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ECB: Inflation shock risks rate hikes – BNP Paribas

BNP Paribas notes that earlier disinflation allowed the European Central Bank to cut rates and support a growth rebound in 2025, but the Iran conflict could reverse this. Under moderate scenarios, the ECB may stay cautious without hiking.

Fxstreet

Fri, Mar 13

France Inflation ex-tobacco (MoM): 0.6% (February) vs -0.4%

France Inflation ex-tobacco (MoM): 0.6% (February) vs -0.4%

Fxstreet

Fri, Mar 13

UK: Weak start raises growth concerns – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank’s Chief UK Economist Sanjay Raja notes that January 2026 UK GDP showed no growth, disappointing expectations for a strong rebound after late-2025 weakness.

Fxstreet

Fri, Mar 13

Fed: Growth resilience and rate path under energy shock – NBC

National Bank of Canada’s (NBC) Jocelyn Paquet argues that despite the Middle East conflict and higher Oil prices, the U.S. economy should maintain solid growth, with GDP seen at 2.5% in 2026 and 2.1% in 2027.

Fxstreet

Fri, Mar 13

US: Trade deficit narrows but seen widening again – Danske Bank

Danske Research Team points out that the US goods trade deficit shrank in January as exports recovered, but it remains above last autumn’s lows.

Fxstreet

Fri, Mar 13

BoC: Later easing path as inflation risks linger – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered economists Dan Pan and Steve Englander now expect the Bank of Canada to delay its next rate cut to Q3 2026, while keeping the end‑2026 policy rate forecast at 2%.

Fxstreet

Fri, Mar 13

United Kingdom Trade Balance; non-EU: £-3.461B (January) vs £-10.994B

United Kingdom Trade Balance; non-EU: £-3.461B (January) vs £-10.994B

Fxstreet

Fri, Mar 13

UK GDP arrives at 0% MoM in January vs. 0.2% expected

The UK Gross Domestic Product (GDP) arrived at 0% MoM in January, following a 0.1% increase reported in December, the latest data published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed on Friday.

Fxstreet

Fri, Mar 13

United Kingdom Goods Trade Balance above forecasts (£-22.2B) in January: Actual (£-14.449B)

United Kingdom Goods Trade Balance above forecasts (£-22.2B) in January: Actual (£-14.449B)

Fxstreet

Fri, Mar 13

United Kingdom Index of Services (3M/3M) below forecasts (0.3%) in January: Actual (0.2%)

United Kingdom Index of Services (3M/3M) below forecasts (0.3%) in January: Actual (0.2%)

Fxstreet

Fri, Mar 13

United Kingdom Total Trade Balance climbed from previous £-4.34B to £3.922B in January

United Kingdom Total Trade Balance climbed from previous £-4.34B to £3.922B in January

Fxstreet

Fri, Mar 13

United Kingdom Trade Balance; non-EU up to £-3.46B in January from previous £-10.994B

United Kingdom Trade Balance; non-EU up to £-3.46B in January from previous £-10.994B

Fxstreet

Fri, Mar 13

United Kingdom Goods Trade Balance registered at £-14.45B above expectations (£-22.2B) in January

United Kingdom Goods Trade Balance registered at £-14.45B above expectations (£-22.2B) in January

Fxstreet

Fri, Mar 13

United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (MoM) registered at 0.1%, below expectations (0.2%) in January

United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (MoM) registered at 0.1%, below expectations (0.2%) in January

Fxstreet

Fri, Mar 13

United Kingdom Gross Domestic Product (MoM) came in at 0% below forecasts (0.2%) in January

United Kingdom Gross Domestic Product (MoM) came in at 0% below forecasts (0.2%) in January

Fxstreet

Fri, Mar 13

United Kingdom Industrial Production (MoM) came in at -0.1%, below expectations (0.2%) in January

United Kingdom Industrial Production (MoM) came in at -0.1%, below expectations (0.2%) in January

Fxstreet

Fri, Mar 13

United Kingdom Industrial Production (YoY) came in at 0.4% below forecasts (0.6%) in January

United Kingdom Industrial Production (YoY) came in at 0.4% below forecasts (0.6%) in January

Fxstreet

Fri, Mar 13

United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (YoY) below forecasts (1.5%) in January: Actual (1.3%)

United Kingdom Manufacturing Production (YoY) below forecasts (1.5%) in January: Actual (1.3%)

Fxstreet

Fri, Mar 13

ECB: Policy outlook tied to Middle East risks – Rabobank

Rabobank’s Senior Macro Strategist Bas van Geffen previews the upcoming ECB meeting, stressing that the war in Iran and higher energy prices create a new stagflation shock for the Eurozone.

Fxstreet

Fri, Mar 13

Breaking: EUR/USD breaks below 1.1500 amid Middle East crisis

The EUR/USD pair resumes the downside, breaking below 1.1500 in the early European hours on Friday to trade at levels last seen in November 2025, as the US Dollar (USD) finds fresh haven demand in a risk-averse environment.

Fxstreet

Fri, Mar 13

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