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Forecasting the upcoming week: Hawkish Fed meets escalating Iran war
The US Dollar (USD)i weakened this week, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) slipping back below 100.00 to 99.60 on Friday after a surge in the middle of the week driven by the Federal Reserve's (Fed) decision to hold rates in the 3.50%-3.75% range.
Fxstreet
Fri, Mar 20
Dow Jones Industrial Average slides as Iran war, hawkish Fed drive fourth losing week
The Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbled around 257 points, or 0.6%, on Friday as all three major US indices tracked toward a fourth consecutive losing week. The S&P 500 fell 0.8%, while the Nasdaq Composite underperformed with a decline of 1.2%.
Fxstreet
Fri, Mar 20
US sends thousands of Marines and three warships to Middle East – WSJ
Citing officials, the Wall Street Journal reported on Friday that the Pentagon is sending roughly "2,200 to 2,500 Marines from the California-based USS Boxer amphibious ready group and 11th Marine Expeditionary Unit," to the Middle East, alongside three warships.
Fxstreet
Fri, Mar 20
Dollar strength returns on geopolitics – Scotiabank
Scotiabank’s global FX strategy team reports broad Dollar strength as G10 performance realigns with early US/Iran conflict patterns. They stress fragile risk sentiment as markets reassess prolonged conflict risks, central bank paths and violent yield repricing.
Fxstreet
Fri, Mar 20
US Dollar: Upside risk persists in energy shock – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s Elias Haddad notes that recent political comments briefly steadied risk sentiment, but renewed risk aversion has lifted the Dollar, Oil and bond yields while pressuring equities. With no key data due, focus is on Fed speakers.
Fxstreet
Fri, Mar 20
JPMorgan Cuts S&P 500 Target to 7,200: Iran War Risk Seriously Underestimated by Market
TradingKey - JPMorgan recently lowered its year-end target for the S&P 500 from 7,500 to 7,200, citing that the market remains overly optimistic regarding the risks of war in Iran and potential oil price shocks.
SPDR S&P 500 ETF
TradingKey
Fri, Mar 20
Dollar: Fed lagging ECB and BoE – ING
ING strategists Francesco Pesole, Frantisek Taborsky and Chris Turner note that the Dollar has weakened as hawkish shifts by the ECB and BoE overshadow Jerome Powell’s recent comments.
Fxstreet
Fri, Mar 20
US Dollar gains momentum to near 99.50 amid Fed hawkish hold, Middle East tensions
The US Dollar Index (DXY), an index of the value of the US Dollar (USD) measured against a basket of six world currencies, currently trades near 99.40 during the Asian trading hours on Friday. The DXY edges higher after a hawkish hold by the US Federal Reserve (Fed).
Fxstreet
Fri, Mar 20
Dow Jones Industrial Average drops again as Iran war bogs down equity markets
The Dow Jones Industrial Average extended losses on Thursday, falling below 46,000 as a renewed spike in Crude Oil prices deepened concerns about stagflation in the US economy.
Fxstreet
Thu, Mar 19
USD: Energy shock and hawkish Fed support – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s Elias Haddad highlights that an escalating Iran war-driven energy shock, combined with a restrictive Federal Reserve and tightening bias at other central banks, is pressuring risk assets and supporting the Dollar.
Fxstreet
Thu, Mar 19
Dow Jones futures steady as Fed tone turns hawkish
Dow Jones and S&P 500 futures are steady around 46,530 and 6,670, respectively, during European hours on Thursday, ahead of the US cash market open. Meanwhile, Nasdaq 100 futures edge lower by 0.17% to hover near 24,600 at the time of writing.
Fxstreet
Thu, Mar 19
USD: Fed reaction function supports strength – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Thu Lan Nguyen notes that the Dollar strengthened after the latest Fed meeting, driven by several smaller hawkish signals rather than a single major shift. Powell stressed that rate cuts depend on inflation moving toward target, while long-term expectations remain anchored.
Fxstreet
Thu, Mar 19
USD: Conflict-driven support and rate advantage – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists argue that Powell’s hawkish-leaning press conference has supported the US Dollar as markets price out 2026 Fed cuts.
Fxstreet
Thu, Mar 19
USD: Supported as Fed weighs energy shock – MUFG
MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Lloyd Chan notes that the Federal Reserve kept policy unchanged and now signals only one rate cut in 2026, as the US-Iran war and higher energy prices complicate the outlook.
Fxstreet
Thu, Mar 19
US Dollar Index holding steady after Fed holds rates, but Powell still looms
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is trading mostly in place on Wednesday, cycling quickly in place after the Federal Reserve (Fed) delivered a widely-anticipated interest rate hold.
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 18
US Dollar Index holds near 100.00 as hot PPI and Fed decision dominate
DXY edged up about 0.3% on Wednesday, trading around 99.85 in a session dominated by the hotter-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI) print ahead of Wednesday's Federal Reserve (Fed) decision.
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 18
Dow Jones Industrial Average drops as hot PPI data fuels stagflation fears
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell nearly 1% on Wednesday, shedding over 450 points as a hotter-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI) print landed on the same day as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) rate decision.
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 18
USD: Fed signal watched as inflation shock looms – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes the Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep the funds rate at 3.50%-3.75%, with markets focused on the vote split, dot plot and Chair Powell’s tone.
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 18
USD: Safe haven flows hold into FOMC – BNY
BNY’s Head of Markets Macro Strategy Bob Savage notes the Dollar is entering the FOMC decision on solid footing, with earlier February Dollar hedging sales now fully reversed.
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 18
USD: Hawkish Fed risk supports Dollar – Societe Generale
Societe Generale argues that a mildly restrictive Federal Reserve stance and potential hawkish adjustments to the SEP could support the Dollar against G10 and EM currencies.
Fxstreet
Wed, Mar 18
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