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Japan's Katayama says will coordinating with BoJ, no major divergence on inflation outlook, policy
Japanese Finance Minister (FM) Satsuki Katayama said on Wednesday that the government is coordinating closely with the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and there is no major divergence on inflation outlook and policy.
USD/JPY
Fxstreet
Wed, Oct 21
RBA's Hauser: Inflation outlook appears worse than forecast, slightly above expectations
Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser said on Wednesday that he’s still finalizing forecasts and is uncertain about board decisions. Hauser added that the inflation outlook appears worse than forecast and slightly above expectations.
AUD/USD
Fxstreet
Tue, Oct 20
BoJ expected to hike in December, not in October – Reuters poll
A Reuters poll revealed that a majority of economists expect the Bank of Japan to raise rates at its December meeting, marking the third increase since June.
USD/JPY
Fxstreet
Tue, Oct 20
Indonesian Rupiah: Equity reforms and hedging against downside – MUFG
MUFG’s Michael Wan reports Indonesia has pledged new equity-market reforms to restore investor confidence, including excluding tightly owned stocks from the Jakarta Composite Index and disclosing affiliations of 1%+ shareholders. He notes these measures target transparency and coordinated trading concerns, but implementation timing and MSCI’s assessment are key, with investors still hedging against short- to medium-term Indonesian Rupiah downside.
Fxstreet
Tue, Oct 20
Malaysian Ringgit: Stable range against US Dollar with hawkish BNM bias – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Charlie Lay and Dr. Henry Hao highlight Malaysia’s strong September trade data, with exports and imports far exceeding expectations and the trade surplus widening further.
Fxstreet
Tue, Oct 20
Bank of Canada: Growth inflation trade-off in focus – RBC
Royal Bank of Canada’s (RBC) Claire Fan highlights that the Q3 Canadian Business Outlook Survey underscores a difficult growth-inflation trade-off for the Bank of Canada (BoC) ahead of its next decision.
Fxstreet
Tue, Oct 20
BoE's Greene worried that "stance is not restrictive enough"
Megan Greene, a member of the Bank of England's (BoE) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), said on Tuesday that she is concerned “over [the] BoE estimate of target-consistent pay growth,” and added that more wage disinflation is needed to meet the Consumer Price Index (CPI) target.
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Tue, Oct 20
China: Growth momentum supports CNY backdrop – MUFG
MUFG’s Michael Wan notes China’s Q3 GDP growth firmed to 4.5% year-on-year, slightly above consensus, with September industrial production accelerating and fixed asset investment contractions narrowing.
Fxstreet
Tue, Oct 20
Forex Today: UK inflation comes to the fore
The US Dollar (USD) has further extended its corrective move, at some point easing to three-week lows, as investors continued to assess hopes of a potential US-Iran agreement, as per still unconfirmed news.
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Tue, Oct 20
European Central Bank: Core inflation pressures and rate path – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Dr. Vincent Stamer analyzes Euro area inflation, highlighting that high energy costs are already feeding into goods and services prices. The bank’s Quant Model projects headline inflation near 4% in coming months and core inflation rising above 3% over the next year.
Fxstreet
Tue, Oct 20
BoE’s Greene warns stalled wage disinflation raises inflation risks
Megan Greene, a member of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Bank of England (BoE), said on Tuesday that “wage disinflation has stalled,” a hint that salaries could begin to push prices higher.
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Tue, Oct 20
Federal Reserve: December hike seen as cycle peak – BNY
In the rates outlook, BNY Markets’ John Velis expects no Federal Reserve rate increase in October, with markets pricing a low probability for an immediate move. He sees December as the next likely and final hike of this cycle, noting that implied policy rates out to December 2027 have eased from their most hawkish levels as inflation remains largely supply-driven.
Fxstreet
Tue, Oct 20
US Treasury yields retreat as Iran deal hopes pull WTI lower
US Treasury yields edged lower on Tuesday, following news that Washington and Tehran may be nearing a deal, while another report said that US-Iran talks are ongoing and that a deal is not yet finished.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Tue, Oct 20
Canadian Dollar: Rate-hike odds rise as energy supports economy – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Norman Liebke reports that markets now see a sharply higher probability of a Bank of Canada rate hike on 28 October after Governor Macklem flagged stronger support from high Oil prices and likely upward revisions to inflation forecasts. Recent data show headline inflation above prior BoC projections, while surveys point to elevated price expectations despite limited evidence of broadening pressures.
USD/CAD
Fxstreet
Tue, Oct 20
British Pound: Gains slight edge over US Dollar – Societe Generale
Societe Generale strategists highlight that United Kingdom (UK) unemployment has fallen to a 13‑month low and average earnings have ticked higher, reinforcing expectations for a Bank of England (BoE) rate hike to 4% in November.
GBP/USD
EUR/GBP
Fxstreet
Tue, Oct 20
British Pound: Stronger labour data backs BoE hikes – MUFG
MUFG’s Lee Hardman notes the Pound is strengthening, with EUR/GBP near its year-to-date low and GBP/USD above 1.3350, as stronger UK labour data show rising payrolled employment and private sector wage growth in line with Bank of England projections. He argues this supports expectations for BoE rate hikes and a lower EUR/GBP trading range between 0.8200 and 0.8400.
GBP/USD
EUR/GBP
Fxstreet
Tue, Oct 20
Canadian Dollar: BoC rate hike bets seen as excessive - Standard Chartered
Standard Chartered economist Dan Pan expects the Bank of Canada (BoC) to keep its policy rate at 2.25% through end-2026 and 2027, despite market pricing for a much steeper tightening cycle.
USD/CAD
Fxstreet
Tue, Oct 20
US ADP Employment Change 4-week average drops to 18.50K
Private-sector hiring in the US lost some traction in early October. According to the NER Pulse, the weekly companion to the ADP National Employment Report, companies added an average of 18.50K jobs per week in the four weeks ending October 3.
Fxstreet
Tue, Oct 20
British Pound: Rate hike bets lift GBP, but upside looks limited - BBH
BBH’s Elias Haddad highlights that GBP is stronger against major currencies as UK August labor data bolster expectations for a 25 bps Bank of England (BoE) rate hike to 4.00% on November 5.
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Tue, Oct 20
Hungarian Forint: Crowded positions cloud fiscal outlook - ING
ING’s Frantisek Taborsky reports Hungary’s government has outlined a 2025 budget deficit target of 4.9% of GDP, down from 7.0–7.5%, relying on spending cuts, lower interest costs and new taxes.
EUR/HUF
Fxstreet
Tue, Oct 20
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