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Euro area: Lower inflation tempers ECB pressure – Nordea
Nordea’s Anders Svendsen and Tuuli Koivu note that lower-than-expected Euro-area inflation in June reduces pressure on the European Central Bank (ECB) and supports a wait-and-see stance for the July meeting.
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 1
United States Challenger Job Cuts decline to 45,849 in June
United States (US)-based employers announced 45,849 job cuts in June, down 53% from the 97,006 cuts registered in May, Challenger, Gray & Christmas' latest report showed on Wednesday.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 1
ECB’s Wunsch: Would need stronger second-round effects to justify further tightening
The remarks from European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker and the head of Belgium's central bank, Pierre Wunsch, released by Econostream during the European trade on Wednesday, have signaled that he is not in favor of further monetary policy tightening.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 1
ECB’s Kocher: Next decisions will be either hike or hold
European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Martin Kocher said in the European trade on Wednesday that the next monetary policy move by the central bank will either be a hold or a hike, citing that higher wages could keep inflationary pressures elevated.
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 1
United States MBA Mortgage Applications: 0% (June 26) vs previous 1%
United States MBA Mortgage Applications: 0% (June 26) vs previous 1%
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 1
US Dollar: Labor data and confidence guide outlook – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists discuss several US indicators, expecting the June ISM Manufacturing index to edge down, while noting that JOLTS job openings remain elevated but likely overstated.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 1
Hungarian Forint: Rally meets fiscal concerns – Societe Generale
Societe Generale strategists highlight that the HUF has delivered its strongest quarter since 2009, supported by a pro‑EU shift and expectations of renewed EU fund access. However, they warn that EUR/HUF is struggling to sustain breaks below 350 as fiscal risks emerge under PM Magyar.
EUR/HUF
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 1
United States Challenger Job Cuts: 45.849K (June) vs previous 97.006K
United States Challenger Job Cuts: 45.849K (June) vs previous 97.006K
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 1
Polish Zloty: Lower Polish inflation pressures PLN against Euro – ING
ING strategist Frantisek Taborsky notes Polish inflation fell to the National Bank of Poland’s 2.5% target, with broad price declines and stable core inflation. Markets have priced out hikes and begun to price cuts, which he says could pressure market rates and weaken the zloty.
EUR/PLN
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 1
United Kingdom NIESR GDP Estimate (3M) climbed from previous 0.8% to 0.933% in May
United Kingdom NIESR GDP Estimate (3M) climbed from previous 0.8% to 0.933% in May
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 1
Greece Unemployment Rate (MoM) down to 8.1% in May from previous 9.5%
Greece Unemployment Rate (MoM) down to 8.1% in May from previous 9.5%
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 1
ECB’s Nagel: I will keep options open for July and September decisions
European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council Member and President of the Deutsche Bundesbank, Joachim Nagel, said during the European trading session on Wednesday that the monetary policy path is still on the upside, citing upside inflation risks.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 1
Czech Koruna: CNB signals pause after fine-tuning hike – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose interprets Czech National Bank (CNB) deputy governor Eva Zamrazilova’s remarks as signalling that June’s 25 bp hike was a one-off fine-tuning move rather than the start of a new tightening cycle.
USD/CZK
EUR/CZK
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 1
United Kingdom S&P Global Manufacturing PMI below forecasts (53.1) in June: Actual (52.5)
United Kingdom S&P Global Manufacturing PMI below forecasts (53.1) in June: Actual (52.5)
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 1
Italy Public Deficit/GDP rose from previous -1.4% to 7.8% in 1Q
Italy Public Deficit/GDP rose from previous -1.4% to 7.8% in 1Q
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 1
Greece S&P Global Manufacturing PMI rose from previous 53.3 to 53.8 in June
Greece S&P Global Manufacturing PMI rose from previous 53.3 to 53.8 in June
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 1
Austria Unemployment Rate declined to 6.9% in June from previous 7.1%
Austria Unemployment Rate declined to 6.9% in June from previous 7.1%
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 1
Austria Unemployment fell from previous 301.7K to 295.5K in June
Austria Unemployment fell from previous 301.7K to 295.5K in June
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 1
Polish Zloty: Rate hike bets vanish as inflation falls – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose notes that weaker-than-expected Polish inflation has erased market expectations for 2026 rate hikes and could even revive rate cut discussions by Q4.
EUR/PLN
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 1
Spain HCOB Manufacturing PMI below forecasts (51) in June: Actual (49.7)
Spain HCOB Manufacturing PMI below forecasts (51) in June: Actual (49.7)
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 1
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