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Indo-Pacific: Security pacts reshape regional hedging – Rabobank
Benjamin Picton at RaboResearch describes a growing Indo-Pacific arms race and geopolitical hedging as countries adjust security and trade ties in response to a more assertive China.
Fxstreet
6 minutes ago
Forex Today: Markets digest Japan election shock and await key US data
Japanese stocks surged to record highs on Monday, as Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) basked in a historic election victory.
Fxstreet
16 minutes ago
ECB’s Lagarde: We expect inflation to stabilise sustainably at our 2% medium term target
European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde said that they expect inflation to stabilise sustainably at the ECB's 2% medium-term target, during the plenary debate on the state of the Eurozone economy and ECB activities in Strasbourg, France, on Monday.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
18 minutes ago
White House sets lower job growth expectations; Fed grapples with same issue
Hassett cites higher productivity for job growth slowdownFed faces challenge with falling worker demand, supplyWarsh has said productivity growth may influence Fed policy decisionsBy Doina Chiacu and Howard Schneider WASHINGTON, Feb 9 (Reuters) - White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett said on...
Reuters
33 minutes ago
AUD: Rally pause as RBA stays hawkish – HSBC
HSBC analysts note that the Reserve Bank of Australia raised its cash rate to 3.85% and revised growth and inflation forecasts higher, assuming the rate reaches 4.2% by end-2026. HSBC economists see the stance as hawkish and expect another 25bp hike in 3Q26.
AUD/USD
Fxstreet
39 minutes ago
NY Fed survey: January near-term expected inflation lower amid better job market views
NY Fed: January inflation expectations decline, labor market views improveHouseholds less optimistic about future financial situations, credit availabilityFed sees stable long-term inflation expectations, aims to ease short-term credit costsBy Michael S. DerbyFeb 9 (Reuters) - Americans were less wo...
Reuters
an hour ago
US container imports fell 6.8% in January, but result points to more normalized trade, Descartes says
Imports exceed historical average, indicating steady demandChina's imports down 22.7% from January 2025Forecast predicts import decline in first half of 2026By Lisa Baertlein LOS ANGELES, Feb 9 (Reuters) - U.S. seaports in January handled 6.8% less container import volume than the year-ago mo...
Reuters
an hour ago
Germany: Orders surge while construction set to rebound – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank analysts note a strong upside surprise in German manufacturing orders, up 7.8% MoM on defence and transport-related demand, with underlying orders ex‑large items also rising. Construction PMIs weakened on bad weather, but healthy order books suggest a spring rebound.
Fxstreet
an hour ago
AI sector: Commercial shift raises macro risks – Standard Chartered
Standard Chartered's Global Research Team discusses how recent advances in Artificial Intelligence (AU), including Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.6 and GPT 5.3-Codex, may accelerate commercial adoption compared with earlier waves that mainly boosted consumer surplus.
Fxstreet
2 hours ago
White House adviser Hassett expects smaller jobs numbers
WASHINGTON, Feb 9 (Reuters) - White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett said on Monday that Americans could see smaller job growth numbers in the coming months due to lower population figures and higher productivity.The combination of strong GDP growth and a pretty big decline in the labor force ...
Reuters
2 hours ago
SEK: Low core inflation tests Riksbank resolve – Danske Bank
Danske Bank analysts note the Riksbank unanimously kept rates unchanged, but minutes show Jansson considered a cut and may reserve his vote in March. Flash CPIF core inflation fell to 1.7% year-on-year, well below expectations, adding downward pressure on front-end rates.
EUR/SEK
USD/SEK
Fxstreet
2 hours ago
Mexico inflation speeds up in January after new taxes go into effect
MEXICO CITY, Feb 9 - Inflation in Mexico sped up in January, data from the national statistics agency showed on Monday, supporting the central bank's decision last week to hold its interest rate as it sees inflation taking longer to reach the bank's target. Consumer prices rose 3.79% in the ...
Reuters
3 hours ago
ECB’s Nagel: Current interest rate level is appropriate
President of the Deutsche Bundesbank, Joachim Nagel, said that inflation risks are currently roughly balanced and that the inflation shortfall is short-term and small, during a panel discussion on Monday.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
3 hours ago
New York Fed Consumer Inflation Expectations largely unchanged, but job potential remains tight
According to the New York Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank, consumer inflation expectations remain tepid looking forward, with a slight decline in the near-term inflation outlook.
Fxstreet
3 hours ago
US: Above-potential growth and steady Fed stance – BNP Paribas
BNP Paribas analysts forecast US growth at 2.9% in 2026, above potential and stronger than 2025, driven by AI-linked investment and high-income consumption. Inflation is expected at 2.7% in 2026, above target due to tariffs, with overshooting persisting to at least end-2027.
Fxstreet
3 hours ago
TREASURIES-Longer-dated US yields rise to start data-packed week
Nonfarm payrolls, CPI and retail sales reports due this weekMarkets expect 50 basis points of Fed interest rate cuts this yearChinese regulators advise limiting US Treasury holdings due to risksBy Chuck Mikolajczak NEW YORK, Feb 9 (Reuters) - Longer-dated U.S. Treasury yields were higher on Monda...
Reuters
3 hours ago
German 10s/30s curve steepens to fresh 7-year peak after Japan vote
Japanese investors expected to focus on domestic bond marketsEuro zone investor morale rises unexpectedly in FebruaryU.S. data and British politics also in focus By Stefano Rebaudo Feb 9 (Reuters) - The gap between 10 and 30-year German yields hit a fresh seven-year high on Monday, driven by inve...
Reuters
3 hours ago
MXN: Banxico holds with hawkish tone – Wells Fargo
Wells Fargo notes Banxico left its policy rate unchanged at 7.00% and delivered a more hawkish statement. Inflation forecasts were revised significantly higher and forward guidance signaled less confidence about further easing.
USD/MXN
Fxstreet
3 hours ago
NY Fed survey: January near-term expected inflation lower amid better job market views
NY Fed: January inflation expectations decline, labor market views improveHouseholds less optimistic about future financial situations, credit availabilityFed sees stable long-term inflation expectations, aims to ease short-term credit costsBy Michael S. DerbyFeb 9 (Reuters) - Americans grew less wo...
Reuters
4 hours ago
Euro area: Growth steady as surveys flag two-speed economy – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank analysts note euro area GDP is tracking around 0.2–0.3% QoQ, with PMIs showing a narrowing gap between core and periphery. Domestic demand and services remain the main growth engines, while manufacturing and industrial production are weak but volatile.
Fxstreet
4 hours ago
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