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China: Fiscal execution to support growth – Standard Chartered
Standard Chartered economists Carol Liao and Shuang Ding argue that China’s July Politburo meeting will prioritise implementation of existing fiscal plans over new stimulus. They expect fiscal execution to accelerate in H2 after a marked slowdown following front-loaded Q1 spending.Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 22
Aluminium: Tariff tweaks seen as long-term policy – ING
ING analysts discuss changes to US Section 232 aluminium tariffs aimed at incentivizing domestic smelting investment. Qualifying projects can import at 25% instead of 50%, but ING stresses this is a long-term industrial policy with limited near-term impact.Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 22
Hungarian Forint: NBH easing path shapes HUF prospects – ING
ING strategist Frantisek Taborsky reports the National Bank of Hungary (MNB) cut rates to 5.75% and confirmed dovish guidance, signaling further easing in August and possibly beyond. Markets have accepted renewed rate-cut pricing, and ING expects more dovish repricing.
Bank of England: Wait-and-see stance holds – Societe Generale
Societe Generale economist Sam Cartwright analyzes June United Kingdom (UK) inflation, noting headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) at 2.6% year-on-year, below Bank of England (BoE) projections, with core inflation steady at 2.6%.
Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 22
British Pound: Heavy trade as BoE seen adjusting – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s Elias Haddad notes the British Pound (GBP) remains heavy versus the US Dollar (USD) and Euro (EUR) after a mixed United Kingdom (UK) June Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, with headline inflation cooling but core and services measures still sticky.Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 22
World Bank warns of risks of global slowdown, renewed inflation
The World Bank warned that the global economy is only "a few months" away from a worst-case scenario in which global growth slows to 1.3% while inflation rises to 4.5%, according to comments by Chief Economist Indermit Gill reported by Reuters.Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 22
UK inflation cools and fiscal concerns grow: Why the British Pound is surrendering recent gains
The British Pound (GBP) is facing renewed downward pressure across major currency pairs, forfeiting its recent gains as market participants digest a combination of cooling domestic inflation and growing fiscal uncertainty surrounding Prime Minister Andy Burnham’s economic agenda.
Hungarian Forint: Rally against Euro reassessed after rate cuts – Societe Generale
Societe Generale strategists analyze the Hungarian Forint (HUF) after the central bank of Hungary, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (MNB) cut its policy rate to 5.75% and signalled more easing. They expect a 5.0% terminal rate by year-end, noting EUR/HUF already bottomed near 348.59.Indonesian Rupiah weakens as BI holds rate at 5.75%
USD/IDR has recovered its daily losses, trading around 17,950 during the European hours on Wednesday. The pair appreciates as the Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) struggles after the Bank Indonesia (BI) decided to hold its benchmark rate steady at 5.75% in July.Fxstreet
Wed, Jul 22
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