stagflation fears eased with lower Oil prices and AI-related optimism.
Fxstreet
Thu, May 7
Forex Today: DXY falls after Middle East tensions ease, markets eye US NFP
The US Dollar Index (DXY) slides near the 98.00 area, with limited losses supported by resilient United States (US) data but capped by improving risk sentiment after Axios reported that the US and Iran are moving closer to a deal aimed at ending the conflict.
Fxstreet
Wed, May 6
Dow Jones Industrial Average rallies over 1% on Iran deal hopes
US equities pushed higher on Wednesday as risk appetite returned on signs that the US-Iran conflict could be heading toward a broader resolution. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) added roughly 540 points to close above 49,800 after testing levels near 50,000 intraday.
Fxstreet
Wed, May 6
USD: Peace progress and Oil slide weigh – MUFG
MUFG’s Derek Halpenny notes that renewed hopes for a peace deal with Iran and a sharp drop in Brent crude Oil are pressuring the US Dollar (USD), with risk appetite supported by strong global equities and AI-driven gains.
Fxstreet
Wed, May 6
DXY: Asymmetric downside into payrolls – TD Securities
TD Securities analysts argue the US Dollar (USD) faces asymmetric downside risk around the April US payrolls release.
Fxstreet
Wed, May 6
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