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Forecasting the upcoming week: US Dollar loses momentum ahead of key US inflation data
The week ahead will bring a fresh test for major currency pairs as investors digest the first Federal Reserve (Fed) policy decision under Chair Kevin Warsh and look ahead to the United States (US) Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data, global PMI releases, and central-bank commentary.
US Dollar Index
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Fri, Jun 19
United States Dollar: Fed stance and data keep support – Nordea
Nordea analysts expect the Dollar to stay supported in coming months as the Federal Reserve maintains a relatively hawkish stance and US data remain firm. They argue that US growth and inflation dynamics justify higher yields versus peers, limiting Dollar downside.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Fri, Jun 19
US Dollar Index: Upside case from flows and yields – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s Elias Haddad notes that foreign investors sharply increased purchases of long-term US securities in April, with inflows over the past year more than offsetting the US trade deficit.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Fri, Jun 19
United States Dollar: Upside scope seen but limits in view – MUFG
MUFG’s Derek Halpenny notes the US Dollar has extended gains after a record hawkish shift in the Fed’s dot plot, even as Oil remains sharply lower over the past month.
US Dollar Index
EUR/USD
Brent
Fxstreet
Fri, Jun 19
United States Dollar Index (DXY) eases from 101.13 highs but remains near yearly highs
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the Greenback against a basket of peers, has lost steam during Friday’s European session, with markets at half throttle amid the Juneteenth bank holiday in the US and investors pondering the soundness of the US-Iran peace deal.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Fri, Jun 19
US Dollar Index: Breakout fuelled by hawkish Fed repricing – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s Kenneth Broux highlights that the Dollar is in breakout territory after DXY moved above 101.00, supported by a hawkish shift in Fed expectations.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Fri, Jun 19
Dow Jones Industrial Average nurses its Warsh hangover
Wall Street's blue-chip index spent Thursday picking up the pieces of Wednesday's hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) selloff, and not even a roaring chip trade could coax it back into the green.
US30
Fxstreet
Thu, Jun 18
Can the US Dollar extend its Fed-driven rally?
The US Dollar (USD) has pushed higher, with the Dollar Index (DXY) climbing back above 100.00 in the wake of the Federal Reserve's hawkish policy update under new Chair Kevin Warsh.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Thu, Jun 18
United States Dollar Index: Recoupling with rates – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s Kit Juckes notes that the Dollar Index is closely tracking EUR/USD and highlights how President Trump’s policies weakened the Dollar relative to what economic and monetary fundamentals implied.
US Dollar Index
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Thu, Jun 18
United States Dollar: Haven status tested by Fed shift – Rabobank
Rabobank’s FX Strategy team notes the Dollar has recently been supported by both safe haven demand and shifting expectations for Federal Reserve policy.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Thu, Jun 18
United States Dollar: Fed hawkish shift supports higher Dollar – MUFG
MUFG’s Lee Hardman notes that the Fed’s latest policy update has lifted US rates and supported the Dollar, with the Dollar Index back above 100.00 and markets now pricing multiple Fed hikes.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Thu, Jun 18
United States Dollar: Fed story supports modest gains – ING
ING’s Chris Turner notes the Dollar is holding gains after the Federal Reserve’s hawkish shift under Chair Kevin Warsh, with markets pricing about 44bp of tightening by Q2 2026.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Thu, Jun 18
United States Dollar Index: Hawkish Fed repricing supports gains – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank’s Early Morning Reid team notes that Kevin Warsh’s hawkish debut as Fed Chair and a more aggressive dot plot pushed markets to fully price a Fed hike by October.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Thu, Jun 18
Dow Jones Industrial Average surrenders a record as the Fed turns hawkish
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) spent Wednesday morning printing another record, its third in a row, before running headlong into Kevin Warsh's first decision as Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair.
US30
Fxstreet
Wed, Jun 17
US Dollar Index storms higher as Warsh's Fed trades cuts for hikes
Kevin Warsh's first meeting as Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair held rates steady, exactly as expected, and then handed the Dollar one of its cleaner catalysts of the year.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Wed, Jun 17
US Dollar Index storms back as the Fed turns hawkish
The Federal Reserve (Fed) held the federal funds rate at 3.50% to 3.75% on Wednesday, but Kevin Warsh's first meeting as Chair was anything but a placeholder.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Wed, Jun 17
United States Dollar: Fed patience tempers downside – OCBC
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong notes FX markets are in a holding pattern as traders await the FOMC, with Oil’s decline easing inflation pressures but seen as having limited further downside.
US Dollar Index
Brent
Fxstreet
Wed, Jun 17
US Dollar: Range trading persists as Fed stays on hold – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s Kit Juckes relays Jan Groen’s view that the US economy shows resilient growth with sticky inflation, keeping the Fed on hold for now. He notes market pricing still leans toward a rate hike in early 2027.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Wed, Jun 17
US Dollar: Cyclical bullishness takes over – ING
ING strategists highlight that cyclical drivers have reasserted themselves in FX, underpinning a stronger Dollar over the coming months. They argue that these cyclical factors will keep the Dollar bid, delaying any meaningful downturn.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Wed, Jun 17
United States Dollar: Warsh guidance shapes dollar outlook – MUFG
MUFG’s Derek Halpenny highlights that Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s first post-FOMC press conference comes as Brent Oil has dropped sharply, easing near-term inflation risks but not eliminating them.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Wed, Jun 17
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