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ECB SPF: Inflation seen averaging 2.7% in 2026
According to the European Central Bank's (ECB) quarterly Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF), inflation rate in the Eurozone is projected to average 2.7% in 2026 before softening to 2.1% in 2027 and 2% in 2028.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, May 4
ECB: Data risks complicate policy path – Societe Generale
Societe Generale economists highlight that Euro area growth nearly stalled in 1Q, with 0.1% qoq GDP and weak confidence indicators. They argue downside risks to growth are rising even as headline inflation is set to climb further.
Fxstreet
Mon, May 4
Turkey Exports up to $25.4B in April from previous $21.9B
Turkey Exports up to $25.4B in April from previous $21.9B
Fxstreet
Mon, May 4
Greece S&P Global Manufacturing PMI: 52.4 (April) vs previous 54.5
Greece S&P Global Manufacturing PMI: 52.4 (April) vs previous 54.5
Fxstreet
Mon, May 4
Austria Unemployment Rate: 7.5% (April)
Austria Unemployment Rate: 7.5% (April)
Fxstreet
Mon, May 4
Austria Unemployment: 320.3K (April) vs previous 322.7K
Austria Unemployment: 320.3K (April) vs previous 322.7K
Fxstreet
Mon, May 4
Spain HCOB Manufacturing PMI climbed from previous 48.7 to 51.7 in April
Spain HCOB Manufacturing PMI climbed from previous 48.7 to 51.7 in April
Fxstreet
Mon, May 4
Forex Today: Markets cling to cautious stance as Strait of Hormuz tensions heat up
Here is what you need to know on Monday, May 4:
Fxstreet
Mon, May 4
EUR/USD: Focus shifts to Dollar weakness – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Thu Lan Nguyen notes that EUR/USD has nearly returned to pre-war levels as the Euro (EUR) proves resilient and the US Dollar (USD) retreats. Markets expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to hike in June, but Nguyen doubts pricing for three hikes by year-end.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, May 4
Turkey Consumer Price Index (YoY) registered at 32.37% above expectations (31.25%) in April
Turkey Consumer Price Index (YoY) registered at 32.37% above expectations (31.25%) in April
USD/TRY
Fxstreet
Mon, May 4
Turkey Consumer Price Index (MoM) registered at 4.18% above expectations (3.28%) in April
Turkey Consumer Price Index (MoM) registered at 4.18% above expectations (3.28%) in April
USD/TRY
Fxstreet
Mon, May 4
Brent: Large monthly drop after Hormuz scare – UOB
UOB strategists note that Brent crude has just recorded its largest monthly percentage decline since December 2025, despite briefly spiking above USD 126/bbl on renewed Strait of Hormuz concerns.
Fxstreet
Mon, May 4
Sweden Manufacturing PMI rose from previous 56.3 to 57.2 in April
Sweden Manufacturing PMI rose from previous 56.3 to 57.2 in April
Fxstreet
Mon, May 4
Equities: Strong earnings offset Middle East risks – Danske Bank
Danske Research Team reports that equities ended last week higher, led by tech and growth, even as Iran-related risks and higher Oil prices weighed on sentiment. They note a return of negative correlation between equities and bonds, with yields rising alongside stocks.
Fxstreet
Mon, May 4
Iranian military warns the US Navy not to approach or enter the Strait of Hormuz
The Unified Command of the Iranian armed forces warned on Monday the US Navy not to approach or enter the Strait of Hormuz. It further stated that it will 'respond harshly’ to any threat at any level and in any part of Iran.
Fxstreet
Mon, May 4
Russia S&P Global Manufacturing PMI: 48.1 (April) vs previous 48.3
Russia S&P Global Manufacturing PMI: 48.1 (April) vs previous 48.3
Fxstreet
Mon, May 4
India HSBC Manufacturing PMI came in at 54.7, below expectations (55.9) in April
India HSBC Manufacturing PMI came in at 54.7, below expectations (55.9) in April
Fxstreet
Mon, May 4
Netherlands, The Nevi Manufacturing PMI climbed from previous 52 to 54.4 in April
Netherlands, The Nevi Manufacturing PMI climbed from previous 52 to 54.4 in April
Fxstreet
Mon, May 4
Indonesia Trade Balance increased to $3.32B in March from previous $1.28B
Indonesia Trade Balance increased to $3.32B in March from previous $1.28B
Fxstreet
Mon, May 4
Indonesia Imports fell from previous 10.85% to 1.51% in March
Indonesia Imports fell from previous 10.85% to 1.51% in March
Fxstreet
Mon, May 4
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