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Asian FX: Differentiation theme with Oil and AI – OCBC
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong expect a mixed performance across Asian FX as a fragile US‑Iran ceasefire cools Oil from recent highs but does not deliver a clean de-escalation.
Fxstreet
Wed, May 6
EUR/RON: Political crisis drives volatility spike – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose highlights a sharp rise in Leu volatility after Romania’s government lost a no-confidence vote, leaving Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan as caretaker. The pro‑EU coalition’s collapse clouds prospects for fiscal consolidation and EU funds.
Fxstreet
Wed, May 6
PLN: NBP seen ending easing cycle with rates on hold – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad expects the National Bank of Poland (NBP) to keep its policy rate at 3.75% for a second consecutive meeting, effectively signalling an end to its 200 bps easing cycle over the past year.
Fxstreet
Wed, May 6
United States MBA Mortgage Applications: -4.4% (May 1) vs previous -1.6%
United States MBA Mortgage Applications: -4.4% (May 1) vs previous -1.6%
Fxstreet
Wed, May 6
AUD: Carry support and energy link – OCBC
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that the Reserve Bank of Australia’s latest 25 bps hike to 4.35% and a more balanced guidance underpin a constructive Australian Dollar outlook.
AUD/USD
Fxstreet
Wed, May 6
Breaking: Risk flows dominate as Axios reports US-Iran close in on deal to end conflict
According to Axios, the United States and Iran are moving towards a deal to end the conflict.
Fxstreet
Wed, May 6
Poland: NBP seen steady with hawkish tilt – ING
ING economists Rafal Benecki and Adam Antoniak expect the National Bank of Poland (NBP) to keep policy rates unchanged at 3.75% in coming months, despite higher April Consumer Price Index (CPI) and stronger March activity data.
EUR/PLN
Fxstreet
Wed, May 6
United Kingdom S&P Global Services PMI above expectations (52) in April: Actual (52.7)
United Kingdom S&P Global Services PMI above expectations (52) in April: Actual (52.7)
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Wed, May 6
United Kingdom S&P Global Composite PMI registered at 52.6 above expectations (52) in April
United Kingdom S&P Global Composite PMI registered at 52.6 above expectations (52) in April
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Wed, May 6
Italy Retail Sales s.a. (MoM) above forecasts (-0.4%) in March: Actual (0.8%)
Italy Retail Sales s.a. (MoM) above forecasts (-0.4%) in March: Actual (0.8%)
Fxstreet
Wed, May 6
Italy Retail Sales n.s.a (YoY) up to 3.7% in March from previous 1.6%
Italy Retail Sales n.s.a (YoY) up to 3.7% in March from previous 1.6%
Fxstreet
Wed, May 6
DXY: Fed transition and geopolitics steer support – DBS
DBS Group Research’s Philip Wee argues that the USD Index (DXY) is at an inflection point, consolidating in a 98–99 range after retracing its post-Operation Epic Fury rally.
Fxstreet
Wed, May 6
ADP Employment Report expected to show private-sector job gains accelerated in April
Developments in the Middle East conflict are likely to remain at the forefront this week, but investors will also keep an eye on a string of US labour market figures.
Fxstreet
Wed, May 6
Spain HCOB Services PMI came in at 47.9 below forecasts (52) in April
Spain HCOB Services PMI came in at 47.9 below forecasts (52) in April
Fxstreet
Wed, May 6
EUR/PLN: Range trading around 200DMA – Societe Generale
Societe Generale strategists observe that EUR/PLN has recently rebounded after defending an ascending trend line from February 2025 near 4.2100. The pair continues to oscillate around the 200-DMA, lacking clear direction.
EUR/PLN
Fxstreet
Wed, May 6
EUR/NOK: Norges Bank stance supports gradual downside – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Antje Praefcke expects Norges Bank to keep rates at 4.0% but maintain a distinctly hawkish tone compared with the Riksbank. With Norwegian inflation above target, the bank projects one or two hikes by year-end and may act in June if Iran-related risks persist.
USD/NOK
Fxstreet
Wed, May 6
France Industrial Output (MoM) came in at 1%, above forecasts (0.5%) in March
France Industrial Output (MoM) came in at 1%, above forecasts (0.5%) in March
Fxstreet
Wed, May 6
Equities: Tech and cyclicals extend rebound – Danske Bank
-Danske Research Team highlights a strong rebound in global equities, led by US technology and semiconductor names, with Intel, Qualcomm and Micron up double digits. Asian markets, including Korea and Shenzhen, also rallied, while European equities lagged due to sector composition.
Fxstreet
Wed, May 6
Russia S&P Global Services PMI increased to 49.7 in April from previous 49.5
Russia S&P Global Services PMI increased to 49.7 in April from previous 49.5
Fxstreet
Wed, May 6
India HSBC Services PMI rose from previous 57.9 to 58 in April
India HSBC Services PMI rose from previous 57.9 to 58 in April
Fxstreet
Wed, May 6
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