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Australia CPI expected to remain well above RBA target in April
The highlight in the Australian economic docket this week is the April Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures, which are expected to be released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) on Wednesday at 01:30 GMT.
AUD/USD
Fxstreet
Tue, May 26
AUD/USD Price Forecast: Australia CPI in focus as pair consolidates below 0.7200 resistance
AUD/USD trades in a narrow range on Tuesday, even as the US Dollar (USD) strengthens on fading hopes for a quick resolution to the Middle East war after US forces carried out fresh strikes in southern Iran, overshadowing ongoing diplomatic efforts between Washington and Tehran.
AUD/USD
Fxstreet
Tue, May 26
Turkish Lira: Political stress and energy shock drive weaker Lira – MUFG
MUFG analysts see growing downside risks for the Turkish Lira (TRY) versus the US Dollar (USD) as domestic politics and an energy-driven terms-of-trade shock strain Turkey’s external position.
USD/TRY
Fxstreet
Tue, May 26
British Pound retreats as renewed Iran tensions boost demand for the Greenback
The British Pound (GBP) weakens against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday as traders reassess ongoing US-Iran negotiations following renewed US military action in southern Iran. At the time of writing, GBP/USD is trading around 1.3444, down nearly 0.43% on the day.
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Tue, May 26
Euro slips as Hormuz firefight revives US Dollar demand
The Euro loses ground during the North American session amid rising tensions in the Middle East, as the US and Iran exchanged fire near the Strait of Hormuz, while negotiations continued. At the time of writing, the EUR/USD trades at 1.1622, down 0.15%.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Tue, May 26
Canadian Dollar gains support from rising Oil prices as USD/CAD trims intraday gains
USD/CAD reverses earlier intraday gains on Tuesday, with the Canadian Dollar (CAD) drawing support from rising Oil prices and offsetting broader US Dollar (USD) strength. At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 1.3800 after hitting an intraday high near 1.3821 earlier in the day.
USD/CAD
Fxstreet
Tue, May 26
Japanese Yen: Stablisation seen as BoJ tightens gradually – BNP Paribas
BNP Paribas expects Japan’s GDP growth to slow to 0.5% in 2026 from 1.1% in 2025 as higher inflation and production costs weigh on activity. The Bank of Japan is projected to continue normalising policy, with a 25 bp hike in Q2 2026 and a terminal rate of 2.0% by end-2027.
USD/JPY
Fxstreet
Tue, May 26
Canadian Dollar: Range signals possible reversal against US Dollar – Scotiabank
Scotiabank analysts Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note that the Canadian Dollar (CAD) is steady against the US Dollar (USD) near 1.3800, with fair value for USD/CAD estimated at 1.3672. They highlight that technicals are showing a stalled rally near the 200-day moving average.
USD/CAD
Fxstreet
Tue, May 26
Japanese Yen: BoJ signals scope for more hikes – BNY
BNY reports that BoJ Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino signaled continued consideration of further rate hikes, with timing dependent on how Middle East conflict impacts Japan’s economy and inflation.
USD/JPY
Fxstreet
Tue, May 26
Australian Dollar: Upside capped versus USD as positioning stretches – MUFG
MUFG analysts argue that the Australian Dollar’s strong run versus the US Dollar is losing momentum. They highlight limited further upside for AUD/USD as global risk appetite cools, China slows and Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) policy takes a backseat to rising US yields.
AUD/USD
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Tue, May 26
Euro: Downside risks against US Dollar despite ECB hike odds – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman's (BBH) Elias Haddad notes EUR/USD is consolidating above 1.1600 with resistance at 1.1682, near the 200-day moving average, as European Central Bank's (ECB) Schnabel signals a June rate hike.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Tue, May 26
Indian Rupee: Policy trade-offs under energy shock – Societe Generale
Societe Generale analysts Kunal Kundu and Galvin Chia argue that India faces rising inflation and external risks as higher Oil prices and a weaker Rupee (INR) interact.
Fxstreet
Tue, May 26
British Pound: Stabilisation expected with higher gilts – BNP Paribas
BNP Paribas expects the United Kingdom economy to slow in 2026, with growth at 0.7% after 1.4% in 2025 and renewed inflation pressures from the Iran conflict. Monetary policy is projected to tighten by 50 basis points in 2026, keeping 10-year gilt yields elevated.
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Tue, May 26
New Zealand Dollar: Soft footing into RBNZ decision – BNY
BNY’s Bob Savage highlights that the New Zealand Dollar enters the upcoming RBNZ meeting on a weak footing, with a notable lack of recent flows and a large NZD outflow linked to unrolled swap positions.
NZD/USD
Fxstreet
Tue, May 26
Swiss Franc weakens as renewed US-Iran tensions support the US Dollar
USD/CHF trades with a mild positive bias on Tuesday as renewed military escalation between the United States (US) and Iran supports the US Dollar (USD), pressuring the Swiss Franc (CHF).
USD/CHF
Fxstreet
Tue, May 26
Australian Dollar: Crowded longs face event risk – Societe Generale
Kit Juckes at Societe Generale highlights that speculative positioning in the Australian Dollar is the largest long since 2013, built despite deteriorating domestic data and lower yields.
AUD/USD
AUD/NZD
Fxstreet
Tue, May 26
New Zealand Dollar: Hawkish RBNZ stance supports against US Dollar – DBS
DBS Group Research economist Philip Wee expects the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) to deliver a hawkish hold, prioritising above-target inflation over weak GDP growth and high unemployment.
NZD/USD
Fxstreet
Tue, May 26
Indian Rupee: Gradual stabilisation prospects after oil shock – ING
ING’s Deepali Bhargava argues that India’s fuel subsidies and diversified energy sourcing have contained the inflation and growth impact of higher oil prices, but shifted pressure onto the Indian Rupee (INR).
Brent
Fxstreet
Tue, May 26
EUR/GBP Price Forecasts: Euro remains on the defensive with 0.8640 capping gains
The Euro (EUR) is trading higher against the British Pound (GBP) on Tuesday, trimming losses after depreciating more than 1% in a bit more than a week.
EUR/GBP
Fxstreet
Tue, May 26
Japanese Yen: Bearish bias persist versus US Dollar – UOB
UOB’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note that USD/JPY has stalled into sideways trade after failing to extend losses, with intraday momentum indicators flat. On a 1–3 week view, they still hold a positive US Dollar (USD) bias above strong support, but acknowledge slowing upside momentum.
USD/JPY
Fxstreet
Tue, May 26
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